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Reposted by Michela Tincani

Fabian Kosse @fabiankosse.bsky.social · Sep 2

@michelatincani.bsky.social, Ranjita Rajan and I are very proud and thrilled that our paper “The Persistent Effect of Competition on Prosociality” has been accepted at @jeeanews.bsky.social

👉 First causal evidence that enduring competition persistently reduces prosociality

doi.org/10.1093/jeea...

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Reposted by Michela Tincani

Jennifer Doleac @jenniferdoleac.bsky.social · Aug 15

It's been 2 years (+ 1 month) since I left academia. In case anyone is wondering, I have zero regrets. Indeed, I'm living my best life and am so happy I made the leap.

If you're considering leaving too, here are some thoughts on how to explore your options/find a job you'll love...

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Aug 14

Wonderful news! Congratulations!

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Aug 14

This was a fun conversation with Maddy Breen. I spoke about how my life experiences have shaped my research interests, and why access to information is so important for true equality of opportunities.

Thank you @uclpolicylab.bsky.social for the opportunity!

UCL Policy Lab @uclpolicylab.bsky.social · Aug 14

Dr Michela Tincani (@michelatincani.bsky.social) explores the unseen power of early decision-making in higher education.

www.ucl.ac.uk/policy-lab/n...

The roads we choose with Michela Tincani

Dr Michela Tincani explores the unseen power of early decision-making in higher education, by Maddy Breen

www.ucl.ac.uk

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

Thanks to @econometric.bsky.social for the invitation!

#EconomicsofEducation #Expectations #StructuralModels #StructuralEconometrics #SubjectiveExpectations

Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

💡Belief data = a powerful tool in structural models of education choices.
They help us understand how people think—and how belief errors shape behavior and education policy outcomes.

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

Enrico Miglino & I use belief data on effort returns to estimate a dynamic model of pre-college effort.
Belief errors help explain RCT results on preferential admissions.
Simulations suggest: info interventions could reduce disincentive effects of preferential admissions.

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

4️⃣ To quantify belief errors + welfare impacts
Kapor, Neilson & Zimmerman (2020):
Belief errors about admissions can reverse welfare comparisons across school assignment mechanisms.

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

Wiswall & Zafar find smaller earnings of major choice elasticities than past work. Why?
Because people who think a major pays more also tend to like it more.
Beliefs and preferences correlate.
Info experiments + belief data help us purge this bias.

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

3️⃣ To study learning
Beliefs change. Panel data lets us see how they change—and the effects on behavior.
📚 Stinebrickner&Stinebrickner (2014): beliefs about STEM aptitude evolve slowly.
📚 Wiswall & Zafar (2015): info experiments reveal causal effects of beliefs.

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

2️⃣ To validate the model
Use beliefs on stated choice probabilities to test model fit.
Do model-predicted choices ≈ survey-elicited choices?
🌟 Gonul & Wolpin (1985);
🌟 Delavande & Zafar (2019): validate university choice model using Pakistani student data.

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

1️⃣ To inform the model
Arcidiacono, Hotz, Maurel & Romano (2020):
Students' beliefs about earnings + occupational choices help test:
Do they act on expected returns?
(ATT > ATE?)
Answer: partly. Non-monetary factors matter too.
➡️ Roy model with non-pecuniary preferences.

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

We’ve made major progress in understanding how people form beliefs—and how we can use those beliefs in our models.

In the lecture, I outlined 4 ways belief data can be used in structural econometrics:

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

Education decisions are dynamic.
➡️ Go to college = lose earnings today, hope for better returns later.
But those returns are uncertain.
Structural models assume people form expectations and maximize expected utility.
But how accurate are those expectations?

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 29

🎓 Recently gave a lecture at the Econometric Society @econometric.bsky.social Summer School on Dynamic Structural Econometrics.

Topic: how subjective expectations data help us model educational choices.

Link to slides: dropbox.com/scl/fi/qui40...

🧵

dropbox.com

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Reposted by Michela Tincani

Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · Jul 24

I've been working on a new tool, Refine, to make scholars more productive. If you're interested in being among the very first to try the beta, please read on.

Refine leverages the best current AI models to draw your attention to potential errors and clarity issues in research paper drafts.

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 21

Delighted our paper on preferential college admissions is part of the NBER SI joint Education & Labor session on Wednesday — joint with Michela Carlana, Sara Chiuri, and Enrico Miglino. Program: www.nber.org/conferences/..., slides: conference.nber.org/conf_papers/.... Come say hi if you’re around!

SI 2025 Economics of Education

www.nber.org

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Reposted by Michela Tincani

Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 3

What a pleasure to teach in the @econometric.bsky.social summer school in structural dynamic econometrics, and in such great company!

All lectures will be made available on YouTube soon.

dseconf.org/dse2025cours...

Econometric Society Summer Schoolin Dynamic Structural Econometrics 2025

Expectations and Learning in Dynamic Structural ModelsUniversity College LondonJune 30 to July 6, 2025

dseconf.org

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jul 3

What a pleasure to teach in the @econometric.bsky.social summer school in structural dynamic econometrics, and in such great company!

All lectures will be made available on YouTube soon.

dseconf.org/dse2025cours...

Econometric Society Summer Schoolin Dynamic Structural Econometrics 2025

Expectations and Learning in Dynamic Structural ModelsUniversity College LondonJune 30 to July 6, 2025

dseconf.org

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Reposted by Michela Tincani

Abi Adams @abicadams.bsky.social · Jun 27

I'm very excited for #EEA25!

We had 1900 submissions and look set for a fabulous time in Bordeaux.

A HUGE thanks to the leads and graders who allowed us to get the programme together.

See you in Bordeaux!

EEA @eeanews.bsky.social · Jun 26

As the scientific programme of #EEA25 is released, let us thank our scientific committee for putting together everything.
Thanks to you all: eea2025.org/eea-scientif...
Full scientific programme: eea2025.org/full-programme

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jun 26

New results from our study of the long-term impacts of affirmative action in college admissions (with Michela Carlana, Sara Chiuri and Enrico Miglino), using Chile’s PACE program.

How far down the academic achievement distribution can you go while still benefitting the students you target?

Yue Li @nkliyue.bsky.social · Jun 26

📢Michela Tincani (UCL), with Michela Carlana and Enrico Miglino, presents “How Far Can Inclusion Go? The Long-term Impacts of Preferential College Admissions” (1/7) @stoneeconucl.bsky.social @michelatincani.bsky.social

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Reposted by Michela Tincani

Yue Li @nkliyue.bsky.social · Jun 25

📢 Zachary Bleemer (Princeton) presents “College Peer Effects and the Labor Market” with Sahar Parsa, asking: Does grouping high-achieving students together benefit them academically or in the long run? (1/2)

@stoneeconucl.bsky.social

@zbleemer.bsky.social

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Reposted by Michela Tincani

Yue Li @nkliyue.bsky.social · Jun 25

📢 Viola Corradini (Columbia Business School) presents “Information and Access in School Choice Systems: Evidence from NYC,” asking: Can better information reduce school choice gaps?(1/4)
@stoneeconucl.bsky.social

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Michela Tincani @michelatincani.bsky.social · Jun 23

Preparing a lecture on subjective expectations for the Econometric Society summer school in Dynamic Structural Econometrics, and I found a Wolpin paper from 1985 (!) on the use of expectation data to estimate choice models.

Reposted by Michela Tincani

Kotaro Fujisaki @kotarofujisaki.bsky.social · Jun 20

Jack Mountjoy (University of Chicago, Booth School of Business) presents “College as a Marriage Market” to examine assortative marriage by college type and its economic consequences. (1/4)

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