@shawndrost.bsky.social
2024 YTD: Natgas power generation additions are ~7% of solar (by nameplate MW).
Fcast, 4Q24 through 3Q26: That same figure is ~15%. (Using numbers from "high probability" column.)
These numbers demonstrate (I would say understate) a real shift in the new gen mix.
cms.ferc.gov/media/energy...
Fcast, 4Q24 through 3Q26: That same figure is ~15%. (Using numbers from "high probability" column.)
These numbers demonstrate (I would say understate) a real shift in the new gen mix.
cms.ferc.gov/media/energy...
Energy Infrastructure Update for September 2024
cms.ferc.gov
December 6, 2024 at 7:24 PM
2024 YTD: Natgas power generation additions are ~7% of solar (by nameplate MW).
Fcast, 4Q24 through 3Q26: That same figure is ~15%. (Using numbers from "high probability" column.)
These numbers demonstrate (I would say understate) a real shift in the new gen mix.
cms.ferc.gov/media/energy...
Fcast, 4Q24 through 3Q26: That same figure is ~15%. (Using numbers from "high probability" column.)
These numbers demonstrate (I would say understate) a real shift in the new gen mix.
cms.ferc.gov/media/energy...
Making an out-of-consensus prediction: AR6 is overly optimistic. AR6 analysis is that we break 1.5° next decade but I predict it's this decade. (Not as a single year, which has already happened, but the center year of a 20-year average.)
Has global warming accelerated in recent decades? If we look at the rate of warming between 1970 and 2008 and extend it through present, we see that almost all years since 2015 are above the previous trend.
December 3, 2024 at 9:11 PM
Making an out-of-consensus prediction: AR6 is overly optimistic. AR6 analysis is that we break 1.5° next decade but I predict it's this decade. (Not as a single year, which has already happened, but the center year of a 20-year average.)
Reposted
Are there any studies of what a least-cost greenfield energy or electricity system would look like today at current costs?
What would the ratio of wind, solar, natural gas, etc, be in such a system?
(Ideally both with and without constraints on carbon emissions.)
What would the ratio of wind, solar, natural gas, etc, be in such a system?
(Ideally both with and without constraints on carbon emissions.)
November 25, 2024 at 6:43 PM
Are there any studies of what a least-cost greenfield energy or electricity system would look like today at current costs?
What would the ratio of wind, solar, natural gas, etc, be in such a system?
(Ideally both with and without constraints on carbon emissions.)
What would the ratio of wind, solar, natural gas, etc, be in such a system?
(Ideally both with and without constraints on carbon emissions.)
It's pretty shocking that US energy production is up almost 50% in 15 years. What do we think will happen through 2030? #energysky
2008-2023 trends: Growth driven by shale, oil, NGL, and renewables (in that order of absolute numbers) with coal in steep decline and nuclear in slight decline.
2008-2023 trends: Growth driven by shale, oil, NGL, and renewables (in that order of absolute numbers) with coal in steep decline and nuclear in slight decline.
November 25, 2024 at 4:17 AM
It's pretty shocking that US energy production is up almost 50% in 15 years. What do we think will happen through 2030? #energysky
2008-2023 trends: Growth driven by shale, oil, NGL, and renewables (in that order of absolute numbers) with coal in steep decline and nuclear in slight decline.
2008-2023 trends: Growth driven by shale, oil, NGL, and renewables (in that order of absolute numbers) with coal in steep decline and nuclear in slight decline.