Prof Ray Wills
@profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
3.5K followers 580 following 2.4K posts
Futurist Disruption Ag, biz, cities, climate, ecology, economy, energy, renewables, robots, tech, transport World Top100 Sustainability MD Future Smart Strategies™ Aus Prof UWA NB: I only follow accounts with name+pic+profile (+give me poke!)
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profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Try bringing coal-fired power to your village by boat or donkey

#coal owned by companies

#solar belongs to the peeps
Villagers unload solar panels from a boat and carry up the beach Masia woman leads donkey carrying solar to her village
Reposted by Prof Ray Wills
jrfhanger.bsky.social
Australia's Grid CEO. “Our old coal-fired power stations are breaking down; they're retiring. They're getting replaced by the least-cost energy, which is renewable energy, backed with storage, connected. We'll have a bit of gas there for the winter doldrums."
www.yahoo.com/news/article... #energysky
As coal fades, Australia looks to realize dream of 100% renewable energy
Australia has put itself on a realistic path to achieving what climate activists around the world have long dreamed of: running its power grid entirely on renewable energy. The Australian Energy Marke...
www.yahoo.com
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Doesn't bode well for us
Humans have no experience on a planet this warm
bsky.app/profile/prof...
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Humans have no experience on a planet like this
Our planet's atmosphere CO2 >420ppm first time in recorded history
First time in our prehistory
And 200k years of Homo sapiens
And 2m years of evolution of our genus
Before Australopithecus emerged 8m yrs ago

A thread
bsky.app/profile/prof...
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Stupid, ignorant irrelevant obfuscaters say
'Earth was hotter' 30mya
and
'we need more CO2 plant food'

We're not living 30+ mya, you idiots

Humans - and plants, animals, all biota that live with us now - evolved in this climatic period, late miocene to now
An explainer
(Graphic Helen Coxall 2020)
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
for those seeking a return of the crown, and more time in the sun
bsky.app/profile/prof...
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
One of the problems with a big back bench that's anxious to have their time in the sun - being compliant won't get you noticed, nor will it get you promoted.

The big win is not a gift of great margins, it's a curse of stay true to your roots

FAFO
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
hmm, I wonder if this has some sort of link to the NRA?
nahhh, maybe that's a stretch?
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Voting is open for the bird of the year
You need to vote today

Baudin's Cockatoo has my vote this year
www.theguardian.com/environment/... @australia.theguardian.com
Some other black cockies in the thread below
@birdlifeoz.bsky.social
Reposted by Prof Ray Wills
aevanational.bsky.social
CONFIRMED: Australia's cheapest EV the BYD Atto 1 (nee Dolphin Surf) will land in November with an estimated mid $20k starting price. Competing squarely with the small ICE segment like the Suzuki Swift, Toyota Yaris and Mazda 2. Price parity has arrived.

www.drive.com.au/news/2026-by...
The rebranded Dolphin Surf will arrive as the BYD Atto 1, and be Australia's new cheapest EV | Drive
Two more models will arrive in BYD showrooms in the next six months, and one will be the most affordable EV in Australia.
www.drive.com.au
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
They're looking into with some gravity
Reposted by Prof Ray Wills
robdickinson.bsky.social
For NZ in Sept

BEV 5.1%
PHEV+BEV 10.4%
Hyrbid 32.3%

The June blip was nothing more than the new model Y bump
Market Share by Fuel Type EV Sales in New Zealand
Reposted by Prof Ray Wills
cleanpowerdave.bsky.social
NEW: GLOBAL RENEWABLES OVERTAKES COAL

How the heck did that happen so quickly?!...🧵
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
It's seemed slow
It's like it's taken forever
We could've started at Kyoto
We didn't
Paris did provide a positive move
But no moonshot
But 2015 when it really got going
Even though we're still subsidising/protecting/enabling fossil fuels
But, less than a decade old
bsky.app/profile/prof...
World electricity generation by fuel type 2005-2024
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
That's sales? 👍

Numbers based on dept transport rego data
Battery Electric 3.9%
PHEV Petrol 2.7%
Hybrid Petrol 34.1%
Hybrid Diesel 2.8%
bsky.app/profile/prof...
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Meawhile, across the ditch in New Zealand:
NZ EVs sales continues to stagnate while hybrids dominate fuelled by MAGA lite government discontinued subsidies for electric vehicles and current RUC policies — apparently encouraged by Toyota lobbying
NZ vehicle registrations by month by drivetrain
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
apologies
Hybrid 14.4%, so:
"Green" vehicles = 30.5% Australian sales
ICE only drive train share 69.5%
Reposted by Prof Ray Wills
lakitukl.bsky.social
This 👇 is the smartest path, for both environmental and economic benefit.

But - we're not a very smart species.

#ProveMeWrong
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
I'm a 'no" on net zero
Because we can do better
Net zero a crock - offsets open to lobbying and corrupt influences and interpretations of what's in or out, and soft targets by polies/ industries that don't want change, or invalidly argue we can't

Australia needs to target real zero, not net zero
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
On grid 82% renewables electrification in Australia by 2030? 👀
A walk in the park
Hard to avoid
What if we really tried?🤔
100%?
Technically + commercially doable
We just need real action
#COP29
Treat it like a #ClimateCrisis?
Rest of Australia?
Off-grid mines etc can easily reach by 2035
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
The tipping points on climate appear much closer than tipping points on a fossil fuel exit

I remain hopeful - not in avoiding climate change, we're too late for that

But I remain hopeful we will make it less bad. And that fossil fuel exit really does start about now
bsky.app/profile/prof...
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
The fastest energy transformation in human history

@fssau.futuresmart.com.au

expanded graph for pace of adoption of electricity generation by source from >100TWh annual generation threshold point
pace of adoption of electricity generation by source from >100TWh annual generation threshold point
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Yes, first we need even cheaper renewables to generate hydrogen to replace industrial gas (and coal) - need renewables to be about 50% cheaper than now to do it.
In about about 4-5 years will be there - doing it sooner needs subsidies, driver to do it urgently and earlier remains climate change
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
The cost of gas and coal - thermal (in)efficiency means 2/3 of primary energy from burning coal, gas, oil fossil fuels doesn't make it to being electricity

bsky.app/profile/prof...
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Most fossil-fuel energy consumption wasted by inefficiencies in conversion to work

~2/3 fossil fuel burning for energy wasted as heat

@mzjacobson.bsky.social 100% electric world:
only 43.6% current global energy needed if we electrify everything
#StopBurningStuff
cleantechnica.com/2024/11/25/t...
Reposted by Prof Ray Wills
thetnholler.bsky.social
Healthcare should be guaranteed as a human right #MedicareForAll @salaambhattiva.bsky.social
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
I'm a 'no" on net zero
Because we can do better
Net zero a crock - offsets open to lobbying and corrupt influences and interpretations of what's in or out, and soft targets by polies/ industries that don't want change, or invalidly argue we can't

Australia needs to target real zero, not net zero
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
On grid 82% renewables electrification in Australia by 2030? 👀
A walk in the park
Hard to avoid
What if we really tried?🤔
100%?
Technically + commercially doable
We just need real action
#COP29
Treat it like a #ClimateCrisis?
Rest of Australia?
Off-grid mines etc can easily reach by 2035
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Bodycam footage shows that they lied
Call it what it is
Liar, liar, pants on fire
bsky.app/profile/prof...
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
A freedom of speech has never been a freedom to lie
Freedom of speech comes with obligation to speak the truth
Knowingly speaking lies and making shit up has always had consequences
However, politics has perverted the obligation
Those that always lie ought face consequences (and not coverage)
gbrockell.bsky.social
Claim: 10 cars rammed ICE
Truth: No cars rammed ICE

Claim: She boxed ICE in
Truth: ICE boxed her in

Claim: She shot a rifle at ICE
Truth: She did not have a rifle

Claim: ICE returned fire
Truth: Only ICE fired

Claim: She drove herself to the hospital
Truth: Paramedics found her
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
A freedom of speech has never been a freedom to lie
Freedom of speech comes with obligation to speak the truth
Knowingly speaking lies and making shit up has always had consequences
However, politics has perverted the obligation
Those that always lie ought face consequences (and not coverage)
gbrockell.bsky.social
Claim: 10 cars rammed ICE
Truth: No cars rammed ICE

Claim: She boxed ICE in
Truth: ICE boxed her in

Claim: She shot a rifle at ICE
Truth: She did not have a rifle

Claim: ICE returned fire
Truth: Only ICE fired

Claim: She drove herself to the hospital
Truth: Paramedics found her
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Luxon's impacts are multiple
Won't stop the world from changing
Just New Zealand continuing with the 'least best' solutions
For renewables
For electrification
For everything the future already offers today
bsky.app/profile/prof...
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
Meawhile, across the ditch in New Zealand:
NZ EVs sales continues to stagnate while hybrids dominate fuelled by MAGA lite government discontinued subsidies for electric vehicles and current RUC policies — apparently encouraged by Toyota lobbying
NZ vehicle registrations by month by drivetrain
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
A freedom of speech has never been a freedom to lie
Freedom of speech comes with obligation to speak the truth
Knowingly speaking lies and making shit up has always had consequences
However, politics has perverted the obligation
Those that always lie ought face consequences (and not coverage)
gbrockell.bsky.social
Claim: 10 cars rammed ICE
Truth: No cars rammed ICE

Claim: She boxed ICE in
Truth: ICE boxed her in

Claim: She shot a rifle at ICE
Truth: She did not have a rifle

Claim: ICE returned fire
Truth: Only ICE fired

Claim: She drove herself to the hospital
Truth: Paramedics found her
chicago.suntimes.com
Body-camera video appears to contradict the government’s claim that Marimar Martinez, 30, drove toward officers before one of them opened fire at her late Saturday morning in Brighton Park, her attorney claimed.
trib.al/9Sxu9IN
profraywills.futuresmart.com.au
An answer might be until clean tech business actively displace sponsors from fossil fuels
But, no, public good shouldn't have to rely on sponsorship
That just allow sponsors to decide public good
Governments must tax fossil fuel companies appropriately and then direct those taxes for public good