LeRaffl
@leraffl.bsky.social
1.1K followers 83 following 1.6K posts
Math dude, doing math with BEV market shares https://ts.la/raphael59773
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leraffl.bsky.social
Introducing Thresholds Tab
It's essentially several of the tables posted as an image, just nicer. Also there's a custom column so you can make your own ranking for a specific percentage.
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇬🇧 UK - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
23.3% BEV
12.2% PHEV
64.5% ICE (of which 15.3%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
22.9% BEV
10.7% PHEV
66.5% ICE (of which 15.5%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇱🇺 Luxembourg - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
33.0% BEV
7.3% PHEV
59.7% ICE (of which 30.2%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
26.5% BEV
8.3% PHEV
65.2% ICE (of which 28.8%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
Ah, that's probably that hybrid bullshit. There was something about those in there.
leraffl.bsky.social
I think it was 95g as well as 95€ per gram over 95g. May misremember.
leraffl.bsky.social
The EU regulation that is actively worked against in Germany?
leraffl.bsky.social
Germany has the 2024 dip behind themselves and has started a new growth phase. This time without incentives.
We always told you incentives just accelerated the transition, never caused it.

See exhibit A ⤵️
leraffl.bsky.social
🇩🇪 Germany - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
19.3% BEV
11.8% PHEV
68.9% ICE (of which 29.5%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
17.3% BEV
9.8% PHEV
72.8% ICE (of which 28.9%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇮🇳 India (2-Wheelers) - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
8.1% BEV
91.9% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
6.5% BEV
93.5% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇮🇳 India (3-Wheelers) - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
61.7% BEV
38.3% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
59.9% BEV
40.1% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇮🇳 India (4-Wheelers) - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
5.4% BEV
94.6% ICE (of which 7.6%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
3.7% BEV
96.3% ICE (of which 8.5%p were HEV)

India is accelerating

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
Singapore market is now basically split into BEV and HEV with HEV falling in market share and BEV climbing.
leraffl.bsky.social
🇸🇬 Singapore - August 25 - BEV Trajectory
44.2% BEV
3.7% PHEV
52.1% ICE (of which 38.8%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
39.7% BEV
1.1% PHEV
59.3% ICE (of which 43.5%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇱🇻 Latvia (Used) - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
8.5% BEV
3.8% PHEV
87.7% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
7.7% BEV
2.9% PHEV
89.4% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇱🇻 Latvia - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
8.4% BEV
13.2% PHEV
78.4% ICE

Trailing 12 months are:
7.3% BEV
11.0% PHEV
81.7% ICE

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
Introducing Thresholds Tab
It's essentially several of the tables posted as an image, just nicer. Also there's a custom column so you can make your own ranking for a specific percentage.
leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
For more context on the Australia numbers please refer to @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Australian vehicle sales
September 2025 VFACTs figures - 3Oct25

BEV 11.7%
PHEV + BEV 16.1%
Hybrid 18.7%
"Green" vehicles = 46.6% Australian sales
ICE only drive train share 53.4%

China now 3rd biggest sales in Australia
Chinese brands in top 10

SUVs 61% share of sales

bsky.app/profile/thed...
Australian vehicle sales by drivetrain to Sep 2025 Australian vehicle sales hybrid, PHEV and BEV to Sep 2025 Australian car sales Sep 2025 by country of supply Australian vehicle sales Sep 2025 - SUVs 61% share of sales by segment
leraffl.bsky.social
🇳🇿 New Zealand - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
3.9% BEV
2.7% PHEV
93.4% ICE (of which 36.8%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
4.2% BEV
3.1% PHEV
92.7% ICE (of which 35.1%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
Big thanks to @profraywills.futuresmart.com.au for providing me with data again.
leraffl.bsky.social
I thought Australia had accelerated at first, but actually the increase of the last 3 months is quite in line with the non-linear progression so far. Just shows how linearly we humans think.
leraffl.bsky.social
🇦🇺 Australia - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
11.7% BEV
4.4% PHEV
83.9% ICE (of which 14.4%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
8.2% BEV
3.8% PHEV
88.0% ICE (of which 15.6%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
Trailing 12 months shares of new registrations to be precise. It's what shares the market splits into, hence "market share".
leraffl.bsky.social
🇮🇹 Italy - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
5.6% BEV
8.7% PHEV
85.7% ICE (of which 45.2%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
5.2% BEV
5.3% PHEV
89.4% ICE (of which 44.0%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇵🇹 Portugal - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
29.3% BEV
18.3% PHEV
52.4% ICE (of which 20.3%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
22.1% BEV
14.6% PHEV
63.3% ICE (of which 21.9%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...
leraffl.bsky.social
🇮🇪 Ireland - September 25 - BEV Trajectory
30.9% BEV
17.6% PHEV
51.6% ICE (of which 21.3%p were HEV)

Trailing 12 months are:
18.9% BEV
15.1% PHEV
66.0% ICE (of which 23.5%p were HEV)

Graphs are available in the Gallery: leraffl.github.io/LeRaffl-Gall...