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Reposted by Aureo de Paula

The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · 21d

NEW: #IFSWorkingPaper: The rise of online dating and heterogamous marriages

📗 Read Yujung Hwang, Fangzhu Yang and @paulaaureo.bsky.social's new paper on how the diffusion of online dating platforms has shaped intermarriage patterns by race and education here: ifs.org.uk/publications...

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Journal of Public Economics @jpube.bsky.social · Aug 13

Just published in @jpube.bsky.social:

"Intergenerational mobility in socio-emotional skills"

By Orazio P. Attanasio, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & Alessandro Toppeta

www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

#econsky #publiceconomics
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social
‬@sofi.su.se

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Jul 14

If this seems interesting to you, check our paper or NotebookLM podcast below!

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0047272725001215?via%3Dihub

https://notebooklm.google.com/notebook/6c466a86-a8b3-42f3-b7ab-9e5718596ac1/audio

(7/7)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Jul 14

We do much more in the article! For example, we look at further measures of association and discuss our estimation protocol in detail – importantly, both skills and intergenerational regressions are estimated jointly. (6/7)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Jul 14

Interestingly, we also find that mother-child correlations are much higher than father-child! (This relationship remains even after robustness checks for alternative explanations such as different sample sizes.) (5/7)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Jul 14

This allows us to measure skills at the same age for parents and children. While correlations are lower than those measured contemporaneously and between other economic variables in related studies, they are still sizeable and significant! (4/7)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Jul 14

Here, we focus on “internalising” (e.g., focussing drive aothers) skills using the 1970 UK British Cohort Study, which follows all born in the UK on a week in Apr/1970 linking their info w their mums as well as (eventual) kids! (3/7)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Jul 14

‪The literature has registered association across several meaningful economic variables and outcomes across generations. Socio-emotional skills are also important! (2/7)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Jul 14

This is a (very) short thread on a recent paper with the great Orazio Attanasio and Alessandro Toppeta on “Intergenerational Mobility in Socio-Emotional Skills” (forthcoming at ‪@jpube.bsky.social)! (1/7)

@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social‬ @sofi.su.se ‪@clscohorts.bsky.social

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Jun 25

📣 Check out my latest article with R Inafuku, T Halliday and Lester Lusher on air population, test scores ...and a volcano!

Climent Quintana-Domeque @climent.bsky.social · Jun 25

🆕 article in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics:

"Vog: Using Volcanic Eruptions to Estimate the Impact of Air Pollution on Student Test Scores"

(by Rachel Inafuku, Timothy J. Halliday, Lester Lusher, @paulaaureo.bsky.social)

doi.org/10.1111/obes...

#Environment #HumanCapital🌋💨📝🏫

Vog: Using Volcanic Eruptions to Estimate the Impact of Air Pollution on Student Test Scores

We pair variation stemming from volcanic eruptions with the census of Hawaii's public schools' student test scores to estimate the impact of PM2.5$$ P{M}_{2.5} $$ and SO2$$ S{O}_2 $$ on student perfo...

doi.org

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UCL Policy Lab @uclpolicylab.bsky.social · May 1

Join @ucleconomics.bsky.social this May for this year's annual Gorman Lecture and Conference 2025.

Find out more about this year's programme and book your tickets ⬇️

ucleconomics.bsky.social @ucleconomics.bsky.social · Apr 25

In @ucleconomics.bsky.social, we engage in the #discourse globally. Our annual Gorman Lecture (and conference) returns this May with the distinguished Ariel Pake of @harvard.edu.
Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025

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Jonas Hjort @hjortj.bsky.social · Apr 29

We at @ucleconomics.bsky.social have extended the application deadline to our MA degrees by a week (until May 8th)--all nationalities warmly welcome!

Financial Times @financialtimes.com · Apr 28

American students turn to UK as Trump takes aim at US universities

https://www.ft.com/content/ebb2b7e7-5dea-47a2-8386-f12eda692c0f

American students turn to UK as Trump takes aim at US universities

Searches for British courses surge following US president’s assault on Ivy League institutions, data shows

www.ft.com

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Apr 25

This year's Gorman Lectures at UCL will be given by one of my heroes, Ariel Pakes. I can't wait!

ucleconomics.bsky.social @ucleconomics.bsky.social · Apr 25

In @ucleconomics.bsky.social, we engage in the #discourse globally. Our annual Gorman Lecture (and conference) returns this May with the distinguished Ariel Pake of @harvard.edu.
Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025

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Jessica Leight @leightjessica.bsky.social · Apr 11

It's been a while since I did a standard lit review thread, but here's one for #econsky #econtwitter about an important literature that's been growing recently: the effect of supply- and demand-side interventions on fertility in LMICs

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Alan Crawford @alcrawfs.bsky.social · Feb 21

We are recruiting an Econometrics Adviser. The role would suit someone with a recent PhD (or a masters and some experience), and an interest in empirical IO. This is a unique opportunity to work on high-profile cases and with great data!

www.civilservicejobs.service.gov.uk/csr/jobs.cgi...

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The Review of Economic Studies (REStud) @reveconstudies.bsky.social · Feb 18

Recently accepted to @reveconstudies.bsky.social, "Industrial Policy Implementation: Empirical Evidence from China’s Shipbuilding Industry" from Barwick, Kalouptsidi and Bin Zahur:

www.restud.com/industrial-p...

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Feb 10

We offer simulations and an application using data from the Current Population Survey. If this sounds interesting to you, make sure to check the article! (5/5)

https://arxiv.org/abs/2501.10117

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Feb 10

To employ conformal inference, we construct a conformity score function which accounts for the set-valued nature of the outcomes of interest. The procedure accommodates (irreducible) prediction uncertainty, modelling uncertainty due to partial identification and sampling uncertainty. (4/5)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Feb 10

To do so we first characterise the shortest prediction interval (or set, more broadly!) in such cases. We then employ “conformal inference” to construct prediction sets with particular finite sample guarantees under censoring while maintaining consistency as the sample size grows. (3/5)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Feb 10

Interval data is pervasive. Surveys usually employ “bracketing” to avoid item nonresponse. Censoring is also present in many contexts. Here, we offer a prediction protocol for outcomes that are interval-valued! (2/5)

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Aureo de Paula @paulaaureo.bsky.social · Feb 10

I have a new paper on “Prediction Sets and Conformal Inference with Censored Outcomes” with the great Weiguang Liu and Elie Tamer. Prediction Sets and Conformal… what? I know, I know! Here comes a (very) short thread on what we do in the paper. (1/5)

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Jakob Schneebacher @jschneebacher.bsky.social · Nov 16

Agnes Norris Keiller presented a great paper with @paulaaureo.bsky.social and @johnvanreenen.bsky.social on how we can use data on firms' turnover and employment expectations directly in production function estimation.

www.nber.org/papers/w32725

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Production Function Estimation Using Subjective Expectations Data

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

www.nber.org

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The Institute for Fiscal Studies @theifs.bsky.social · Oct 23

NEW #IFSWorkingPaper: Robust inference for the Frisch labor supply

Michael Keane and Timothy Neal argue the AR test should be widely adopted in lieu of the 2SLS t-test for estimating Frisch labor supply elasticity.

Read here: https://buff.ly/4fhBJ2G

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Jakob Schneebacher @jschneebacher.bsky.social · Oct 21

The ONS has today released results from two new data collection efforts on public-sector productivity: a public-sector version of the existing Management and Expectations Survey and a public-sector time use survey.

Overall, management practices look similar in the public and private sectors.

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Christian Julliard @christianjulliard.net · Oct 19

🚨New (very short) paper alert:
"Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions" with @SBryzgalova and Jiantao Huang tinyurl.com/bddpezz6
🧵1/n #Finance #Econometrics

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