Vlad Oligarchsky
@opulenceihazit.bsky.social
I am epic win.
Украине – мир, России – свободу
Украине – мир, России – свободу
If your paycheck is dependent on the Federal government, there is actually a big difference between "the first day Trump entered office" or any other day he's in office that's not a shutdown and an actual lapse in appropriations. You can't treat them as equivalent.
November 10, 2025 at 3:22 PM
If your paycheck is dependent on the Federal government, there is actually a big difference between "the first day Trump entered office" or any other day he's in office that's not a shutdown and an actual lapse in appropriations. You can't treat them as equivalent.
It really is Yom Kippur for the nerd tribe
November 10, 2025 at 1:22 PM
It really is Yom Kippur for the nerd tribe
Maybe, maybe not. There's a point at which key constituencies who *are* in the know, like public sector unions, might diverge from the GenPop. The point is, fear of public blame for the shutdown should not be part of the calculation. Even so, you still need a theory of the case for how it ends well.
November 10, 2025 at 4:23 AM
Maybe, maybe not. There's a point at which key constituencies who *are* in the know, like public sector unions, might diverge from the GenPop. The point is, fear of public blame for the shutdown should not be part of the calculation. Even so, you still need a theory of the case for how it ends well.
These are the same people who believe the president has a Good Economy button on his desk and either presses it or refuses to do so because he has some other agenda
November 10, 2025 at 4:16 AM
These are the same people who believe the president has a Good Economy button on his desk and either presses it or refuses to do so because he has some other agenda
Any and all strategy has to be predicted on the fact that most of the public cannot process "why did you shut the government down?" as a question posed to *Dems* because they're not in the majority. The average American becomes viscerally angry if you try to make them understand what a cloture is.
November 10, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Any and all strategy has to be predicted on the fact that most of the public cannot process "why did you shut the government down?" as a question posed to *Dems* because they're not in the majority. The average American becomes viscerally angry if you try to make them understand what a cloture is.
The most straightforward theory of victory is that a large chunk of the public is allergic to the word "cloture" or anything resembling parliamentary procedure, so... The Worse, The Better, because all blame attaches to the GOP and it's trifecta until the pain becomes too much to bear
November 10, 2025 at 3:40 AM
The most straightforward theory of victory is that a large chunk of the public is allergic to the word "cloture" or anything resembling parliamentary procedure, so... The Worse, The Better, because all blame attaches to the GOP and it's trifecta until the pain becomes too much to bear
Any excuse to post... WHERE IS JA? m.youtube.com/watch?v=Mo-d...
Dave Chappelle - Ja rule
YouTube video by gazala
m.youtube.com
November 10, 2025 at 3:19 AM
Any excuse to post... WHERE IS JA? m.youtube.com/watch?v=Mo-d...
Yeah, for sure, it's only something you'd do if you thought one or more of the ARTCCs along the way we're so understaffed that it would cause delays. Most GA is between 5k and 10k feet, so you've got a window where there's not a lot of risk of conflict. 8k is odd, maybe flying under Class B or C
November 9, 2025 at 11:22 PM
Yeah, for sure, it's only something you'd do if you thought one or more of the ARTCCs along the way we're so understaffed that it would cause delays. Most GA is between 5k and 10k feet, so you've got a window where there's not a lot of risk of conflict. 8k is odd, maybe flying under Class B or C
An apt metaphor for a certain would-be American Louis XIV
November 9, 2025 at 8:44 PM
An apt metaphor for a certain would-be American Louis XIV
(Context: I spent 10 years at FEMA but left 3 years ago) US&R teams are not FEMA employees and are not under FEMA OPCON when activated, so that's why I excluded them. You say they got rid of the DSA cadre? It's still on the website www.fema.gov/careers/path...
November 9, 2025 at 3:26 PM
(Context: I spent 10 years at FEMA but left 3 years ago) US&R teams are not FEMA employees and are not under FEMA OPCON when activated, so that's why I excluded them. You say they got rid of the DSA cadre? It's still on the website www.fema.gov/careers/path...
This gives the Coasties a sad
November 9, 2025 at 3:03 PM
This gives the Coasties a sad
The Response staff both in the Regions and HQ do play a very important role, but mostly a coordinating one. The Logistics folks are probably the most 'boots on the ground' FEMA employees from a Response standpoint, but the 'people in the FEMA jackets' walking door to door are DSA, i.e., Recovery
November 9, 2025 at 3:00 PM
The Response staff both in the Regions and HQ do play a very important role, but mostly a coordinating one. The Logistics folks are probably the most 'boots on the ground' FEMA employees from a Response standpoint, but the 'people in the FEMA jackets' walking door to door are DSA, i.e., Recovery
It's true that Response writ large makes up a small part of FEMA staffing. That makes sense because FEMA is not a first responder agency and Response is the shortest, most limited phase - Recovery, Mitigation, and Preparedness are all more enduring and more expensive, hence the grants, training, etc
November 9, 2025 at 2:57 PM
It's true that Response writ large makes up a small part of FEMA staffing. That makes sense because FEMA is not a first responder agency and Response is the shortest, most limited phase - Recovery, Mitigation, and Preparedness are all more enduring and more expensive, hence the grants, training, etc
That's especially ironic considering that FEMA NFIP $ are an important part of the Kalispell economy through the NFS folks
www.downtownkalispell.com/national-flo...
www.downtownkalispell.com/national-flo...
National Flood Services | Kalispell, Montana | Downtown Kalispell
Kalispell Downtown Association Member, National Flood Services, a leader in the flood industry, near Downtown Kalispell.
www.downtownkalispell.com
November 9, 2025 at 2:40 PM
That's especially ironic considering that FEMA NFIP $ are an important part of the Kalispell economy through the NFS folks
www.downtownkalispell.com/national-flo...
www.downtownkalispell.com/national-flo...
The ACC is a Markov chain
November 9, 2025 at 1:52 AM
The ACC is a Markov chain
3. Engaging with the various interest groups on your side to understand/document what policy changes they want to see.
4. Engaging with the legislative branch to start putting together what the executive wants on the legislative body's agenda.
4. Engaging with the legislative branch to start putting together what the executive wants on the legislative body's agenda.
November 9, 2025 at 1:17 AM
3. Engaging with the various interest groups on your side to understand/document what policy changes they want to see.
4. Engaging with the legislative branch to start putting together what the executive wants on the legislative body's agenda.
4. Engaging with the legislative branch to start putting together what the executive wants on the legislative body's agenda.
The policy teams are generally doing a couple of things:
1. Understanding & documenting what's going on with the various executive agencies using public and, where possible, non-public sources. This gets turned into briefing books for incoming political staff.
2. Developing First X Days Plans
1. Understanding & documenting what's going on with the various executive agencies using public and, where possible, non-public sources. This gets turned into briefing books for incoming political staff.
2. Developing First X Days Plans
November 9, 2025 at 1:15 AM
The policy teams are generally doing a couple of things:
1. Understanding & documenting what's going on with the various executive agencies using public and, where possible, non-public sources. This gets turned into briefing books for incoming political staff.
2. Developing First X Days Plans
1. Understanding & documenting what's going on with the various executive agencies using public and, where possible, non-public sources. This gets turned into briefing books for incoming political staff.
2. Developing First X Days Plans
The number of relationship metaphors used in politics has surely powered at least a half-dozen gender studies dissertations en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sev...
The Seven Year Itch - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
November 8, 2025 at 10:48 PM
The number of relationship metaphors used in politics has surely powered at least a half-dozen gender studies dissertations en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Sev...
Transition teams do a lot more than just staffing (I worked on the 2017 Presidential Transition from within an executive branch agency... let me tell you, that was an experience)
November 8, 2025 at 10:40 PM
Transition teams do a lot more than just staffing (I worked on the 2017 Presidential Transition from within an executive branch agency... let me tell you, that was an experience)
🎶 They wanna get my
Gus on the ceiling 🎶
Gus on the ceiling 🎶
a man playing drums with a ludwig drum set
ALT: a man playing drums with a ludwig drum set
media.tenor.com
November 8, 2025 at 8:30 PM
🎶 They wanna get my
Gus on the ceiling 🎶
Gus on the ceiling 🎶