Except that at the current pace of innovation and disruption, innovators become incumbents quickly.

Which means value propositions and business models will need to shift rapidly. A circumstance that historically favors innovators over incumbents.

And I wonder if this isn’t broadly true of human IP - whether we like it or not….

Something Altman and OpenAI seem to recognize

Great stocking stuffer!!! Now I’m going to unwrap the present 🐻‍❄️ 🎁

Good summary from @garymarcus.bsky.social on the controversy surrounding o3 and ARC-AGI benchmark results. Clearly frontier model developers are still struggling with how to think about AGI, AI progress, and how to explain this all to the public.
open.substack.com/pub/garymarc...

Interesting context from @fchollet.bsky.social the creator of ARC-AGI regarding the “saturation” of the current ARC benchmark. It will be very revealing to see how o3 performs on the new ARC2 benchmark in 2025

TRS-80 Model I. With the max 16K RAM option 😂. It was a year before I upgraded to 48K and from cassette tape to a floppy drive. It was the bomb!

To be fair, watching Jalen pick apart the Pels last night, the protection afforded three-point shooters, and the rise in shot-making from the perimeter has really opened up the passing and driving lanes. While threes have soared, so have assists.

I think all of this raises really important questions about what we mean by the “G” and the “I” in AGI. (And to @garymarcus.bsky.social point, the “T” in “transparency” and “truth in advertising…”

Of course, the story is turning out to be a bit more complex than it seems at first glance:

bsky.app/profile/gary...

March 2023 comparison of GPT-4 and GPT-3.5 performance on academic exams:

openai.com/index/gpt-4-...

So, I was expecting great things from 2.0 Flash, the newest consumer model. Here’s what I got from the same prompt. This highlights the challenge foundation model providers have balancing usefulness and “risk” - especially as the public becomes more familiar with LLM’s true capabilities

Here’s the prompt I gave Gemini Advanced 1.5 and its response. You can see it breaks down the complex task into meaningful and manageable chunks. And, amazingly, goes off and happily does the work, mining the web and social media sites, and synthesizing its findings. 2/3

Agreed. Very sad. Great brunch spot!