requenamora.bsky.social
@requenamora.bsky.social
So post-materialism holds rhetorically, not materially.
Growth drives both harm and expressed concern—without preventing damage.
Meanwhile, the poor live with the consequences—and consistently call for protection.
⚖️ This is environmental justice.
May 9, 2025 at 12:38 PM
Our VAR analysis confirms this pattern:
1️⃣ Increases in carbon & material footprints precede GDP growth
2️⃣ GDP growth then precedes greater preference for environmental protection over growth
May 9, 2025 at 12:38 PM
Our distributed lag regression shows:
📈 People are more likely to prefer environmental protection over growth after increases in GDP and ecological footprints
📉 But this preference weakens in recessions—even as harm slows
🧠 Preferences follow growth, not improvement
May 9, 2025 at 12:38 PM
But at the macro level, a paradox emerges:
📈 GDP growth increases the share of people who prefer environmental protection
🔥 Yet the same growth also drives carbon and material footprints up
we show how concern and GDP rise together over time
May 9, 2025 at 12:38 PM
Why are lower-income groups more likely to prefer environmental protection over economic growth?
Because they experience more environmental harm.
🌫️ They report worse conditions
📉 Say things are getting worse
😟 Worry more about decline
May 9, 2025 at 12:38 PM
Why is this surprising?
Because the “post-materialist thesis” claims environmental concern rises with wealth.
But we find the opposite:
The poorest are most committed to protecting the environment—despite contributing the least.
🖼️ Data: @lucas_chancel👇
May 9, 2025 at 12:38 PM