David Hood
@thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
6.6K followers 1.8K following 7.2K posts
I like collating data, and getting thoughts in the brain. I run https://thoughtfulnz.quarto.pub/nzcovidreport/ All for Public data, Aotearoa New Zealand, and informed communities. #openData #NewZealand #Aotearoa #rstats. He/him. He tangata tiriti ahau
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thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
There are MPs in parliament who have the personal lived experience of being part of the John Key administration that combined the sickness and jobseeker benefits. It ain't ignorance. Even if they aren't listening to advice, they were there on the day in the past.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
With these numbers, it is not so much the tail, as the back half of the pantomime horse.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
(This is a strategy for talking to small c conservative "just want a peaceful government they can ignore" voters to point out the insanity in the wings).
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
I think a point to make to National voters who consider their party too led by NZF and ACT, is that currently 28% of government MPs are NZF and ACT, on present polling if the current government got back in it would be about 36% NZF and ACT. Then start explaining the current NZF party list.
Reposted by David Hood
madepn.bsky.social
here is my first rendering of the bread scale of triviality (any suggestions welcome; I love thinking about bread)
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
An interesting comparison might be with a third measure- map distance.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
And the constituency that votes for them.
bsky.app/profile/thou...
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
I absolutely agree the Greens have pro-social collective values, but I also found that the 2023 NZES has a how much do you trust trust scientists question, and Green voters in 2023 exhibit the highest positive (lot + somewhat) trust with 98.9% of Green voters.
Black and Purple trust scientists as a general statement, orange and yellow mistrust. No opinion excluded.
Reposted by David Hood
pacifismenjoyer.bsky.social
It's so easy to not post assassination memes. Genuinely the only thing bad about this situation is that the mods ordinarily don't ban the big edgelord accounts for this stuff so a large constituency thinks it's normal to "it's just a meme bro" about shootings and "consequences".
Reposted by David Hood
brislen.nz
And just like that... another cell tower burned down in Queenstown Lakes region.

That's five attacks in the past few weeks.

The irony is this puts people's health at risk. Almost all emergency calls go via mobile networks.

It'll be at least four weeks before a replacement tower can be deployed.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
Need more prayers while the reign of frogs continues.
missingthept.bsky.social
“Dear God, protect our officers from the frog.”
a guy in a frog costume standing facing a line of police and ICE agents in Portland
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
While I really don't want to go back to being "the business confidence data guy" of 2019. It is about a 40 point difference in party in power given similar conditions.

bsky.app/profile/thou...
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
It is scattered all over Twitter because it was an albatross around my neck for many years. But I think these are the 3 main graphs.
Every other country's Business Confidence is a better predictor of GDP NZ Business Confidence is uniquely uncorrelated to GDP It is about political reckons and what the past was like
Reposted by David Hood
te-ara-paerangi.community
We'd love to have a huge turn out for Nic's talk. Please help spread the word. There are downloadable pdf adverts in the link below. They can be emailed or printed. If you work in a public space (e.g. Library) you could help by printing and posting one of the flyers. Ngā mihi nui!
Reposted by David Hood
nickbaker.digital
In my short reign as NZ's self-acclaimed premier Twitter pollster, I determined that for a small population NZ leads the world in unlimited flavours of pies, ice cream and bars of chocolate.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
In Ōtepoti I had a choice of same day times with an online booking last week.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
I did contemplate a walk to the Hocken Archive to consult the copy of Helen Leach's recipe index lodged there, but even with a look through papers past I began to get too many epiestemological questions about when is a pie a pie.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
As I was flicking through papers past, I did see what might be a history of pies made from curried ingredients, so butter chicken would be a pretty natural progression of that.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
There are around 2 million private dwellings in New Zealand, so without quibbling exact finer detail, 200,000 is ballpark 1 home in 10.
benakl.bsky.social
Now then
Under the new Planning Regime there will be three categories:

Cat 1. Green. Tolerable. No intervention required nominally

Cat 2. Yellow. At Risk. Can be defended, preferably through Green Engineering but don't discount Hard Engineering.

Cat 3. Red. Catastrophic. Managed Retreat
Ctd.
rnzrss.bsky.social
$180 billion of homes sitting on flood-prone land, government report finds
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
I did also find this very near cousin to a mince and cheese pie in the 1930s- a (tomato and egg and) mince and white sauce pie, though in modern terms I might call it more of a pastaless lasagna (because of the ingredients and layering).
Dominion, Volume 33, Issue 178, 23 April
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
Yes. Yes it is I'm afraid.
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
While having a look myself, I did find this abomination of a quote "pie" unquote from the 1980s
The Press, 26 September 1983. via papers past
Reposted by David Hood
ilikeoldbooks.bsky.social
by the way, all those benign AI bots crawling the internet for for-profit LLMs, yeah it turns out when 9,000 hit your archive catalogue or image database all at once they break the system. This is an emerging sector issue.

The last weeks have literally seen humans labouring to feed the machines...
Reposted by David Hood
rahaeli.bsky.social
This is going around again and it is not true. Like every site on the internet, Bluesky uses machine learning to do a first-pass approximation of image classification to detect and label content. They have repeatedly confirmed outside services do not use Bluesky user data to train their models.
Reposted by David Hood
irahyman.bsky.social
AI generated false references.

For a discussion with grad students, I asked ChatGPT for 10 academic papers with summaries on a topic I know well.

6/10 were made up citations that sounded possible (1 by me!).

Of the 4 real papers, the summaries all were over-general and included errors.
rikefranke.bsky.social
And here we go. I never wrote this article, and yet it is cited here.

www.liberalbriefs.com/geopolitics/...

And of course, it sounds so plausible, I seriously checked whether I had forgotten it, or the footnote was slightly wrong.

#AIisnotresearch
Reposted by David Hood
ourworldindata.org
Does the news reflect what we die from?
The image presents a comparison of the leading causes of death in the United States for 2023 and the media coverage these causes receive from three news outlets: The New York Times, The Washington Post, and Fox News. 

In the footer, it notes the data sources, indicating that the information is based on media mentions from Media Cloud (2025) and death data from the US CDC (2025) and the Global Terrorism Index, with a clarification that values are normalized to sum to 100%.