Simon Rosenberg
@simonwdc.bsky.social
Democratic political strategist, analyst, commentator. Hopium purveyor. More than 30 years in the fight.
My primary political home is on Substack.
Join me there too - https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/
My primary political home is on Substack.
Join me there too - https://www.hopiumchronicles.com/
Lead NYT right now.
November 30, 2025 at 3:53 AM
Lead NYT right now.
Trump's standing with the public has taken a huge hit in the past few months. He's now regularly polling in the 30s. And their big play to reverse this decline? War in Venezuela - and that's even more unpopular than his handling of inflation. 4/
November 28, 2025 at 6:02 PM
Trump's standing with the public has taken a huge hit in the past few months. He's now regularly polling in the 30s. And their big play to reverse this decline? War in Venezuela - and that's even more unpopular than his handling of inflation. 4/
Look at this incredible data. Republicans have bailed on Mike Johnson. His Speakership is in trouble, and there is a reason why @aftynbehn.bsky.social has made a +22 Trump district competitive. 3/
November 28, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Look at this incredible data. Republicans have bailed on Mike Johnson. His Speakership is in trouble, and there is a reason why @aftynbehn.bsky.social has made a +22 Trump district competitive. 3/
Republican Rep. Don Bacon calls for Witkoff to be fired. May it be the first call of many. Witkoff needs to go, now.
November 25, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Republican Rep. Don Bacon calls for Witkoff to be fired. May it be the first call of many. Witkoff needs to go, now.
Trump seems to think invading Venezuela will help restore his STRENGTH, MANLINESS, POWER.
Right now it's polling worse than his handling of inflation. Ruh-roh Donald!
Right now it's polling worse than his handling of inflation. Ruh-roh Donald!
November 25, 2025 at 5:43 PM
Trump seems to think invading Venezuela will help restore his STRENGTH, MANLINESS, POWER.
Right now it's polling worse than his handling of inflation. Ruh-roh Donald!
Right now it's polling worse than his handling of inflation. Ruh-roh Donald!
From Economist/YouGov today. The thrill is gone, baby.
November 25, 2025 at 5:36 PM
From Economist/YouGov today. The thrill is gone, baby.
Here's my weekly break out of the Econ/YouGov data. Just staggering levels of across the board repudiation, rejection, and erosion.
November 25, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Here's my weekly break out of the Econ/YouGov data. Just staggering levels of across the board repudiation, rejection, and erosion.
Since Trump really start declining in early June nothing he and his regime have done have been able to stop his fall. He just keeps dropping. It's pretty remarkable.
November 25, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Since Trump really start declining in early June nothing he and his regime have done have been able to stop his fall. He just keeps dropping. It's pretty remarkable.
Trump had found an issue more unpopular than his handling of inflation - attacking Venezuela:
www.cbsnews.com/feature/cbs-...
www.cbsnews.com/feature/cbs-...
November 23, 2025 at 9:58 PM
Trump had found an issue more unpopular than his handling of inflation - attacking Venezuela:
www.cbsnews.com/feature/cbs-...
www.cbsnews.com/feature/cbs-...
Did Russia buy Trump's support of this ridiculous plan in Miami last month?
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
November 23, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Did Russia buy Trump's support of this ridiculous plan in Miami last month?
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
www.reuters.com/world/europe...
For the life of me I don't understand why posts like this are not creating intense discussion about Trump's fitness for office. If our leader is not aware of what is happening around him, does not see the sky as blue, how can he remain in this job?
It's profoundly dangerous for the country.
It's profoundly dangerous for the country.
November 22, 2025 at 4:27 PM
For the life of me I don't understand why posts like this are not creating intense discussion about Trump's fitness for office. If our leader is not aware of what is happening around him, does not see the sky as blue, how can he remain in this job?
It's profoundly dangerous for the country.
It's profoundly dangerous for the country.
All this the day after calling for 6 Dems to be hung? This is normal? Dude is acting f-ing crazy......
November 22, 2025 at 12:13 AM
All this the day after calling for 6 Dems to be hung? This is normal? Dude is acting f-ing crazy......
Seriously, is Trump OK? What in the world happened today?
November 22, 2025 at 12:06 AM
Seriously, is Trump OK? What in the world happened today?
It's possible that 427-1 vote against him this week sent the old man over the edge.......
November 22, 2025 at 12:02 AM
It's possible that 427-1 vote against him this week sent the old man over the edge.......
November 20, 2025 at 7:05 PM
It’s remarkable how bad right-leaning polling has gotten for Trump. Cygnal and McLaughlin have sent big warnings about 2026. Echelon found him dropping 8 points. TIPP showed him losing 10. Now this - Fox has him dropping 9 points. No illusions now. They know they are in a bad place.
November 20, 2025 at 2:20 AM
It’s remarkable how bad right-leaning polling has gotten for Trump. Cygnal and McLaughlin have sent big warnings about 2026. Echelon found him dropping 8 points. TIPP showed him losing 10. Now this - Fox has him dropping 9 points. No illusions now. They know they are in a bad place.
Lots of interesting new data and analysis in @gelliottmorris.com's new poll. Here's my favorite nugget:
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
November 18, 2025 at 12:37 PM
Lots of interesting new data and analysis in @gelliottmorris.com's new poll. Here's my favorite nugget:
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-d...
Consider the level of insanity this represents from the top law enforcement official of the United States. We think Stephen Miller wrote it? It's so crazy on so many levels.
November 13, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Consider the level of insanity this represents from the top law enforcement official of the United States. We think Stephen Miller wrote it? It's so crazy on so many levels.
Live shot of Speaker Johnson's presser.....
November 13, 2025 at 2:14 AM
Live shot of Speaker Johnson's presser.....
Busy day today but note the U of Michigan consumer sentiment survey just reported its lowest reading in its 65 year history. Well done Donald!
November 12, 2025 at 6:44 PM
Busy day today but note the U of Michigan consumer sentiment survey just reported its lowest reading in its 65 year history. Well done Donald!
Trump hits lowest mark of this term in new Morning Consult poll:
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
November 10, 2025 at 9:28 PM
Trump hits lowest mark of this term in new Morning Consult poll:
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
pro.morningconsult.com/trackers/don...
Every R up in 2026 saw Trump abandon their candidates, refuse to campaign, and not spend from his war chest. Not only did Trump selfishly fail to lead them into battle he got his ass kicked, badly, tonight. Disastrous for his hold on Congress.
November 5, 2025 at 1:11 PM
Every R up in 2026 saw Trump abandon their candidates, refuse to campaign, and not spend from his war chest. Not only did Trump selfishly fail to lead them into battle he got his ass kicked, badly, tonight. Disastrous for his hold on Congress.
New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social data shows GOP position on the shutdown eroding; deep unhappiness with Trump's attempt to starve people; Republicans losing the big arguments.
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
November 5, 2025 at 11:34 AM
New @navigatorsurvey.bsky.social data shows GOP position on the shutdown eroding; deep unhappiness with Trump's attempt to starve people; Republicans losing the big arguments.
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
navigatorresearch.org/government-s...
Just look at this. Sherrill up 14 points!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
November 5, 2025 at 3:03 AM
Just look at this. Sherrill up 14 points!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!