Yes. No doubt they are doing everything to rig media, election security, but there will be an election. At present, I doubt it will be close enough to rig. And people - courts, some GOP, are beginning to resist him.

I agree. Too risky picking a woman. She would need to be outstanding. I don't think they will pick somebody from Left of party either.

Yes good call. I think he will run until he's 90!

I have another piece with some alternatives out imminently!

Hard times for Christmas supporters.

Lefties banning it.
Boris cancelled it.
Yanks stealing it.

I agree. His weaknesses are obvious, and how to beat him.

But saying 30+% of the population are, at the very least, unmoved by 40 year-old racism, at school, is hardly radical.

UK voters have several options. A similar, big chunk always choose him or Blonde Boris - whose USP was casual prejudice.

Yes, it interfered in our politics to support their foreign policy in exchange for defence. Hence no need to change. Whereas we are constantly under attack from Russia.

Nations are largely irrelevant now. Transnational, oligarchic, criminal networks are now immune and above nation states.

just as addendum : ive just read the new US foreign strategy paper and what youve outlined is more crucial than ever, its demonstrably now US stated policy to influence foreign democracies

100%. Why would US strategy require changing the politics of their closest, dependent allies...other than to serve Russia?

For me, the issue is less to convert the unconvertable, but to block their means of success.

Donor transparency, blocks on overseas funding via offshore, educating about propaganda. Not allowing (K)GB News a licence to blow up our media balance.

Both?

Tech, micro-targeting has imo drawn the genie out forever.

But far-Right still have low ceiling, eg 33%. When Trump does unambiguous extreme, around 33% support it. Same as UKIP/REF.

But Trump has a unique, celebrity appeal which amplifies it and attracts otherwise non-voters.

Yes! That's how to defeat him. Corrupt, out of touch, fucked country via Brexit, Russian shill.

Exactly same as Trump.

The racism is performative. Deliberately triggering opponents to create political theatre and a narrative which hurts them more than him.

Also, he would see Robinson as a threat. Just like Lowe and previously Kilroy-Silk.

Huge distinction between brand which says 'football hooligan racists' vs 'normal people fed up with PC'.

I am as far from Reform as possible, yet know many such voters. All are normies. They use casual, thoughtless racism. They would employ whataboutism as a defence, eg Alf Garnett.

Do you think the 30% ceiling of Reform voters care about racism? Especially views expressed 40 years ago.

Note, UKIP ceiling was estimated around 28%, around time he was saying he'd feel uncomfortable living next to foreigners and accused of being racist at school.