Henrik Singmann
@singmann.bsky.social
1K followers 1K following 190 posts
Associate Professor at UCL Experimental Psychology; math psych & cognitive psychology; statistical and cognitive modelling in R; German migrant worker in UK
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singmann.bsky.social
Honey, we fixed Signal Detection Theory (SDT)! In this preprint, Constantin Meyer-Grant, David Kellen, Sam Harding, and I critically evaluate the (unequal-variance) Gaussian SDT model in recognition memory and pursue the Gumbel-min model as a principled alternative: doi.org/10.31234/osf...
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Extreme-Value Signal Detection Theory for RecognitionMemory: The Parametric Road Not Taken
Signal Detection Theory has long served as a cornerstone of psychological research, particularly in recognition memory. Yet its conventional application hinges almost exclusively on the Gaussian…
doi.org
singmann.bsky.social
This is great thanks. It indeed matches the spirit very much.
singmann.bsky.social
I remember reading a blog post somewhat recently on here arguing that for open science practices every effort counts. So we should not expect every paper to fulfil all open science criteria immediately but researcher should start by making their data open, then their code, etc. Anyone has a link?
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
singmann.bsky.social
I think these answer your questions. It is not that certain stimuli are missing, but just people do not exist with opinions in the top left or bottom right. At least not for the type of naturalistic stimuli we have used. (I am sure one can create terrible arguments for stuff you believe in though.)
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
masudhusain.bsky.social
Still a bit stunned but delighted to receive this from @royalsociety.org
singmann.bsky.social
Very well deserved, I loved it. A beautiful combination of insightful patient stories that tell us a lot about personal identity.
singmann.bsky.social
See the same pattern for our Experiments 2 and 3 here. In Experiment 3, we added additional topics (e.g., Separating church from state causes more harm than good.) and more thoroughly controlled argument quality in three levels (good, internally inconsistent, and authority-based).
singmann.bsky.social
The pattern in the average data also holds for each of the arguments (each line/colour per panel is one specific argument). People who think a claim (e.g., "abortion should be legal") is false find the corresponding argument is bad; people who think the claim is true think the argument is good.
Fig. 4 from the paper showing argument quality ratings as a function of belief consistency for each argument in Experiment 1. The overall pattern is shown for each argument shown.
Note. Results of Experiment 1 conditional on the topic and the level of argument support. Each line and colour in each panel shows responses to exactly one argument (i.e., there is no aggregation across items within a panel). The dots show individual responses and the curved lines show predictions from the linear mixed model. Blue dots represent argument quality ratings to good arguments in the data, orange dots represent argument quality ratings to bad arguments in the data, and the size of the dots represents the number of argument quality rating responses for the corresponding belief rating. Data points are dodged so that responses for good and bad arguments do not overlap. Model predictions are based on the fixed effects of the final model and the random effects of the by-topic grouping factor. Ext. = extremely.
singmann.bsky.social
No. This is the precursor. Calvin is currently writing the SDT paper up. To model the confidence-rating data with SDT, we ended up using a custom brms family that we previously used here: doi.org/10.31234/osf...
OSF
doi.org
singmann.bsky.social
New paper from @uclpals.bsky.social PhD student Calvin Deans-Browne and myself. We study to what degree prior beliefs and argument quality affect evaluations of arguments about political topics (e.g., abortion). Our results show prior beliefs play a larger role than argument quality itself. A 🧵
cognitionjournal.bsky.social
In our study, we investigated how people evaluate everyday socio-political arguments in the context of their prior beliefs about the topics being discussed.
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
richarddmorey.bsky.social
FWIW, both Clint and I discussed some points in the paper w/Uri (can't tag him b/c he blocked me) in private some time ago. To be clear, neither we nor he is entitled to "first comment" on anything. But if you say you have a policy you're willing to ignore when you feel, you don't have that policy.>
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
vmloaiza1.bsky.social
I am pleased to share that "the bird study" is now accepted at Psychology and Aging! A great collaboration with visiting intern Kishen Senziani, @leabartsch.bsky.social & @edamizrak.bsky.social 😀 Check out the pre-print below and a short thread on the study design and main takeaways 🧵👇
psyarxivbot.bsky.social
What Makes a Birdbrain Tick: Long-term Memory Drives Expertise Effects on Working Memory Binding: https://osf.io/y835u
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
jmbh.bsky.social
Two new preprints on multilevel HMMs! Time series data is now pervasive in psychology and new methods are needed to model the dynamics in such data. Hidden Markov Models (HHMs) are powerful models for dynamics in which a system is switching between a number of discrete states.
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
djnavarro.net
Against my better instincts, I have written some notes on how human probability judgements work and what you should expect from surveys that ask people to guess what proportion of the population is transgender. I hope never to speak of this matter again
Some notes on probability judgement – Notes from a data witch
For the love of fuck, literally nobody thinks that 20% of the population is transgender. Please stop sharing that ridiculous YouGov statistic
blog.djnavarro.net
singmann.bsky.social
Insightful piece that resonates well with my experience of university governance in the UK. Paywall free link:
archive.is/1yFiq
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
uclpals.bsky.social
A night of Neuroscience comedy for all, featuring staff & students from UCL Brain Sciences with stand-up comedian Abigoliah Schamaun.

🎟️ Book your tickets for the Brain Science Comedy Club on 22 Sept here: www.ucl.ac.uk/bloomsbury-t...
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
jfkominsky.bsky.social
Very excited to announce my student Andreas Arslan's first paper, "Causal coherence improves episodic memory of dynamic events" in Cognition!

Out now open access: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

Andreas isn't on bsky, but he very kindly wrote a summary thread for me to share.

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Causal coherence improves episodic memory of dynamic events
“Episodes” in memory are formed by the experience of dynamic events that unfold over time. However, just because a series of events unfold sequentiall…
www.sciencedirect.com
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
mattansb.msbstats.info
New blog post!

Ever wonder what geom_histogram is actually doing? How about geom_boxplot?

In celebration of the release of #ggplot2 4.0.0 (ggplot8?), I explore the relationships between the “geoms” and “stats” offered by the core {ggplot2} functions.

#rstats
Exploring {ggplot2}’s Geoms and Stats – Stat’s What It’s All About
blog.msbstats.info
singmann.bsky.social
We recently published a big paper showing that hierarchical modelling is probably the best estimation method for MPTs:
doi.org/10.1037/bul0...
For something more introductory see: doi.org/10.1037/met0...
APA PsycNet
doi.org
Reposted by Henrik Singmann
nateo.bsky.social
Months of waiting but my review copy of The War on Science has arrived.

I read Krauss’ introduction. What the fuck happened to this man? He comes off as incapable of basic research, argument, basic scholarship.

He sounds stupid.

I look into strange claims he makes and they’re demonstrably false
singmann.bsky.social
Most thing in stats should come with big red warning labels, but especially ideas about variance partitioning (and particularly anything related to R-squared). For some details see the cool blog post below.
diedrichsenjorn.bsky.social
Variance partitioning is used to quantify the overlap of two models. Over the years, I have found that this can be a very confusing and misleading concept. So we finally we decided to write a short blog to explain why.
@martinhebart.bsky.social @gallantlab.org
diedrichsenlab.org/BrainDataSci...