NOLA Analytics
nolaanalytics.bsky.social
NOLA Analytics
@nolaanalytics.bsky.social
Analysis on Pelicans and Saints (and a hint of Alabama) mostly from a stats/math/analytics background
Almost every Bama underachieving season/one where they miss the Playoff involves a loss like this:

2019 vs Auburn: 94% PGWE
2024 vs Vandy: 98.5% PGWE
2025 vs OU: 95.2% PGWE
November 16, 2025 at 2:16 PM
I had to stop my set at the gym just now laughing at this part of the pod.
November 5, 2025 at 6:13 PM
And the saddest part is that there's no sign this'll improve. A Benson team has never planned for the future over the present since they bought the Pels (until the Derek Carr retirement forced their hand this year). We're barreling towards basketball in New Orleans ending with a whimper.
November 3, 2025 at 8:38 PM
I have spent more time watching, reading about, listening to podcasts, etc. on the Pelicans than I have any other team. And I haven't watched a second yet this season and likely won't as long as the regime continues on this track. Benson's group has killed basketball here.
November 3, 2025 at 8:38 PM
Using SP+, an average top 10 team would have about a 2% chance of losing @ UCLA in 2025.

For reference, an average top 10 team per SP+ in 2024 would have about a 2% of losing both @ Vanderbilt and @ Oklahoma.

It’s unfathomable how bad of a loss it is.
October 5, 2025 at 3:57 AM
And if you're a bride or groom, do whatever works best for you. But just know that if you get married, say, on a Saturday in the Fall, people at your reception will probably be checking scores/watching games so take that into account when figuring out which will be the most fun date for you.
September 25, 2025 at 4:17 PM
I think I've settled on: do whatever makes you happier. If watching the football game will make you happier than celebrating your friend, so be it.

But under no circumstances should you ever be complaining to the bride and groom that their wedding date/time is inconvenient for you.
September 25, 2025 at 4:15 PM
The idea of going 4-13 vs 8-9 is that, at the end of the year, when you are in position to draft a QB, no one will look back and say "well at least the Derek Carr teams won about half the time. I miss those days" because going 8-9 also sucks, and everyone will at least be excited about the next QB.
September 22, 2025 at 1:18 PM
If the Pelicans are any hint into how this organization will operate, the Saints will pivot from running a somewhat real search and finding a young offensive head coach by firing him in a couple years and hiring Aaron Glenn after he’s fired by the Jets.
September 21, 2025 at 9:31 PM
It's similar to the zero tolerance policy for gambling and why players get insane suspensions for merely betting on a different sport while on team property.

It should be on teams to avoid anything that could reasonably be interpreted as cheating.
September 19, 2025 at 2:46 PM
With Alabama's 45 point expected margin of victory yesterday, I fear for your mentions when the SP+ rankings drop.
September 14, 2025 at 1:52 PM