Stephen Marrin
@smarrin.bsky.social
290 followers 320 following 34 posts
Full Prof at James Madison University & Director of Intelligence Analysis program. Former CIA analyst. Editor of journal Intelligence & National Security https://www.tandfonline.com/journals/fint20
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Reposted by Stephen Marrin
socintelhist.bsky.social
Please join us in congratulating @smarrin.bsky.social and Hamilton Bean. Both just hit 2,000 citations, but that's only a small measure of their contributions to Intelligence Studies.

scholar.google.com/citations?us...

scholar.google.com/citations?us...
scholar.google.com
Reposted by Stephen Marrin
judah-grunstein.bsky.social
This is another reason that demanding the admin make the case for war to Congress and the US public is so important: to make sure the admin has stress tested not just the goals, but also the operational arrangements (including veto-power over Israeli operations), and also that it has an exit plan.
judah-grunstein.bsky.social
This begs the question of whether the US-Israeli coalition has unified or even common war aims.

If the US enters the war, it would be the first coalition it fought in over which it did not have full operational command of the theater since WWI, unless I'm mistaken.
michaelcaley.bsky.social
this is the big question right now -- if the US joins, are the war aims of the US-Israeli coalition limited to the nuclear program or will the US be signing on to a war of regime change
Reposted by Stephen Marrin
jfallows.bsky.social
"This is what we were voting for!"

From a friend in academia:

>>I was with a public health professor from [major university] last weekend and he said that NIH is now euthanizing whole cohorts of animals from animal studies because there is nobody around to feed them<<

Great work.
Reposted by Stephen Marrin
altnps.bsky.social
This is how authoritarian governments operate: They don’t just ignore the truth they demand that others rewrite it to suit their goals. And in this case, the cost is real human lives migrants being deported under false pretenses, denied basic legal rights, and sent into danger.
smarrin.bsky.social
Not good. The IC provides analysis independent of policy preferences. When those in power do not want to hear inconvenient facts & unwanted interpretation & punish messengers that provide it, that undermines the reason the IC was created in the first place www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
Gabbard fires leaders of intelligence group that wrote Venezuela assessment
The director of national intelligence fired top officials weeks after their group authored an assessment contradicting President Donald Trump’s legal rationale for deporting alleged Venezuelan gang me...
www.washingtonpost.com
smarrin.bsky.social
RIP Robert Sinclar--author of CIA's "Thinking and Writing: Cognitive Science and Intelligence Analysis." "He was one of the founding members of the CIA Canoe Pool, commuting to the CIA's Langley, VA offices by canoe across the Potomac River" www.legacy.com/us/obituarie...
Robert Sinclair Obituary (1934 - 2025) - Arlington, VA - The Washington Post
View Robert Soutter Sinclair's obituary, send flowers and sign the guestbook.
www.legacy.com
smarrin.bsky.social
Call for papers for Israeli intelligence studies conference (28-29 October 2025), with proposals due 31 July 2025. See details below...good opportunity for intelligence studies scholars and practitioners here!
ilintelligence.bsky.social
📣 Issuing today the call for papers & award nominations for the Israeli Intelligence Studies Conference 2025!

🗓️ October 28-29, 2025
🌎 @hebrewuniversity.bsky.social, Jerusalem

📩 Submission deadline: July 31, 2025
smarrin.bsky.social
This might be a great example of analytic intelligence failure due to what looks like it not only analytic error but analytic fraud
reichlinmelnick.bsky.social
NEW: Thanks very much to @itstygrey.bsky.social for getting me started down this path, but apparently nearly all of these tattoos are NOT from members of Tren de Aragua. Instead, they're stolen from random places on the internet, some nearly a decade old, and from tattoo artists around the world. 🧵
reichlinmelnick.bsky.social
Adding some more context here: The document linked above also has an unclassified ICE HSI list of some Tren de Aragua tattoos and "identifiers."

Wearing a Michael Jordan jersey can get you halfway to being deemed a TDA member, and having a nautical star tattoo can get you the rest of the way!
Reposted by Stephen Marrin
rgoodlaw.bsky.social
Flashback

[Spoiler: special prosecutor recommended charges for gross negligence in mishandling national defense information]
Reposted by Stephen Marrin
smarrin.bsky.social
Call for papers for intelligence studies conference in Turkey on 10-12 October 2025 in Ankara, Turkey. It is organized by Turkey's National Intelligence Academy. Additional details here: mia.edu.tr/sayfa-call-f...
Call for Papers - MİA
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ACADEMY INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON INTELLIGENCE STUDIES – CALL FOR PAPERS The National Intelligence Academy - Türkiye (NIA
mia.edu.tr
smarrin.bsky.social
Child labor to fill the labor shortages resulting from deportation of migrants/immigrants. Better to overwork children than to have immigrants do it. Everything about this is stupid.
Reposted by Stephen Marrin
bananapantz.bsky.social
Fear of retaliation for witnessing someone being disappeared from the streets for speech.
gravelinfluencer.bsky.social
I had missed this detail earlier, but we're at the people won't speak to the media for "fear of retaliation from the government" stage of things.
“I’m a student,” she said, according to the eyewitness, a Somerville resident who spoke on condition of anonymity for fear of retaliation from the government.
smarrin.bsky.social
Call for papers for intelligence studies conference in Turkey on 10-12 October 2025 in Ankara, Turkey. It is organized by Turkey's National Intelligence Academy. Additional details here: mia.edu.tr/sayfa-call-f...
Call for Papers - MİA
NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE ACADEMY INTERNATIONAL CONGRESS ON INTELLIGENCE STUDIES – CALL FOR PAPERS The National Intelligence Academy - Türkiye (NIA
mia.edu.tr