The Full Monty
@montyseaford.bsky.social
Bonafied member of the human race, for better or worse. Here to join the fight for a better future!
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guess where they got their weird trade deficit math from?
i went to the pit for y'all and brought back the screenshots with alt text
i went to the pit for y'all and brought back the screenshots with alt text
![chatgpt log:
What would be an easy way to calculate the tariffs that should be imposed on other countries so that the US is on even-playing fields when it comes to trade deficit? Set minimum at 10%.
Reasoned about trade tariffs and deficits for 10 seconds v
A straightforward (if naïve) method is to set the tariff rate for each trading partner equal to the percentage share of the trade deficit relative to that country's total imports-always no less than 10%. In formula form:
Tariff Rate (%) = max(10, (Trade Deficit ÷ Total Imports) *
100)
For example, if the US runs a $20 billion deficit on $100 billion worth of imports from a country, the calculated rate is (20/100)×100 = 20%. If the deficit were only 5%, you'd still impose a 10% floor.
This method ignores the intricate dynamics of international trade-such as elasticities, retaliatory measures, and supply chain nuances-but it provides a blunt, proportional rule to "level the playing field." One might implement it in Python like so:
[code]](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:iyz5zf463ic52vqbonyu2ebu/bafkreigbalqxjorllnpelbwe5kcla5fdedxvgv3cicxdsrbdxarodif5ba@jpeg)
![Grok:
the deficit. The deficit as a percentage of total trade is
$295B/$582B = 50.69%. Using the formula Tariff% = 10% +
(Deficit% × Scaling Factor), we choose a scaling factor of 50 for illustration:
• Tariff = 10% + (50.69% × 50) = 10% + 25.345% = 35.345%, rounded to 35.3%.
This means a 35.3% tariff on Chinese goods could be proposed to offset the imbalance, aiming to reduce imports and encourage domestic production or exports.
Extending to Other Countries
To provide a broader view, here's a table of top US trading partners with 2024 deficits, using data from The Motley Fool and similar calculations (assuming scaling factor of 50 for consistency):
[data table headings]
Country
Deficit
(USD
Billion)
Total
Trade
(USD
Billion)
Deficit %
Calculate d Tariff %
China
-295
582
50.69%
35.3%
Mexico
-172
840
20.48%
20.2%
Vietnam
-123
(Data incomplet e, estimate)
~30%
25.0%
Ireland
-87
(Data incomplet e, estimate)
~25%
22.5%
Germany
-85
(Data incomplete estimate)
~20%
20.0%](https://cdn.bsky.app/img/feed_thumbnail/plain/did:plc:iyz5zf463ic52vqbonyu2ebu/bafkreietqlxsi5akdrvtp2rwqpc6kt6g6bbb2dppqcfn2j4q7xkofn4f4y@jpeg)
April 3, 2025 at 2:07 AM
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I sincerely hope that somebody is downloading all of history, printing it, and sealing it somewhere very secure. Real history is being erased and replaced, and it may be lost forever if steps aren't taken now. 😞
March 5, 2025 at 2:35 PM
I sincerely hope that somebody is downloading all of history, printing it, and sealing it somewhere very secure. Real history is being erased and replaced, and it may be lost forever if steps aren't taken now. 😞
This is brilliant!
February 20, 2025 at 2:51 PM
This is brilliant!
So, I m just curious. I have very few followers. Totally get that. But I literally get ZERO engagement on anything I post? Is this normal?
January 25, 2025 at 12:18 AM
So, I m just curious. I have very few followers. Totally get that. But I literally get ZERO engagement on anything I post? Is this normal?
This!!! This this this THIS!!
The reality is that Salesmanship is the differentiation between the two parties.
The Dems couldn't sell dollar bills for 50c
Trump has found his audience and can sell them dollar bills for $5
When everything is a story the algorithm flashes at you as you scroll, you better be selling fast
The Dems couldn't sell dollar bills for 50c
Trump has found his audience and can sell them dollar bills for $5
When everything is a story the algorithm flashes at you as you scroll, you better be selling fast
It is truly about who tells a better story — or really a story people want to hear and makes them see what they believe rather than believe what they see.
January 12, 2025 at 3:17 AM
This!!! This this this THIS!!
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Stumbled into this series from Australia's ABC called "America's Last Election," it explains Trump's authoritarian throughline and the progress he's making better than anything I'm seeing in the US.
Their advantage is they figure their audience needs the whole story.
And so do we!
Their advantage is they figure their audience needs the whole story.
And so do we!
The one thing Trump demands of his new cabinet - America’s Last Election 5 | If You’re Listening
YouTube video by ABC News In-depth
www.youtube.com
December 28, 2024 at 1:04 PM
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I had so much fun making this video, and I really want people to see it! @mrspearlmania500.bsky.social made an gift guide and I really needed some time to process it!
youtu.be/gDMWnKsF3rE
youtu.be/gDMWnKsF3rE
December 14, 2024 at 1:50 PM
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🤣🤣🤣
December 11, 2024 at 2:18 AM
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Everybody should read this!! 🥰🤘
December 9, 2024 at 9:18 PM
Everybody should read this!! 🥰🤘
Ernest Hemingway once said: Please don’t try to fix me. Don’t take on my pain or push away my shadows. Just sit beside me as I work through my own inner storms. Be the steady hand I can reach for as I find my way.
My pain is mine to carry, my battles mine to face.
My pain is mine to carry, my battles mine to face.
December 5, 2024 at 3:32 AM
Ernest Hemingway once said: Please don’t try to fix me. Don’t take on my pain or push away my shadows. Just sit beside me as I work through my own inner storms. Be the steady hand I can reach for as I find my way.
My pain is mine to carry, my battles mine to face.
My pain is mine to carry, my battles mine to face.
I'm just going to leave this right here. 1988 FZ interview with Charlie Rose...
December 4, 2024 at 1:23 PM
I'm just going to leave this right here. 1988 FZ interview with Charlie Rose...
This is SO spot on!!
Wow. No one else has made this point so clearly:
December 4, 2024 at 1:13 AM
This is SO spot on!!
November 17, 2024 at 10:47 PM