Patrick Schneider
@patricksecon.bsky.social
450 followers 1.1K following 65 posts
Assistant Professor @ Imperial Business School, formerly LSE & Bank of England Macroeconomist interested in distributional effects of macro policy. patrickmschneider.com
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Reposted by Patrick Schneider
patricksecon.bsky.social
AI is getting to be as smart as a PhD - the kind of PhD who would fabricate all the data for a research paper on the impact of AI.

amandaguinzburg.substack.com/p/diabolus-e...
Diabolus Ex Machina
This Is Not An Essay
amandaguinzburg.substack.com
Reposted by Patrick Schneider
Reposted by Patrick Schneider
andreamatranga.bsky.social
The tragic landslide in Blatten gives me the excuse to tell you the story of how we found out Ice Ages existed. It's a cool story and the most important bit is rather similar to what's happening now.
subfossilguy.bsky.social
Aerial view westward over the Blatten deposit and the newly formed lake upstream! 🧊🌊

📷Via Christian Petit/Linkedin
patricksecon.bsky.social
You should team up with Matt Levine: everything is either a bank or securities fraud (and why not both?)
patricksecon.bsky.social
One of the central points in Plato’s Republic, isn’t it?
Reposted by Patrick Schneider
narosenblum.bsky.social
The real problem with the Supreme Court’s expected Fed carve out is not that it lacks a principle but that the real principle isn’t articulated. The reason it will carve out the Fed is functional but it won’t say that. And its jurisprudence doesn’t leave room to ventilate the functional arg.(1/8)
Reposted by Patrick Schneider
monicamarks.bsky.social
A man named Elias Rodriguez just shot dead two Israeli embassy staffers at a Jewish museum in DC, shouting “free Palestine!”

An awful, criminal act that puts Israel back in a victim position. I’ve never seen a just cause attract such a high % of counterproductive “allies.” 🧵
patricksecon.bsky.social
Sigmund Freud’s ‘psychology’ is still getting parents in hot water
hleehurley.com
The Times blaming Malcolm X today
Malcolm X’s politics are still driving us apart
A hundred years after his birth, the activist’s views on race, identity, capitalism and slavery retain a divisive currency - Daniel Finkelstein
patricksecon.bsky.social
In this paper my coauthor and I find you can’t rationalise mandatory contributions and tax concessions as an optimal policy *unless* the concessions solve a political problem (in our paper, they’re necessary to get new workers to opt into the system)

tinyurl.com/mr8y9ph9
patricksecon.bsky.social
Why? As OP notes you can’t give the whole of society a tax break. Concessions on retirement contributions just mean higher taxes on something else -> optimal choice depends on the marginal social impact of each of these two taxes
patricksecon.bsky.social
Correct take. If it’s good to force people to save for retirement, we don’t need to also compensate with tax breaks.

This is true even if we’re only trying to force some people to save (eg because they have present bias)
davidsligar.bsky.social
the weirdest argument for a tax break is the vague idea of moral ‘compensation’ for forced saving under super. if super is a net good for people, why does it require consumption? if not, why do we do it? a totally discretionary policy we then ‘compensate’ people for. makes no sense
patricksecon.bsky.social
That’s a remarkable level of hubris if so. The UK’s sluggish productivity growth was the main economic issue before being eclipsed (in the news) by Brexit and Covid
Reposted by Patrick Schneider
patricksecon.bsky.social
Which is stunning, given how their campaign promises all hinged on those unplanned policies getting growth going again
patricksecon.bsky.social
The ISA landscape is so confused.

Exhibit 2: one of the main types of ISA is called ‘Stocks and Shares ISA’. Two words for the same security.
patricksecon.bsky.social
The ISA landscape is so confused.

Exhibit 1: you can keep funds in cash within a stocks and shares ISA. Removing the Cash ISA would just preference one type of institution over another (banks).

on.ft.com/4mjY2ZI UK ministers consider cutting tax-free cash Isa allowance
UK ministers consider cutting tax-free cash Isa allowance
City groups think such a move will attract money into equity funds and domestic shares
on.ft.com
patricksecon.bsky.social
yeah on second glance I was wrong - the surpluses of the other countries add up to more than the UK and US deficits, so your OP was the right interpretation; apologies
patricksecon.bsky.social
The US’s deficit is the bit that’s unexplained by the bars in the graph
patricksecon.bsky.social
Can confirm from my own experience - we always put my name first, but the doctor & school always call my wife first.

From the abstract: "Our findings underscore a process through which agents outside the household contribute to within-household gender inequalities." Indeed.
Reposted by Patrick Schneider
tomashirstecon.bsky.social
This Labour government’s apparently policy in office is to somehow improve growth/productivity while attempting to force a larger share of the overall workforce into lower value add employment and undermining profit centres. It’s definitively an unconventional approach!
patricksecon.bsky.social
This would *add* an inflationary bias into the optimal policy rule. The fed has no control over tax and spend, but the denominator and numerator act differently when there’s inflation inflation so…
Reposted by Patrick Schneider
financialtimes.com
Opinion from the FT's Editorial Board: 'The US and European countries that tout Israel as an ally that shares their values have issued barely a word of condemnation. They should be ashamed of their silence, and stop enabling Netanyahu to act with impunity.' www.ft.com/content/f5fd...