Lightbucket
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lightbucket.bsky.social
Lightbucket
@lightbucket.bsky.social
20 years in academic physics, then 20 years running a physics-based tech company, now drifting towards semi-retirement.

Looking at:
decarbonisation; energy;
Russia's war in Ukraine.

Blog on Wordpress: https://lightbucket.wordpress.com/
2/2

For comparison, at the start of 2025,
Ørsted sold 12.45% of 3.504 GW of offshore wind capacity, including Hornsea 1 & 2, for £1.745 bn,
which priced the capacity at
£4000/kW of nameplate capacity.
1/3

Ørsted sells a 12.45% stake in four UK offshore windfarms.

The sale shows the current market value of UK offshore wind.

The transaction was valued at £1.745 billion, which prices the capacity at £4000/kW of nameplate capacity,
or £10,100/kW of average generating capacity.

Details below: 🧵
Ørsted sells stake in four UK offshore wind farms to Brookfield
Ørsted has signed a deal with Brookfield, including its institutional partners and affiliate Brookfield Renewable, to sell a 12.45% minority stake in four of its operational UK offshore wind farms.
www.4coffshore.com
January 4, 2026 at 1:12 PM
2/3

France dominated electricity imports to the UK:

UK net imports were from:
 ⬅️ France: 25.8 TWh (=2.6 GW average)
 ⬅️ Norway: 9.3 TWh (=1.1 GW)
 ⬅️ Denmark: 2.6 TWh (=0.3 GW)
 ⬅️ Belgium: 2.1 TWh (=0.2 GW)
 ⬅️ Netherlands: 0.5 TWh (=0.05 GW)

UK net exports were to:
 ➡️ Ireland: 4.5 TWh (=0.5 GW)
January 3, 2026 at 3:50 PM
5/5

Denmark, then France, were the largest electricity exporters to Germany in 2025.

So although France is by far the largest electricity exporter in Europe, and Germany is the third largest importer, it turns out it's not quite as simple as
"Germany is just importing French nuclear".
January 2, 2026 at 4:01 PM
4/5 (…contd.)

…and these countries were net exporters to Germany in 2025:

 ⬅️ Denmark: 12.4 TWh (=1.4 GW average)
 ⬅️ France: 11.2 TWh (=1.3 GW)
 ⬅️ Netherlands: 8.4 TWh (=1.0 GW)
 ⬅️ Norway: 7.0 TWh (=0.8 GW)
 ⬅️ Belgium: 3.0 TWh (=0.3 GW)
 ⬅️ Sweden: 2.4 TWh (=0.3 GW)
 ⬅️ Switzerland: 0.9 TWh (=0.1 GW)
January 2, 2026 at 4:01 PM
2/2

Solar is up 10.9 TWh, or 18.3%
Wind is down 4.3 TWh, or −3.2%

TOTAL renewable generation is up 0.5 TWh, or 0.2%

Germany's fossil generation rose 6.7 TWh,
renewable generation rose by 0.5 TWh.


Ref: Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems, ISE

www.energy-charts.info/charts/energ...
Energy-Charts
Die Energy-Charts bieten interaktive Grafiken zu: Stromproduktion, Stromerzeugung, Emissionen, Klimadaten, Spotmarktpreisen, Szenarien zur Energiewende und eine umfangreiche Kartenanwendung zu: Kraftw...
www.energy-charts.info
January 1, 2026 at 1:16 PM
3/3

France's net electricity exports in 2025 were:

 ➡️ Italy: 26.2 TWh (=3.0 GW average)
 ➡️ Britain: 22.6 TWh (=2.6 GW)
 ➡️ Switzerland: 20.1 TWh (=2.3 GW)
 ➡️ Belgium: 12.1 TWh (=1.4 GW)
 ➡️ Germany: 11.2 TWh (=1.3 GW)
 ➡️ Spain: 0.2 TWh (=0.03 GW)

France's total electricity exports came to 92.4 TWh.
January 1, 2026 at 12:47 PM
2/3

A striking feature of 2025 shows up in cross-border electricity trading:

France dominated exports.
It exported 92.4 TWh, or 10.55 GW average throughout the year.

The other three big European economies, Germany, Britain and Italy, were all net importers, importing 101.1 TWh between them.
January 1, 2026 at 12:47 PM
4/4 #pricescrapbook

These tax-and-cap thresholds have been determined by France's Energy Regulatory Commission (CRE), based on these estimates of the cost price of French nuclear generation over the next six years:

 • For the period 2026–2028: €60.30/MWh;
 • For the period 2029–2031: €63.40/MWh.
December 31, 2025 at 12:04 PM
3/4

 • The first threshold, the “Taxation” threshold,
is set at €78/MWh,
above which 50% of EDF's nuclear revenues will be taxed for redistribution.

 • The second threshold, the “Capping” threshold,
is set at €110/MWh,
above which 90% of EDF’s nuclear revenues will be taxed.
France's New VNU Mechanism 2026: Post-ARENH Nuclear Pricing
France replaces the ARENH scheme in 2026 with the Universal Nuclear Payment (VNU). Discover how EDF's taxed nuclear income will lower electricity prices
www.nusconsulting.com
December 31, 2025 at 12:04 PM
2/4

The Universal Nuclear Payment (VNU) is a tax-and-cap scheme intended to protect French electricity consumers from large increases in electricity prices (as seen during the 2022 gas price crisis, for example).

It sets a tax threshold and a cap threshold, with redistribution back to consumers:
December 31, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Reposted by Lightbucket
The government needs to shift to subsidising cooling heat pumps instead of only ones that heat. With warmer and more uncomfortable summers it’s a real benefit. Middle class much more likely to contribute more if their homes are cooled in the summer as well as heated in the winter.
December 30, 2025 at 3:23 PM