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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · 2d

On the different scenarios of how the war in Ukraine may develop. Includes an analysis of Russia's capacity to continue the war. The most realistic scenario - a prolonged conflict of low intensity.
www.csis.org/analysis/rus...

Russia’s War in Ukraine: The Next Chapter

Russia’s war in Ukraine has persisted for over three years. Despite U.S. mediation attempts, from Saudi talks to a Trump-Putin summit in Anchorage, and European debates on peacekeepers, Russia continu...

www.csis.org

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jul 12

In turn, a 64 percent majority of Republicans now say immigration is a good thing for the country, up from 39 percent last year."

Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jul 12

whose support for lowering immigration rates plummeted to 48 percent, from 88 percent just one year ago. Although a plurality still want immigration to decrease, an increasing share expressed a desire to keep immigration at current levels.

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jul 12

Wow. I don't remember if I ever saw that big of a shift in public opinion in just one year.
www.nytimes.com/2025/07/11/u...

"The recent shift in attitudes about immigration has been driven primarily by Republicans,

Support for Immigration Rebounds as Trump Cracks Down on It, Poll Finds

www.nytimes.com

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jun 22

The embassy never responded. Cristosal’s U.S.A.I.D. funding has since been canceled; the head of its anticorruption unit, Ruth López, was arrested last month, and is still in prison."

Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jun 22

When Cristosal’s director, Noah Bullock, heard Mr. Rubio would visit the country, he asked the embassy if the secretary would make time to meet with representatives from civil society groups like his, as had often been the case for such visits around the world.

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jun 22

One of the groups that U.S.A.I.D. funded in El Salvador, Cristosal, is a human rights group that investigates corruption by the country’s government.

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jun 22

Now, Mr. Rubio was meeting with Mr. Bukele, who has called himself the world’s “coolest dictator,” to discuss sending undocumented migrants from the United States to a notorious Salvadoran prison.

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jun 22

The agency spent more than $50 million on human rights and other pro-democracy programs in El Salvador last year, according to federal data.

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jun 22

www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/u...
"That Mr. Rubio was in El Salvador on the day of U.S.A.I.D.’s demise carried a particular resonance.

Missteps, Confusion and ‘Viral Waste’: The 14 Days That Doomed U.S.A.I.D.

www.nytimes.com

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Reposted by Natalia Forrat

Erica Chenoweth @chenoweth.bsky.social · Jun 13

My team and I at the Crowd Counting Consortium (@[email protected], Soha Hammam, & Chris Shay) have a new piece out: wagingnonviolence.org/2025/06/amer.... In it, we show that through May 2025, the size and scale of anti-Trump protests have dwarfed those in 2017. 🧵

A line chart with a blue line showing a large growth of protest events from Jan 20 - May 31, 2025, and a green line showing the relatively modest growth of protest events during the same period in 2017.

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Jun 3

The TLDR version of the talk:
cddrl.fsi.stanford.edu/news/unity-d...

Unity, Division, and the Grassroots Architecture of Authoritarian Rule

Dr. Natalia Forrat, a comparative political sociologist and lecturer at the University of Michigan’s Center for Russian, East European, and Eurasian Studies, explores how authoritarian regimes are mai...

cddrl.fsi.stanford.edu

Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · May 28

For those who did not make it to my book talk on April 1st, I will be doing it again tomorrow at the Stanford's CDDRL @ noon Pacific Time.
Stanford people - see you in person; everyone else can join via Zoom. @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social

cddrl.fsi.stanford.edu/events/socia...

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Apr 17

I'm far from saying that the US is like Russia, but it seems that in all countries, government funds and accreditation/certification are the sticks used by autocrats to tame universities. Kudos to Harvard for standing up to this. Universities have the power!
edition.cnn.com/2025/04/16/u...

DHS threatens to revoke Harvard’s eligibility to host international students unless it turns over disciplinary records | CNN

Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem is threatening to strip Harvard University of its ability to enroll international students if it doesn’t turn over records on international studen...

edition.cnn.com

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Reposted by Natalia Forrat

Maria Popova @popovaprof.bsky.social · Apr 10

Ask Trump whether he's still convinced Pu wants peace.

News Analysis @newsanalysis.com · Apr 10

Ukraine's Syrskyi confirms new Russian offensive in northeast, following Zelenskiy's warning. Increased attacks observed across multiple frontlines. #UkraineConflict #News

Ukraine's military chief says new Russian offensive has begun

Commander of the Ukrainian Ground Forces Syrskyi attends an in interview with Reuters in Kharkiv ...

ca.news.yahoo.com

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Reposted by Natalia Forrat

Dan Slater @dnsltr.bsky.social · Apr 10

Another year of programming to be proud of @umichDemocracy!

ii.umich.edu/emerging-dem...

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Apr 6

Any institution that stands up to Mr. Trump should be prepared to make sacrifices. ... One mistake that the submissive law firms made was imagining they had any chance of emerging unscathed once Mr. Trump targeted them."

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Apr 6

"A crucial fact about these agreements is that they include no binding promises from the White House. ... The university did not even win the restoration of that funding when it agreed to his demands; it won merely permission to begin negotiating with the administration.

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Apr 6

"The playbook begins with a recognition that capitulation is doomed."
www.nytimes.com/2025/04/06/o...

Opinion | A Playbook for Law Firms and Colleges to Stand Up to President Trump

Law firms and universities do not need to capitulate. Here’s how they can fight back.

www.nytimes.com

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Reposted by Natalia Forrat

Yaroslav Trofimov @yarotrof.bsky.social · Apr 5

He never knew a day of peace

Iryna Voichuk @irynavoichuk.bsky.social · Apr 5

This is Tymofii. Russia killed him with a cluster-loaded Iskander missile strike on Kryvyi Rih. He was only 3 years old.
#Ukraine

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Apr 3

Still shocking to me how quickly universities are giving up. Maybe they never went through a real test of their integrity, and their true essence is now being revealed.

Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Apr 3

"Liu, who said she was already in New York when she received the call, told CTV News that she was told that the slides about Gaza “could be perceived as antisemitic” and that the USAID slides might be perceived as “anti-governmental”."
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...

NYU canceled talk on USAID cuts for being ‘anti-governmental’, doctor says

University called Dr Joanne Liu, ex-head of Doctors Without Borders, after planning to speak on Gaza and federal cuts

www.theguardian.com

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Reposted by Natalia Forrat

Mina Kimes @minakimes.bsky.social · Apr 2

This was….five months ago

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Reposted by Natalia Forrat

Anton Barbashin @abarbashin.bsky.social · Mar 31

This one is has nothing to do with peace talks. Putin signs those twice a year. Every year

SAINT JAVELIN @saintjavelin.bsky.social · Mar 31

Putin has signed a decree for the spring military draft.
Truly, no one makes deals like Donnie.

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Natalia Forrat @nataliaforrat.bsky.social · Mar 31

Dear all - if you're free at lunchtime (EST) tomorrow (April 1), come or connect to my book talk at the University of Michigan Center for Emerging Democracies! THIS IS NOT A JOKE!

Zoom registration link: myumi.ch/qV3kX

Also, check out the book in your library: global.oup.com/academic/pro...

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