Neil Lovatt
@neillovatt.bsky.social
Retired from life in financial services.
Fighting terminal cancer full time, so going for all 15 rounds.
Mainly ranting about the collapsing fertility rate in Scotland and no one wanting to talk about it.
Fighting terminal cancer full time, so going for all 15 rounds.
Mainly ranting about the collapsing fertility rate in Scotland and no one wanting to talk about it.
Pinned
Neil Lovatt
@neillovatt.bsky.social
· May 5
The New Natural State: Embracing the Reality of Low Fertility Rates
Introduction: A New Trajectory in Fertility I’ve been reading up a bit more on physics of late, because I have the time. As I was doing so, ...
rwbblog.blogspot.com
rwbblog.blogspot.com/2025/05/the-...
New blog, why we are getting it all wrong when it comes to the fertility rate.
Low fertility is the new normal, trying to get it back up again is like trying to uninvent the internet.
New blog, why we are getting it all wrong when it comes to the fertility rate.
Low fertility is the new normal, trying to get it back up again is like trying to uninvent the internet.
Remarkable FOI.
The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU.
So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t.
You can’t make this up.
The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU.
So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t.
You can’t make this up.
November 5, 2025 at 2:05 PM
Remarkable FOI.
The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU.
So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t.
You can’t make this up.
The SNP independence paper questions and answers claims that the EU are silent on the need for your own currency to join the EU.
So I asked if they had looked at Chapter 17 of the entry requirements… and they hadn’t.
You can’t make this up.
rwbblog.blogspot.com/2025/10/the-...
New blog post on how many people are misreading the self-financing state.
New blog post on how many people are misreading the self-financing state.
The Self-financing fallacy
Taxes Don’t Destroy Money — They Deposit It in a Dead-Zone Drawer Economists love a good magic trick; the trouble is, too many nationalists ...
rwbblog.blogspot.com
October 27, 2025 at 4:58 PM
rwbblog.blogspot.com/2025/10/the-...
New blog post on how many people are misreading the self-financing state.
New blog post on how many people are misreading the self-financing state.
At request from the other place.
Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me.
You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.
Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me.
You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.
October 4, 2025 at 7:37 AM
At request from the other place.
Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me.
You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.
Darren, I'm checking in with you on Linkedin because I've tried to connect with you as I want to discuss these false and libellous allegations you are making against me.
You can see that your connection request is pending and has been for some time.
It’s all going to end in tears….
October 3, 2025 at 7:12 AM
It’s all going to end in tears….
My friend Phil has asked me to post this so he can show it to you.
I've told you in the past that I don't need the stress of this crap given my condition.
Please don't tell terminally ill people to get well soon, it's disrespectful.
I'm not @Nat_Rattler and you know I'm not, just cut the crap.
I've told you in the past that I don't need the stress of this crap given my condition.
Please don't tell terminally ill people to get well soon, it's disrespectful.
I'm not @Nat_Rattler and you know I'm not, just cut the crap.
October 2, 2025 at 2:47 PM
My friend Phil has asked me to post this so he can show it to you.
I've told you in the past that I don't need the stress of this crap given my condition.
Please don't tell terminally ill people to get well soon, it's disrespectful.
I'm not @Nat_Rattler and you know I'm not, just cut the crap.
I've told you in the past that I don't need the stress of this crap given my condition.
Please don't tell terminally ill people to get well soon, it's disrespectful.
I'm not @Nat_Rattler and you know I'm not, just cut the crap.
Week 31 of the SubPoll series.
SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot.
The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.
SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot.
The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.
August 6, 2025 at 6:34 AM
Week 31 of the SubPoll series.
SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot.
The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.
SNP flattening continues. Reform still nudging Labour into third place and LibDems pushing the Tories into 5th spot.
The underlyings are also showing the Tories really on a downward spiral right now and they need a hell of a change shortly to get out of it.
Week 30 of the #SubPollSeries for Scotland. SNP and Labour stall whilst Reform pops up again to take second place.
Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well.
Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.
Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well.
Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.
July 23, 2025 at 7:53 PM
Week 30 of the #SubPollSeries for Scotland. SNP and Labour stall whilst Reform pops up again to take second place.
Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well.
Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.
Translates into a hung Scottish Parliament again with Labour just the opposition but Reform getting very close as well.
Liberals looking like the 3rd unionist party on voting terms.
You wait for one #SubPollSeries and two come along within a couple of days.
#Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before.
Indyvoting is going nowhere fast.
The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.
#Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before.
Indyvoting is going nowhere fast.
The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.
July 16, 2025 at 9:17 AM
You wait for one #SubPollSeries and two come along within a couple of days.
#Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before.
Indyvoting is going nowhere fast.
The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.
#Week29 is here (there may be some further tweaks) but nothing more remarkable than before.
Indyvoting is going nowhere fast.
The split unionist vote is currently gifting the SNP the Parliament.
Well hello there.
Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28.
The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.
Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28.
The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.
July 15, 2025 at 5:08 AM
Well hello there.
Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28.
The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.
Looks like it's time for another #SubPollSeries, Week 28.
The fall of Reform in Scotland is really quote obvious now, as we've seen from the underlying trends, Labour have cemented their position as the second party of Scotland since their by-election win.
Bonkers! We are not having enough kids!!! Stop putting up social barriers!
The Scottish Government has confirmed it will launch a consultation on raising the minimum age for marriage and civil partnerships
Scottish Government to look at changing minimum marriage age
www.thenational.scot
July 8, 2025 at 6:27 PM
Bonkers! We are not having enough kids!!! Stop putting up social barriers!
NEW: Stephen Flynn has called for Labour to ensure MPs get a vote as his bill on Waspi compensation comes to the Commons later today ⬇️
Get the full story: www.thenational.scot/news/2504464...
Get the full story: www.thenational.scot/news/2504464...
July 6, 2025 at 5:16 PM
It's all a bit Partridge: "needless to say I had the last laugh" but FINALLY we have absolute and definitive proof that the SNP have been lying to and playing vulnerable #WASPI women.
Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Blackford and Flynn should be ashamed.
rwbblog.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-...
Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Blackford and Flynn should be ashamed.
rwbblog.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-...
The Great WASPI Cover-Up - Part 4: A Decade On, No More Excuses
I know, it’s been a while. But I’m nothing but patient! Almost a decade since I first exposed the SNP’s dodgy dance around the WASPI issue...
rwbblog.blogspot.com
July 6, 2025 at 4:42 PM
It's all a bit Partridge: "needless to say I had the last laugh" but FINALLY we have absolute and definitive proof that the SNP have been lying to and playing vulnerable #WASPI women.
Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Blackford and Flynn should be ashamed.
rwbblog.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-...
Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Blackford and Flynn should be ashamed.
rwbblog.blogspot.com/2025/07/the-...
www.blogger.com/blog/post/ed...
It's all a bit Partridge: "needless to say I had the last laugh" but FINALLY we have absolute and definitive proof that the SNP have been lying to and playing vulnerable #WASPI women.
Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Iain Blackford and Stephen Flynn should be ashamed.
It's all a bit Partridge: "needless to say I had the last laugh" but FINALLY we have absolute and definitive proof that the SNP have been lying to and playing vulnerable #WASPI women.
Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Iain Blackford and Stephen Flynn should be ashamed.
Blogger
Weblog publishing tool from Google, for sharing text, photos and video.
www.blogger.com
July 6, 2025 at 4:40 PM
www.blogger.com/blog/post/ed...
It's all a bit Partridge: "needless to say I had the last laugh" but FINALLY we have absolute and definitive proof that the SNP have been lying to and playing vulnerable #WASPI women.
Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Iain Blackford and Stephen Flynn should be ashamed.
It's all a bit Partridge: "needless to say I had the last laugh" but FINALLY we have absolute and definitive proof that the SNP have been lying to and playing vulnerable #WASPI women.
Jeane Freeman, Mhairi Black, Iain Blackford and Stephen Flynn should be ashamed.
Literal ‘Midnight sun’ in Fort William on the 3rd of July.
A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.
A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.
July 6, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Literal ‘Midnight sun’ in Fort William on the 3rd of July.
A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.
A meteor lights up the sky at 00:50.
Week 27 of the #SubPollSeries
Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump.
Labour are number two, just, in Scotland.
Tories look finished.
Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump.
Labour are number two, just, in Scotland.
Tories look finished.
July 4, 2025 at 5:24 AM
Week 27 of the #SubPollSeries
Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump.
Labour are number two, just, in Scotland.
Tories look finished.
Reform continues to fall back in Scotland with the SNP the main beneficiaries. This is in line with the latest Scotland only poll by IPSOS but they, like the media, missed their mid month bump.
Labour are number two, just, in Scotland.
Tories look finished.
With the IPSOS poll out today I've updated the long poll database.
We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting.
In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.
We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting.
In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.
July 1, 2025 at 2:36 PM
With the IPSOS poll out today I've updated the long poll database.
We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting.
In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.
We're still looking at the "Yes" vote at at or just above 45%, alongside some rather shall we say interesting pro-yes weighting.
In effect the Yes vote is flat as a pancake and of little interest to all but a quarter of Scots.
Week26 on the #SubPollSeries and I think we can confirm that we are looking at the Reform vote in Scotland on the way back down.
Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.
The media are missing this change.
Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.
The media are missing this change.
June 25, 2025 at 7:46 AM
Week26 on the #SubPollSeries and I think we can confirm that we are looking at the Reform vote in Scotland on the way back down.
Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.
The media are missing this change.
Labour have taken back 2nd place in Scotland as they and the SNP have benefitted from the collapse of the Tories and fall of Reform.
The media are missing this change.
Reposted by Neil Lovatt
The Scottish Government binned a significant pledge to get a grip on the size of the public sector workforce, said it was because of inflation (which makes absolutely no sense at all), and then just let headcount continue to balloon.🧵on this extraordinary incompetence…
1/ In May 2022, Kate Forbes made a significant pledge: Scot Gov would reset the public sector, returning the size of the workforce to pre-Covid levels, & freezing the pay bill. Here she discusses the plan at a June 2022 meeting of the Finance & Public Administration Committee.🧵
June 24, 2025 at 5:02 PM
The Scottish Government binned a significant pledge to get a grip on the size of the public sector workforce, said it was because of inflation (which makes absolutely no sense at all), and then just let headcount continue to balloon.🧵on this extraordinary incompetence…
Slashing immigration whilst watching your population decline due to a collapsed fertility rate.
This is madness.
This is madness.
June 24, 2025 at 3:36 PM
Slashing immigration whilst watching your population decline due to a collapsed fertility rate.
This is madness.
This is madness.
The first post Hamilton by-election #SubPollSeries and there are two simultaneous but separate sub-polls showing Reform collapsing in Scotland.
This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant.
Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...
This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant.
Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...
June 20, 2025 at 4:34 AM
The first post Hamilton by-election #SubPollSeries and there are two simultaneous but separate sub-polls showing Reform collapsing in Scotland.
This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant.
Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...
This might be a freak like tossing 4 coins and getting 4 heads but it looks quite significant.
Main beneficiary seems to be the SNP...
Hi @devolvedelections.bsky.social, can I ask about your tactical voting modifier.
It says that the voter may switch to a larger party where the result is close, but what does that mean? Is it the larger party in anti/pro union voting, anti Tory voting or something else?
It says that the voter may switch to a larger party where the result is close, but what does that mean? Is it the larger party in anti/pro union voting, anti Tory voting or something else?
June 15, 2025 at 4:53 AM
Hi @devolvedelections.bsky.social, can I ask about your tactical voting modifier.
It says that the voter may switch to a larger party where the result is close, but what does that mean? Is it the larger party in anti/pro union voting, anti Tory voting or something else?
It says that the voter may switch to a larger party where the result is close, but what does that mean? Is it the larger party in anti/pro union voting, anti Tory voting or something else?
Well, it's taken a while to get the data for the #SubPollSeries for Week 24 but it's worth it, the first numbers since the Hamilton by-election and Reform are charging ahead. Now well ahead of Labour, the underlying data is showing an even stronger showing for them.
June 13, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Well, it's taken a while to get the data for the #SubPollSeries for Week 24 but it's worth it, the first numbers since the Hamilton by-election and Reform are charging ahead. Now well ahead of Labour, the underlying data is showing an even stronger showing for them.
When you try to argue that the UK imposes spending or tax figures on the Scottish Government in GERS.
It ends thus...
It ends thus...
Sorry, do you think I’m your personal Alexa? Muted.
June 9, 2025 at 10:50 AM
When you try to argue that the UK imposes spending or tax figures on the Scottish Government in GERS.
It ends thus...
It ends thus...
Reposted by Neil Lovatt
UK Pension Schemes Bill will consolidate Local Government Pension Scheme (England) assets in six pools that can invest in local areas infrastructure, housing and clean energy. In Scotland, assets are spread in too many funds, as we highlighted here.
reidfoundation.scot/2025/01/pens...
reidfoundation.scot/2025/01/pens...
Pension Fund Investment and the Economy – The Jimmy Reid Foundation
reidfoundation.scot
June 5, 2025 at 9:10 AM
UK Pension Schemes Bill will consolidate Local Government Pension Scheme (England) assets in six pools that can invest in local areas infrastructure, housing and clean energy. In Scotland, assets are spread in too many funds, as we highlighted here.
reidfoundation.scot/2025/01/pens...
reidfoundation.scot/2025/01/pens...