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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · 12d

Full analysis: www.hiringlab.org/uk/blog/2025...

Hybrid Work Tightens: 2-3 Days a Week in the Office Has Become the Norm - Indeed Hiring Lab UK I Ireland

Employers have become stricter about hybrid work. 85% of UK job postings that mention a hybrid schedule require two days a week in office.

www.hiringlab.org

Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · 12d

The overall share of UK postings mentioning remote and/or hybrid work has remained fairly stable at around 15% for several months, near all-time highs.

A screenshot from our Data Portal:

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · 12d

2-3 days a week in the office has become the norm in hybrid job postings. Attendance requirements have tightened over the last few years, but there's no evidence of any significant shift beyond 3 days in the office.

UK data:

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Reposted by Pawel Adrjan

Duncan Weldon @duncanweldon.bsky.social · Aug 25

Time for a new pinned post. Out now in the UK, coming January 6th in the US.

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Sep 8

While labour markets are tighter in the North, they're hotter in the South. More details in our post on the Hiring Lab blog: www.hiringlab.org/uk/blog/2025...

Why Europe’s Labour Markets Are Hotter in the South but Tighter in the North - Indeed Hiring Lab UK I Ireland

Diverging job posting trends are leading to a convergence in labour market tightness among the Eurozone’s biggest economies.

www.hiringlab.org

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Sep 8

Reported labour shortages tell a similar story. Industrial firms in Spain and Italy now report more shortages than Germany and France. But the North–South gap has narrowed sharply since mid-2022

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Sep 8

Hiring trends reflect economic momentum. Job posting growth closely tracks GDP growth: Spain’s GDP is up 8.8% and Italy’s 6.3% since Q4 2019, while Germany is nearly flat (0.3%) and France around 5%

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Sep 8

Labour markets remain tighter in Germany and France than in Italy and Spain. However, the gap is shrinking as job vacancies fall in the North and rise in the South

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Sep 8

Europe's labour markets are converging, as hiring demand is strong in the South while falling in the North.

As of late August, job postings in Spain are 46% and Italy 53% above pre-pandemic levels.

Guillermo Gallacher and I wrote a blog post about Eurozone's four largest economies 👇

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Reposted by Pawel Adrjan

Ludger Woessmann @woessmann.bsky.social · Jul 7

❓Why do the Nordics & Dutch speak English so much better than the Germans, Italians & French?

➡️ New Working Paper:

Out-of-School Learning: Subtitling vs. Dubbing and the Acquisition of Foreign-Language Skills
w/ F. Baumeister & E. Hanushek

www.nber.org/papers/w33984

A 🧵 1/12

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Jul 10

Full paper (open access):
doi.org/10.1016/j.la...

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Jul 10

This isn't just about pandemic response. It's path dependency:
- Organisational learning
- Tech already in place pre-COVID
- Permanently higher worker demand (chart 👇)

Employers adapted to #WFH and many aren't turning back, despite some highly publicised #RTO calls

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Jul 10

Even as restrictions eased, advertised WFH (a forward-looking signal) kept rising - unlike realised WFH, which fell post-COVID and stabilised.

This suggests firms have locked in new norms for remote working

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Jul 10

Is working from home just a pandemic blip? Not according to the data.

We analysed 1 billion job postings in 20 OECD countries.

The share of jobs advertising remote/hybrid work quadrupled from 2.5% to 11% (2019–2023) and has been stable since

🧵

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · May 27

For more details about the data and methodology, see my paper with @rlydon.bsky.social: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

What Do Wages in Online Job Postings Tell Us about Wage Growth?

We use data from millions of online job postings to construct monthly estimates of annual growth in advertised wages in the US, UK, France, Germany, Ireland, It

papers.ssrn.com

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · May 27

Analysis by our Japan economist Yusuke Aoki: www.hiringlab.org/jp/blog/2025...

日本の求人掲載賃金上昇率の動向：数年にわたる停滞を経て、なぜ2024年に賃金は急上昇したのか - Indeed Hiring Lab Japan

政策立案者、労働市場アナリスト、雇用主、労働者が賃金動向を迅速に把握することを見据えて、日本でもIndeed賃金トラッカー（求人に掲載された賃金の上昇率）を開発。

www.hiringlab.org

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · May 27

The Indeed Wage Tracker is now live for #Japan 🇯🇵

Posted #wages in Japan rose 3.6% year-over-year in April 2025, based on a 3-month average.

This represents moderation from a recent peak of over 4% but it's still higher than anytime from 2019 to early 2024.

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Pawel Adrjan @paweladrjan.bsky.social · Apr 24

📉 New job posting data shows a growing North-South divide in Europe’s labour market as of mid-April:

🇪🇸 Spain up 4% in the past month, now 65% above pre-pandemic levels
🇮🇹 Italy high & holding steady
🇩🇪 Germany & 🇬🇧 UK sliding

No crash anywhere (yet) but a continued divergence