Nick Parr
@nickparr.bsky.social
520 followers 320 following 29 posts
Demographer. Former Professor at Macquarie University, Sydney. Interested in population trends, population issues, births, deaths and migration, population maths and statistics.
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nickparr.bsky.social
Plans to replace 2031 census in England and Wales set to be abandoned after backlash

Pleased to read this
Reposted by Nick Parr
genus.bsky.social
👉 Check our new publication - by Li, Cheng, Liu & @emitanaka.org:

"Analysis of international life expectancies with manifold learning and neural networks"

🔗 genus.springeropen.com/articles/10....
nickparr.bsky.social
Global population data is in crisis – here’s why that matters
theconversation.com/global-popul...

Important discussion of threats to the compilation of accurate population data
and the importance
of having such data.
Global population data is in crisis – here’s why that matters
When certain groups of people are systematically undercounted, they become invisible to policymakers.
theconversation.com
Reposted by Nick Parr
rebeccasear.bsky.social
The day I realised this is exactly how university rankings work was not a day which helped in my fight against cynicism
statsepi.bsky.social
Happy "ask your mates at other universities to say something nice about your own university and vice versa in order to prop up the giant farce that is the completely unnecessary but highly profitable university "rankings" industry"-day, for all the simps that celebrate it.
nickparr.bsky.social
A quokka and Rottnest Island beach yesterday.
nickparr.bsky.social
I suspect this is sensationalist nonsense. It is a projection not a forecast apparently based on linear extrapolation with no mention of effect of immigration (hence children, grandchildren etc etc of immigrants) perpetuating some level of population floor.
nickparr.bsky.social
Components of population growth for Australia.
The population grew by 2.1% in the year to 30 June 2024
Reposted by Nick Parr
mclem.org
Causes death for children in the United States of America.

www.nytimes.com/2024/11/19/b...
Reposted by Nick Parr
nickparr.bsky.social
Which TFRs would prevent population decrease in 2024 if
deaths and net migration
are as per 2024 US census bureau estimates?

China 1.27 (vs 1.23 for 2024)
Japan 2.27 (vs 1.40)
South Korea 0.81 (vs 0.68)
Italy 1.40 (vs 1.26)
nickparr.bsky.social
www.planning.nsw.gov.au/data-and-ins...
The population of New South Wales is projected to increase from 8.1 million in 2021 to
10.1 million in 2041, despite
a low assumed fertility rate.

The growth may be seen as the product of fertility being above the MIGRATION-ADJUSTED replacement level.
Population projections | Planning
Our population projections provide a strong foundation on which to base planning for the future of NSW.
www.planning.nsw.gov.au
nickparr.bsky.social
Yes I remember examples from when my kids were in day care. There have also been increases in childlessness (although some of this is just more overseas students, working holidaymakers etc getting counted in the population).
Reposted by Nick Parr
aureliemejean.bsky.social
The evidence gathered from 127 peer reviewed papers shows that climate change impacts increase economic inequalities and disproportionately affect the poor, both globally and within countries on all continents
3/10
nickparr.bsky.social
Link to my starter list of demographers and adjacent