Dr Lucy Tel-Bar
@lucytelbar.bsky.social
280 followers 71 following 1.1K posts
Senior Research Fellow, He Kāinga Oranga Housing and Health Research Programme, University of Otago. Mostly researching housing, health, and winter illnesses, but easily distracted.
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lucytelbar.bsky.social
Not exactly a glowing endorsement of our economic direction, is it!
About the only positive thing one could say about it is that we appear to have slipped from second place to fourth. But probably due to easier migration in those other three countries (whereas Ireland is a real improvement).
lucytelbar.bsky.social
How has that percentage changed over time though? And what % come back by 35?
lucytelbar.bsky.social
I don't even know where to start with the layers of privileged bubble horseshit in this piece, but maybe with: People generally aren't moving to Australia because they can't "build wealth" here. They're moving because they can't get a job, afford rent, or eat here.

www.stuff.co.nz/money/360845...
Droves have headed to Australia for a better life. Here’s why the dream doesn’t always match reality
Moving to Australia doesn’t guarantee the financial security you crave. Your money habits matter more than your postcode, writes Katie Wesney.
www.stuff.co.nz
lucytelbar.bsky.social
1. Raw as a crunchy snack
2. Cut up and throw in the pot a minute before the pasta's done
3. Cut up or whole in stir fry

Other suggestions welcome though?!
lucytelbar.bsky.social
It's interesting looking at it this way, i.e. %s of males 20-24 employed full-time in the building construction sector - e.g. can't know if they're employed in that sector more/less because of less/more other options or just more/less work available.
Highest %s 2023 were Wairarapa and Northland.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
Where do I look these up?
(I'm interested to know whether the data are available by sector - a friend of one of my children wants to emigrate to NZ and I want to give good advice on where he's more likely to find work in his sector, i.e. building/construction).
Reposted by Dr Lucy Tel-Bar
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
You can't fit thousands of job seekers into tens of jobs.
And while Luxon might call himself sorted, the country isn't, even if he doesn't want to do anything about it.
musicalchairs.bsky.social
I am admittedly rage-posting now, but come the fuck on! Can we have an actual conversation about what we are doing as a country?
lucytelbar.bsky.social
"Well, I mean to say, when a girl suddenly asks you out of a blue sky if you don't sometimes feel that the stars are God's daisy-chain, you begin to think a bit."
P.G. Wodehouse (1934), Right Ho, Jeeves, chapter 1
Reposted by Dr Lucy Tel-Bar
newsroom.co.nz
Analysis: If Willis' big fix for the energy market is to help gentailers finance new thermal baseload or firming plants, she's answering a question that nobody's asking, writes Jonathan Milne.
Govt flails to coax gentailers to build power plants
newsroom.co.nz
lucytelbar.bsky.social
Sure, that's why I ask about third country extradition.

We don't have an extradition treaty with Vietnam, but we do with lots of other places.

Put them on the Interpol watch list. At least make them scared to travel again.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
I feel like they should be named.
But also: would there be a chance of extraditing them from a third country, if they ever travelled anywhere else?
lucytelbar.bsky.social
Congratulations, that's a fantastic achievement.
I remember when visiting London in the 1990s, and blowing your nose in the morning meant a tissue full of black. It was better in the 2010s, but this is better still.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
Don't panic. Don't "be aware". Just get rid of them.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
So: we now know that gas hobs DO expose persons to harmful products of gas. We didn't know it before, but we do now.
Gas hobs expose persons to harmful products of gas.
They _already_ breach _existing_ regulations.
We don't need to change regulations, or issue a ban: gas hobs are already illegal.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
The new report finds (at least) 3,230 children <18 years have asthma because of the gas hob in their home.
About 31,000 asthmatics <18 live in homes with gas hobs, so gas hobs are contributing more than 10% of asthma in homes with gas hobs.
Ventilation helps a bit, but it doesn't solve the problem.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
Yes, there are "long-standing regulations to ensure gas stoves are safe".
Those regulations deem gas stoves unsafe if "measures are not in place that ... ensure persons are not exposed to carbon monoxide and other harmful products of gas".
lucytelbar.bsky.social
On the plus side: at least they haven't taken the pass handed to them and announced further sell-off or dilution of government ownership.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
If you allow for debt repayment, you're swiftly getting to electricity costs being unaffordable for a third of the population, and that's before you try to pay for any new generation.

The Government's "solutions" do not engage with that problem, and cannot solve it.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
BUT, even if the whole 7c were profit, removing it entirely would still leave an 8c gap to reach affordability for our 10th income decile households.

27c/kWh would be affordable for the 9th income decile, but not for the 10th - i.e. 10% of the population.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
19c/kWh is not feasible without subsidy.

Lines cost ~11.7c/kWh. Actual production cost is about 12c/kWh. That's already 23.7c/kWh. GST on top takes it to 27c/kWh.

The remaining 7c isn't pure profit - some of it covers debt repayment.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
4. Neither of the Government's "fixes" will solve energy affordability for low income households. Residential electricity costs ~34c/kWh. It would need to cost about 19c/kWh for 10th income decile households to afford (6% threshold) as much electricity as the 3rd income decile uses.
lucytelbar.bsky.social
2. Energy companies are already building more generation. The assertion that they're not is just your average "lie often repeated becomes the truth".
3. We sure as hell don't need a liquid natural gas import facility. Someone's going to make bank on that deal, but it won't be the consumer.