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Reposted by Scott Hosking

Environmental Data Science @envdatascience.bsky.social · 9d

Recently published!

Precipitation prediction over the upper Indus Basin from large-scale circulation patterns using Gaussian processes

👉 https://bit.ly/4nojwoo
✍️ @kenzatazi.bsky.social , Andrew Orr, @scotthosking.bsky.social & Richard E. Turner

@theturing.bsky.social
@bas.ac.uk

#precipitation

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

The Alan Turing Institute @theturing.bsky.social · Aug 12

📈Results from our 3B parameter model

How well can a small, open-weight language model succeed when using lightweight tools without huge infrastructure?

Our 3B model achieved near-frontier reasoning performance on synthetically generated health queries – and is small enough to run on a laptop.

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Aug 15

🌤️We are currently recruiting for two new roles in AI for Weather Forecasting, including in West Africa (Project Cumulus)

cezanneondemand.intervieweb.it/turing/en/ca...

Cezanne OnDemand

Career Page Cezanne OnDemand

cezanneondemand.intervieweb.it

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

Dr. Orna Izakson @orna.bsky.social · Aug 8

World Economic Forum 2024 global risks report. This graphic really got me: #Misinformation and climate crisis/environmental destruction topping the short- and long-term lists.

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Chart reads the following:

Top 10 Risks Global Risks Report 2024

WORLD ECONOMIC FORUM
"Please estimate the likely impact (severity) of the following risks over a 2-year and 10-year period."

2 years
Misinformation and disinformation
Extreme weather events
Societal polarization
Cyber insecurity
Interstate armed conflict
Lack of economic opportunity
Inflation
Involuntary migration
Economic downturn
Pollution

10 years
10th
Pollution
1st
Extreme weather events
20d
Critical change to Earth systems
3rd
Biodiversity loss and ecosystem collapse
4th
Natural resource shortages
5th
Misinformation and disinformation
6th
Adverse outcomes of Al technologies
7th
Involuntary migration
8th
Cyber insecurity
9th
Societal polarization
10th
Pollution

Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Perception Survey 2023-2024.
Image: World Economic Forum, Global Risks Perception
Survey 2023-2024

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Jul 25

We're hiring! The Aardvark Weather team is looking for a Senior Research Associate in end-to-end AI weather forecasting

Looking for experience in vision language models, Earth system forecasting, deep generative models, + strong software engineering

cezanneondemand.intervieweb.it/turing/jobs/...

Senior Research Associate, AI for Weather Forecasting

The Turing has recently undergone a restructuring and is now operating a challenge-led model with three Grand Challenges (Environment &Sustainabil

cezanneondemand.intervieweb.it

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Jul 25

🤣

Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Jul 25

#AI #Weather #GenerativeModels @theturing.bsky.social

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Jul 25

We're hiring! The Aardvark Weather team is looking for a Senior Research Associate in end-to-end AI weather forecasting

Looking for experience in vision language models, Earth system forecasting, deep generative models, + strong software engineering

cezanneondemand.intervieweb.it/turing/jobs/...

Senior Research Associate, AI for Weather Forecasting

The Turing has recently undergone a restructuring and is now operating a challenge-led model with three Grand Challenges (Environment &Sustainabil

cezanneondemand.intervieweb.it

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

Leo Hickman @leohickman.carbonbrief.org · Jun 10

The Telegraph has just published *yet another* correction to one of its net-zero articles.

By my count, that is now the TENTH such correction since Labour won the election (and covers 13 separate articles).

I have now added the latest one to my epic thread which is tracking these corrections...

Leo Hickman @leohickman.carbonbrief.org · Jun 10

"We are happy to correct the record."

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

FMRI Future Marine Research Infrastructure @fmri-nerc.bsky.social · May 14

🚨 Episode 3 - not to be missed!

🌊 The way we are exploring our oceans is evolving fast. But how do we ensure innovation is efficient and equitable across global collaborations?

Tune in for more from @helenczerski.bsky.social and guests

🎧 www.fmri.ac.uk/podcasts or wherever you get your podcasts

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

Zack Labe @zacklabe.com · May 23

"The office in Houston for example... is effectively without its top three management positions.

Other offices are struggling to maintain 24/7 operations. Experts with contacts at NOAA told the BBC of battles to get basic maintenance over the line, from computer systems to toilets."

Busy hurricane season expected as forecasters fear Trump cuts.

The warning comes as cuts to American research raise fears over the ability to track and prepare for them.

www.bbc.com

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

Edit Szegedi @eszegedi.bsky.social · May 23

Prof Adam Sobey, at the UK’s Alan Turing Institute, an AI research body, said more transparency was needed on how much energy is consumed by artificial intelligence systems, and how much they could save by helping to make carbon-emitting industries such as transport and energy more efficient.

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · May 19

#AI #weather #climate

Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · May 19

⛅ A well-written and balanced piece by the FT on how AI is revolutionalising weather forecasting; the need for human experts & democratision of data and models; the disruption to forecasting caused by the US gov; and the new wave in "end-to-end" AI weather forecasting

www.ft.com/content/a1b6...

The AI revolution changing how we predict the weather

Rapidly advancing technology is helping meteorologists to make more accurate and detailed forecasts even further into the future

www.ft.com

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Apr 14

Thanks @jamespjh.bsky.social for hosting! huge opportunities to work across the 80 institutes(!) in attendance to develop + deploy AI-powered climate solutions at scale

Fantastic alignment with Turing's Missions in Environment Forecasting and Sustainability/Decarbonisation www.turing.ac.uk/research

Research

We are doing this through basic research into theoretical scientific problems, and through applying our cutting-edge science to real-world problems, and

www.turing.ac.uk

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

James Hetherington @jamespjh.bsky.social · Apr 14

Did the welcome for @uclgrandchallenges.bsky.social at the #aiforclimate summit with #khemkafoundation and #turingInstitute hosted at UCL IoE. UCL core themes: “disagree well” and “useful knowledge” pertinent. And @ucl-arc.bsky.social’s craftsperson-and-scholar theme - making it practical.

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Apr 6

www.independent.co.uk/tech/ai-weat...

Surprise storms and chaos theory: How AI is about to cause a ‘weather revolution’

A model pioneered by the person who came up with the concept of the butterfly effect is still being used in forecasting systems, writes Anthony Cuthbertson. A new method uses similar tech to ChatGPT –...

www.independent.co.uk

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Mar 31

@irinimalliaraki.bsky.social

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Mar 31

🌍 3 opportunities with @bas.ac.uk and ARIA

Looking for 💪 background in Maths/Engineering/ML

🧊 Ice/Ocean Modeller
bas.ciphr-irecruit.com/applicants/v...

🧊 Ice Modeller/Emulation Scientist
bas.ciphr-irecruit.com/applicants/v...

🧊 Ice Damage Modeller
bas.ciphr-irecruit.com/applicants/v...

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

British Antarctic Survey 🐧 @bas.ac.uk · Mar 29

BAS team are back from AI UK!
We highlighted IceNet, our AI forecasting sea ice 6 months ahead. Great conversations with fellow innovators tackling environmental challenges @scotthosking.bsky.social #AIUK2025 #AI

➡️Explore IceNet: www.bas.ac.uk/project/icen...

📸credit: Scott Hosking Bryn Ubald BAS

The front of a large building with wording The Queen Elizabeth Conference Centre on the front.

Three people standing in front of a poster board smiling at the camera.

Four people sitting on chairs on top of a stage lit up with a large screen above them.

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Mar 20

bsky.app/profile/scot...

Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Nov 18

DeepSensor now has improved support for environmental forecasting and non-Gaussian likelihoods in v0.4 ⚡ 🌪️

Simple Python interface 👉 great way to rapidly build on recent advances in weather prediction (eg Aardvark Weather, arxiv.org/abs/2404.00411)

Colab + Docs + Code: github.com/alan-turing-...

GitHub - alan-turing-institute/deepsensor: A Python package for tackling diverse environmental prediction tasks with NPs.

A Python package for tackling diverse environmental prediction tasks with NPs. - alan-turing-institute/deepsensor

github.com

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Mar 20

We saw minimal improvements when we pre-trained a U-Net model on CMIP data. This was back in 2021 though so new meta-learning approaches might do a better job now

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Reposted by Scott Hosking

Manuel Linsenmeier @mlinsenmeier.bsky.social · Mar 20

We are witnessing a (second) revolution of weather forecasting

Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Mar 20

🌤️ Our #AI weather forecasting model has been published today in Nature 🤖

🥇the first AI weather model to learn directly from raw environmental observations

🌎 compared to existing AI models it is cheaper to train, uses less carbon and easier to deploy locally

www.turing.ac.uk/news/fully-a...

Fully AI driven weather prediction system could start revolution in forecasting

A new AI weather prediction system, Aardvark Weather, can deliver accurate forecasts tens of times faster and using thousands of times less computing power t

www.turing.ac.uk

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Mar 20

Transfer learning across geographies does enable predictions that are outside the previous local min/max values.

However, not sure how ML would handle predictions that are outside the global distribution of values

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Scott Hosking @scotthosking.bsky.social · Mar 20

AI models have shown strong performance at forecasting tropical cyclone tracks - check out DeepMind's GenCast paper

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