Liv
@realliv04.bsky.social
Professional stats nerd - Shockingly dyslexic - Former President of the French Republic - MP for Toronto North East since 1996
Twitter: @RealLiv04
(She/They), 21 🏳️⚧️
Twitter: @RealLiv04
(She/They), 21 🏳️⚧️
Same with Labour, not quite at a historic low but its close
May 15, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Same with Labour, not quite at a historic low but its close
Worth noting that the Tories are begining to drop noticeably lower then their previous low points, they're currently on 18.9% which is a point lower then their previous historic low during the election
May 15, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Worth noting that the Tories are begining to drop noticeably lower then their previous low points, they're currently on 18.9% which is a point lower then their previous historic low during the election
Fair to say Reform have opened up a fairly clear lead against Labour now.
First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.
First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.
May 13, 2025 at 1:07 PM
Fair to say Reform have opened up a fairly clear lead against Labour now.
First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.
First time a 3rd parties had a proper clear lead since the Alliance surge in 1982.
Tbh I'd be intrigued to see polling on a hypothetical new left party, putting aside my own veiws I do think it's one of the most interesting variables of this parliament and just something worth gauging. Also know it's a bit old but in 2016 there was about 14% of the electorate open to suporting one
May 12, 2025 at 7:35 PM
Tbh I'd be intrigued to see polling on a hypothetical new left party, putting aside my own veiws I do think it's one of the most interesting variables of this parliament and just something worth gauging. Also know it's a bit old but in 2016 there was about 14% of the electorate open to suporting one
Didn't realise how much Reform has gained traction on Tiktok over the past while and compared even to Corbyn or Sultana he's got a hell of a presence. Tbh those two should up their game there, they have contacts with Linke and should take notes from them about their election campaign.
May 12, 2025 at 1:47 PM
Didn't realise how much Reform has gained traction on Tiktok over the past while and compared even to Corbyn or Sultana he's got a hell of a presence. Tbh those two should up their game there, they have contacts with Linke and should take notes from them about their election campaign.
Non zero chance the next election ends up with looking like this and tbh i feel like it'd be unimaginably stupid
May 10, 2025 at 11:07 AM
Non zero chance the next election ends up with looking like this and tbh i feel like it'd be unimaginably stupid
Just separated the post local election polls and yeah.....
May 9, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Just separated the post local election polls and yeah.....
Despite it being near my patch i don't really know Skircoat too well, get the vibe its slightly more affuent then the rest of Halifax but its got an interesting voting history. Traditionally a Tory stronghold it had swung to Labour over the past decade, didn't have too strong a UKIP presence either.
May 9, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Despite it being near my patch i don't really know Skircoat too well, get the vibe its slightly more affuent then the rest of Halifax but its got an interesting voting history. Traditionally a Tory stronghold it had swung to Labour over the past decade, didn't have too strong a UKIP presence either.
Kinda stuff Jeeza be up to instead of setting up a new party 😭
May 8, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Kinda stuff Jeeza be up to instead of setting up a new party 😭
Learning that Paul Mescal did the backing vocals for this has genuinely ruined my evening
November 24, 2024 at 1:14 AM
Learning that Paul Mescal did the backing vocals for this has genuinely ruined my evening
I love Tiramisu, it's the single most important thing in my life and frankly I'd do near to anything to have some
November 16, 2024 at 12:03 AM
I love Tiramisu, it's the single most important thing in my life and frankly I'd do near to anything to have some
-Government Approval
Rating: Approve: 12% (-1)
Disapprove: 82% (+2)
Net Approval: -70 (-3)
The governments rating drops to a low of -70, this is the lowest rating Ipsos has recorded since June 2019 and it's the lowest recorded rating for any government 11 Months from an election
Rating: Approve: 12% (-1)
Disapprove: 82% (+2)
Net Approval: -70 (-3)
The governments rating drops to a low of -70, this is the lowest rating Ipsos has recorded since June 2019 and it's the lowest recorded rating for any government 11 Months from an election
December 31, 2023 at 2:27 PM
-Government Approval
Rating: Approve: 12% (-1)
Disapprove: 82% (+2)
Net Approval: -70 (-3)
The governments rating drops to a low of -70, this is the lowest rating Ipsos has recorded since June 2019 and it's the lowest recorded rating for any government 11 Months from an election
Rating: Approve: 12% (-1)
Disapprove: 82% (+2)
Net Approval: -70 (-3)
The governments rating drops to a low of -70, this is the lowest rating Ipsos has recorded since June 2019 and it's the lowest recorded rating for any government 11 Months from an election
-Liberal Democrat Leader Approval Rating:
Approve: 19% (-4%)
Disapprove: 33% (+2%)
Net Approval: -14 (-6)
Ipsos recorded a slight down-tick for Davey but once again considering he's relatively unknown its mostly noise
Approve: 19% (-4%)
Disapprove: 33% (+2%)
Net Approval: -14 (-6)
Ipsos recorded a slight down-tick for Davey but once again considering he's relatively unknown its mostly noise
December 31, 2023 at 2:24 PM
-Liberal Democrat Leader Approval Rating:
Approve: 19% (-4%)
Disapprove: 33% (+2%)
Net Approval: -14 (-6)
Ipsos recorded a slight down-tick for Davey but once again considering he's relatively unknown its mostly noise
Approve: 19% (-4%)
Disapprove: 33% (+2%)
Net Approval: -14 (-6)
Ipsos recorded a slight down-tick for Davey but once again considering he's relatively unknown its mostly noise
-LOTO Approval Rating:
Approve: 32 (=)
Disapprove: 50 (=)
Net Approval: -18 (-1)
All quite this month for Starmers ratings despite a slight drop in his net approval rating (Due to rounding)
Approve: 32 (=)
Disapprove: 50 (=)
Net Approval: -18 (-1)
All quite this month for Starmers ratings despite a slight drop in his net approval rating (Due to rounding)
December 31, 2023 at 2:22 PM
-LOTO Approval Rating:
Approve: 32 (=)
Disapprove: 50 (=)
Net Approval: -18 (-1)
All quite this month for Starmers ratings despite a slight drop in his net approval rating (Due to rounding)
Approve: 32 (=)
Disapprove: 50 (=)
Net Approval: -18 (-1)
All quite this month for Starmers ratings despite a slight drop in his net approval rating (Due to rounding)
-PM Approval Rating:
Approve: 23 (-1)
Disapprove: 66 (+2)
Net Approval: -43 (-3)
Sunaks personal ratings continue to decline for the second month in a row to -43 the lowest of his premiership so for
Approve: 23 (-1)
Disapprove: 66 (+2)
Net Approval: -43 (-3)
Sunaks personal ratings continue to decline for the second month in a row to -43 the lowest of his premiership so for
December 31, 2023 at 2:20 PM
-PM Approval Rating:
Approve: 23 (-1)
Disapprove: 66 (+2)
Net Approval: -43 (-3)
Sunaks personal ratings continue to decline for the second month in a row to -43 the lowest of his premiership so for
Approve: 23 (-1)
Disapprove: 66 (+2)
Net Approval: -43 (-3)
Sunaks personal ratings continue to decline for the second month in a row to -43 the lowest of his premiership so for
Polling Update: Dec 2023:
-Voting Intentions
Lab: 42.1% (+9.1%)
Con: 25.9% (-18.8%)
Lib Dem: 11.0% (-0.8%)
Ref: 8.8% (+6.7%)
Grn: 6.0% (+3.2%) #
SNP: 2.9% (-1.1%)
Despite a slight drop this months Labour end the year with a lead of 17 points, similar to where they were in Jan
-Voting Intentions
Lab: 42.1% (+9.1%)
Con: 25.9% (-18.8%)
Lib Dem: 11.0% (-0.8%)
Ref: 8.8% (+6.7%)
Grn: 6.0% (+3.2%) #
SNP: 2.9% (-1.1%)
Despite a slight drop this months Labour end the year with a lead of 17 points, similar to where they were in Jan
December 31, 2023 at 2:13 PM
Polling Update: Dec 2023:
-Voting Intentions
Lab: 42.1% (+9.1%)
Con: 25.9% (-18.8%)
Lib Dem: 11.0% (-0.8%)
Ref: 8.8% (+6.7%)
Grn: 6.0% (+3.2%) #
SNP: 2.9% (-1.1%)
Despite a slight drop this months Labour end the year with a lead of 17 points, similar to where they were in Jan
-Voting Intentions
Lab: 42.1% (+9.1%)
Con: 25.9% (-18.8%)
Lib Dem: 11.0% (-0.8%)
Ref: 8.8% (+6.7%)
Grn: 6.0% (+3.2%) #
SNP: 2.9% (-1.1%)
Despite a slight drop this months Labour end the year with a lead of 17 points, similar to where they were in Jan
Also the fact that starmer is still polling relitivly poorly among the public and still leading by large amounts sould be pretty conserning for the goverment considering that leader of the opposition tend to become more popular in the run up to elections.
September 28, 2023 at 7:28 PM
Also the fact that starmer is still polling relitivly poorly among the public and still leading by large amounts sould be pretty conserning for the goverment considering that leader of the opposition tend to become more popular in the run up to elections.
Goverment Approval Rating
Approval ratings for the goverment remain historicly low at -68 lower than ever John Majors goverment 12 months out from a general election (-62)
Approve: 12 (-2)
Disapprove: 80 (+1)
Approval ratings for the goverment remain historicly low at -68 lower than ever John Majors goverment 12 months out from a general election (-62)
Approve: 12 (-2)
Disapprove: 80 (+1)
September 28, 2023 at 7:26 PM
Goverment Approval Rating
Approval ratings for the goverment remain historicly low at -68 lower than ever John Majors goverment 12 months out from a general election (-62)
Approve: 12 (-2)
Disapprove: 80 (+1)
Approval ratings for the goverment remain historicly low at -68 lower than ever John Majors goverment 12 months out from a general election (-62)
Approve: 12 (-2)
Disapprove: 80 (+1)
Polling Update: Sep 2023
PM Approval Rating After a summer attempting to reset and re-invigorate his leadership Sunaks approval ratings are at the lowest they've ever been at -40, ratings which tend to be terminal for PM's
Approve: 24 (-2)
Disapprove: 65 (+3)
PM Approval Rating After a summer attempting to reset and re-invigorate his leadership Sunaks approval ratings are at the lowest they've ever been at -40, ratings which tend to be terminal for PM's
Approve: 24 (-2)
Disapprove: 65 (+3)
September 28, 2023 at 7:24 PM
Polling Update: Sep 2023
PM Approval Rating After a summer attempting to reset and re-invigorate his leadership Sunaks approval ratings are at the lowest they've ever been at -40, ratings which tend to be terminal for PM's
Approve: 24 (-2)
Disapprove: 65 (+3)
PM Approval Rating After a summer attempting to reset and re-invigorate his leadership Sunaks approval ratings are at the lowest they've ever been at -40, ratings which tend to be terminal for PM's
Approve: 24 (-2)
Disapprove: 65 (+3)
The haters say I have no personality outside of my silly little graphs and to Honest, I'm beginning to suspect there right
July 28, 2023 at 12:40 AM
The haters say I have no personality outside of my silly little graphs and to Honest, I'm beginning to suspect there right