Lee Crawfurd
leecrawfurd.bsky.social
Lee Crawfurd
@leecrawfurd.bsky.social
Senior Research Fellow at the Center for Global Development

https://www.cgdev.org/expert/lee-crawfurd
Reposted by Lee Crawfurd
Main finding: Armed conflict between organized actors increased by 15% in high-aid countries during the first 3 months after the shutdown. Violence against civilians perpetrated by militias increased by up to 10% a bit later. No substantial changes in protests or riots.
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January 21, 2026 at 5:07 AM
www.cgdev.org
January 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM