Otto Sovelius
ottosovelius.bsky.social
Otto Sovelius
@ottosovelius.bsky.social
Peace, conflict and security. Masters student in International Relations. Focus on the struggle for power in the dark side of the politics among imagined communities.
If International Relations could be explained by natural science, this could be used as an example of Newton's third law in order.
Wrote a short summary of how antagonizing Europe can backfire on the Trump administration, at the expense of US global power.

More on the European side of things when we know more about the results from Paris
The Trump administration should be careful what they wish for
If Europe were to implement everything the US demanded of it last week, it would end up empowering Europe at the cost of US power
open.substack.com
February 18, 2025 at 8:55 AM
How easily does Russian hybrid influence penetrate our societies?

Here is a short thread of a book that can be recommended to be read only as a source for the academic study of the hybrid influence.

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January 26, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Reposted by Otto Sovelius
1/10 We are now in 2025, and Ukraine still controls a part of russian territory. What is russia doing, fighting on its own land three years into an invasion it initiated on its own terms and expected to conclude quickly?
January 11, 2025 at 1:08 PM
In last six days Russian Air Force has lost five Su-34, two Su-35 and one A-50 planes. That means 17 pilots and 10 AEW&C crew lost, in money wise it means $650-800 million loss.

In less than a week!
Слава Україні!
February 24, 2024 at 2:37 PM
"Now Putin will be forced to fight against Navalny’s memory, and that is a battle he will never win."
Anne Applebaum, 16.2.2024

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
Why Russia Killed Navalny
Even behind bars, the dissident leader was a threat to the corrupt Russian dictator.
www.theatlantic.com
February 16, 2024 at 11:04 PM
Personally, I believe that the longer scenario one remains in place, or changes to scenario two in the short term, the more probable it is that either scenario four or five will materialise in the medium term.

www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-seri...
Russia Tomorrow: Five scenarios for Russia's future
A new Atlantic Council report explores five paths that Russia future might take in its future. What forces will shape Russia’s future?
www.atlanticcouncil.org
February 4, 2024 at 11:08 AM
"Ukraine’s victory remains our shared goal, enforcing the lesson that aggression will never pay off and will always backfire."

"With that ever-growing and strengthening resolve, Ukraine will indeed win and Russia will lose by 2026 the latest."

kaitseministeerium.ee/sites/defaul...
December 19, 2023 at 10:35 AM
One of the most valuable things in academic life is unlimited access to knowledge.
Yesterday I requested University library to get this book available and I am reading it tomorrow latest.
November 20, 2023 at 4:52 PM