Neil Lovatt
@neillovatt.bsky.social
Retired from life in financial services.
Fighting terminal cancer full time, so going for all 15 rounds.
Mainly ranting about the collapsing fertility rate in Scotland and no one wanting to talk about it.
Fighting terminal cancer full time, so going for all 15 rounds.
Mainly ranting about the collapsing fertility rate in Scotland and no one wanting to talk about it.
Remarkable FOI.
The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU.
So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t.
You can’t make this up.
The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU.
So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t.
You can’t make this up.
November 5, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Remarkable FOI.
The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU.
So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t.
You can’t make this up.
The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU.
So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t.
You can’t make this up.
At request from the other place.
Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me.
You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.
Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me.
You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.
October 4, 2025 at 7:37 AM
At request from the other place.
Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me.
You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.
Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me.
You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.
It’s all going to end in tears….
October 3, 2025 at 7:12 AM
It’s all going to end in tears….
Been struggling a bit but these are the latest ones I think. Not much happening.
August 27, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Been struggling a bit but these are the latest ones I think. Not much happening.
Week 31 of the SubPoll series.
SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot.
The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.
SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot.
The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.
August 6, 2025 at 6:34 AM
Week 31 of the SubPoll series.
SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot.
The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.
SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot.
The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.
Week 30 of the #SubPollSeries for Scotland. SNP and Labour stall whilst Reform pops up again to take second place.
Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well.
Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.
Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well.
Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.
July 23, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Week 30 of the #SubPollSeries for Scotland. SNP and Labour stall whilst Reform pops up again to take second place.
Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well.
Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.
Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well.
Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.
You wait for one #SubPollSeries and two come along within a couple of days.
#Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before.
Indyvoting is going nowhere fast.
The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.
#Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before.
Indyvoting is going nowhere fast.
The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.
July 16, 2025 at 9:17 AM
You wait for one #SubPollSeries and two come along within a couple of days.
#Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before.
Indyvoting is going nowhere fast.
The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.
#Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before.
Indyvoting is going nowhere fast.
The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.
Despite all of this and a significant fall in the SNP and pro-indy vote since the last election, you end up with a Scottish Parliament which has an SNP minority but a pro-indy majority of MPS.
The split unionist vote is only benefitting the SNP, a huge dilemma for unionists.
The split unionist vote is only benefitting the SNP, a huge dilemma for unionists.
July 15, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Despite all of this and a significant fall in the SNP and pro-indy vote since the last election, you end up with a Scottish Parliament which has an SNP minority but a pro-indy majority of MPS.
The split unionist vote is only benefitting the SNP, a huge dilemma for unionists.
The split unionist vote is only benefitting the SNP, a huge dilemma for unionists.
Tories and Liberals trading places as 3rd and 4th place.
Finally we're seeing the SNP (and Greens) just flatten out.
This shows in the pro-indy voting which is about as flat a line as you will ever see in polling, something you don't see unless you have the frequence of the #SubPollSeries.
Finally we're seeing the SNP (and Greens) just flatten out.
This shows in the pro-indy voting which is about as flat a line as you will ever see in polling, something you don't see unless you have the frequence of the #SubPollSeries.
July 15, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Tories and Liberals trading places as 3rd and 4th place.
Finally we're seeing the SNP (and Greens) just flatten out.
This shows in the pro-indy voting which is about as flat a line as you will ever see in polling, something you don't see unless you have the frequence of the #SubPollSeries.
Finally we're seeing the SNP (and Greens) just flatten out.
This shows in the pro-indy voting which is about as flat a line as you will ever see in polling, something you don't see unless you have the frequence of the #SubPollSeries.
Well hello there.
Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28.
The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.
Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28.
The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.
July 15, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Well hello there.
Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28.
The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.
Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28.
The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.
R W B… it’s there in the title.
July 7, 2025 at 5:13 AM
R W B… it’s there in the title.
Literal ‘Midnight sun’ in Fort William on the 3rd of July.
A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.
A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.
July 6, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Literal ‘Midnight sun’ in Fort William on the 3rd of July.
A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.
A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.
No question though this would be a remarkable result for the SNP, to win again and dominate Scottish politics for over 25 years, albeit due to an incredibly split opposition and an opposition that is looking more split than ever.
July 4, 2025 at 5:24 AM
No question though this would be a remarkable result for the SNP, to win again and dominate Scottish politics for over 25 years, albeit due to an incredibly split opposition and an opposition that is looking more split than ever.
This 'translates' into another hung Scottish Parliament but with a pro-nationalist majority as you can assume some coordination of voting between the SNP and Greens.
So pro-nationalist MSPs on a lower minority of the vote.
Proportional representation, you have to love it!
So pro-nationalist MSPs on a lower minority of the vote.
Proportional representation, you have to love it!
July 4, 2025 at 5:24 AM
This 'translates' into another hung Scottish Parliament but with a pro-nationalist majority as you can assume some coordination of voting between the SNP and Greens.
So pro-nationalist MSPs on a lower minority of the vote.
Proportional representation, you have to love it!
So pro-nationalist MSPs on a lower minority of the vote.
Proportional representation, you have to love it!
Week 27 of the #SubPollSeries
Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump.
Labour are number two, just, in Scotland.
Tories look finished.
Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump.
Labour are number two, just, in Scotland.
Tories look finished.
July 4, 2025 at 5:24 AM
Week 27 of the #SubPollSeries
Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump.
Labour are number two, just, in Scotland.
Tories look finished.
Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump.
Labour are number two, just, in Scotland.
Tories look finished.
With the IPSOS poll out today I've updated the long poll database.
We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting.
In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.
We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting.
In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.
July 1, 2025 at 2:36 PM
With the IPSOS poll out today I've updated the long poll database.
We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting.
In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.
We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting.
In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.
#SubPollSeries (adjusted for the Scottish Parliament) in the @devolvedelections.bsky.social model showing that we're on a knife edge for the balance of the Parliament.
SNP are 7 short of a majority with Labour the main opposition (just).
SNP are 7 short of a majority with Labour the main opposition (just).
June 25, 2025 at 7:59 AM
#SubPollSeries (adjusted for the Scottish Parliament) in the @devolvedelections.bsky.social model showing that we're on a knife edge for the balance of the Parliament.
SNP are 7 short of a majority with Labour the main opposition (just).
SNP are 7 short of a majority with Labour the main opposition (just).
Week26 on the #SubPollSeries and I think we can confirm that we are looking at the Reform vote in Scotland on the way back down.
Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.
The media are missing this change.
Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.
The media are missing this change.
June 25, 2025 at 7:46 AM
Week26 on the #SubPollSeries and I think we can confirm that we are looking at the Reform vote in Scotland on the way back down.
Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.
The media are missing this change.
Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.
The media are missing this change.
Slashing immigration whilst watching your population decline due to a collapsed fertility rate.
This is madness.
This is madness.
June 24, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Slashing immigration whilst watching your population decline due to a collapsed fertility rate.
This is madness.
This is madness.
The first post Hamilton by-election #SubPollSeries and there are two simultaneous but separate sub-polls showing Reform collapsing in Scotland.
This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant.
Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...
This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant.
Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...
June 20, 2025 at 4:34 AM
The first post Hamilton by-election #SubPollSeries and there are two simultaneous but separate sub-polls showing Reform collapsing in Scotland.
This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant.
Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...
This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant.
Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...
The nature of this thread turns on these two posts.
You argued that Northern Ireland has the right to secession. That clearly is not the case.
It has the right to request to be transferred to Ireland and for that request to be treated reasonably.
At no point is that the right of secession.
You argued that Northern Ireland has the right to secession. That clearly is not the case.
It has the right to request to be transferred to Ireland and for that request to be treated reasonably.
At no point is that the right of secession.
June 14, 2025 at 9:40 AM
The nature of this thread turns on these two posts.
You argued that Northern Ireland has the right to secession. That clearly is not the case.
It has the right to request to be transferred to Ireland and for that request to be treated reasonably.
At no point is that the right of secession.
You argued that Northern Ireland has the right to secession. That clearly is not the case.
It has the right to request to be transferred to Ireland and for that request to be treated reasonably.
At no point is that the right of secession.
Making adjustments for the differences between Westminster and the Scottish Parliament voting patterns, the brilliant @devolvedelections.bsky.social shows that this projects a hung Parliament with a pro-unionist majority and Reform the largest party.
Who the hell would make it to First Minister?
Who the hell would make it to First Minister?
June 13, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Making adjustments for the differences between Westminster and the Scottish Parliament voting patterns, the brilliant @devolvedelections.bsky.social shows that this projects a hung Parliament with a pro-unionist majority and Reform the largest party.
Who the hell would make it to First Minister?
Who the hell would make it to First Minister?
The Conservative collapse is also continuing and the underlying is putting them firmly into single figures.
So basically the SNP are going no where from their poor 2024 election showing but at least, for them, not down and it's Labour that have suffered the most.
So basically the SNP are going no where from their poor 2024 election showing but at least, for them, not down and it's Labour that have suffered the most.
June 13, 2025 at 6:12 PM
The Conservative collapse is also continuing and the underlying is putting them firmly into single figures.
So basically the SNP are going no where from their poor 2024 election showing but at least, for them, not down and it's Labour that have suffered the most.
So basically the SNP are going no where from their poor 2024 election showing but at least, for them, not down and it's Labour that have suffered the most.
Well, it's taken a while to get the data for the #SubPollSeries for Week 24 but it's worth it, the first numbers since the Hamilton by-election and Reform are charging ahead. Now well ahead of Labour, the underlying data is showing an even stronger showing for them.
June 13, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Well, it's taken a while to get the data for the #SubPollSeries for Week 24 but it's worth it, the first numbers since the Hamilton by-election and Reform are charging ahead. Now well ahead of Labour, the underlying data is showing an even stronger showing for them.