Michael S. Pollard
@sociologian.bsky.social
1.8K followers 460 following 160 posts
Sociologist and Demographer at RAND. Research mostly on social connection, substance use (alcohol and cannabis), and migration, but with many tangents. Opinions = my own, RTs ≠ endorsements. https://scholar.google.com/citations?user=iRep51wAAAAJ&hl=en
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sociologian.bsky.social
13 months ago I refused to promise "no cats" on this account. Here, finally, is a shameless appeal to new followers: my cat in a box.
A calico cat sitting in a box that is far too small, surrounded by cat toys that cost money but are being ignored at the expense of the box.
sociologian.bsky.social
I worked on a project where we used LLMs to do sentiment coding on millions of Tweets.
sociologian.bsky.social
And now for something completely different.
coolbikeart1.bsky.social
The first episode of Monty Python's Flying Circus featured a bicycle race of modernist painters who were painting while riding

October 5, 1969
sociologian.bsky.social
As well as providing descriptive demographic trend data, the research team interviewed SMEs to identify & evaluate potential policy responses to mitigating impacts of the aging population: pro-natalist policies, immigration, the rural-urban divide, reliance on tech, and increasing retirement age.
sociologian.bsky.social
My new report acts as an intro to China's current demographic challenges (rapid population aging, low fertility) and their implications for China's national security (military, economy, innovation, population well-being, and the CCP's self-perpetuation).
www.rand.org/pubs/researc...
What Do China's Demographic Trends Mean for Its Future?
China has one of the world's lowest fertility rates and is experiencing one of the fastest transitions to an aged society. The impending reduction in labor force size and increase in old age dependenc...
www.rand.org
sociologian.bsky.social
My new report acts as an intro to China's current demographic challenges (rapid population aging, low fertility) and their implications for China's national security (military, economy, innovation, population well-being, and the CCP's self-perpetuation).
www.rand.org/pubs/researc...
What Do China's Demographic Trends Mean for Its Future?
China has one of the world's lowest fertility rates and is experiencing one of the fastest transitions to an aged society. The impending reduction in labor force size and increase in old age dependenc...
www.rand.org
Reposted by Michael S. Pollard
Reposted by Michael S. Pollard
dannydougherty.bsky.social
Writing an algorithm to identify cluster populations for desirability ratings. A k-pop demand hunter.
sociologian.bsky.social
I'm a bit surprised that after looking at the original results, there wasn't a clear topic that people knew/didn't know overall, but ~30-40% were wrong at each question.
sociologian.bsky.social
I got 11 out of 11, but the temperature graphs didn't show up for question 5.
sociologian.bsky.social
X users look very different now, but it still speaks to the potential generalizability of nonprobability social media data when attention is paid to the characteristics of the nonprobability sample. Watch for it in Public Opinion Quarterly some time next year! 3/3
sociologian.bsky.social
We show that a propensity score weighting procedure, using demographics, techno/psychographics, and political ideology reconciles differences between the samples for 25 of the 27 attitudes assessed. 2/3
A chart showing differences in political and policy attitudes between a national probability sample and a nonprobability sample of Twitter users, both before a propensity score weighting procedure (where there are significant differences on nearly all of the 27 measures between the two samples, but only 2 significant differences after the procedure).
sociologian.bsky.social
Fun new publication alert! Back in 2022 we fielded the same survey about political and policy attitudes to a national probability sample, and a sample of users on Twitter. The Twitter sample was younger and more liberal across a wide range of attitudes, compared to the probability sample. 1/3
sociologian.bsky.social
@genebaxter.bsky.social @alliemackay.bsky.social Dawson's Creek chat: when I was writing my comprehensive exams at Duke, the cast was shooting these S5 promo pics right outside the sociology building. We grad students all flocked to the window despite the timed exam. Michelle had to stand on a box.
The main cast of Dawson's Creek, Season 5, posing outside of the Sociology building at Duke University.
sociologian.bsky.social
My equivalent: "Please see the attached file." [There is no attached file].
sociologian.bsky.social
Relieved to report that a paper I submitted that has been under review for 18 months was just formally accepted. What's the longest review process at a single journal you've ever gone through?
sociologian.bsky.social
It's also a great example of not taking summaries of studies online very seriously. It's 32 middle class families from LA. The article I link describes the sample as "WEIRD." I'm looking forward to counting the items on my fridge, located in LA, when I get home today. www.nytimes.com/2012/06/28/g...
The Way We Live: Drowning in Stuff (Published 2012)
www.nytimes.com
sociologian.bsky.social
This is a wild ride of a read for all kinds of reasons. Researchers and people who read about research on the internet should all find some valuable stuff in here. The incidental note that THE AVERAGE NUMBER OF OBJECTS ON A TYPICAL FRIDGE IS 55 is just the icing on the cake for me.
darbysaxbe.bsky.social
This week I wrote about how my research on stress, cortisol, and clutter got misinterpreted by the media and ended up in the AI slop factory. darbysaxbe.substack.com/p/cogsplaine...
I met my AI doppelganger and it got weird
How my clutter cortisol study took on a life of its own
darbysaxbe.substack.com
Reposted by Michael S. Pollard
rmcarpiano.medsky.social
Reading this KFF report, I'm struck by how it shows the effects of RAND's "Truth Decay" framework in action:

Notably...
-increase in the relative volume & influence of opinion & experience vs. fact
-declining trust in formerly respected sources of factual info
1/
The Problem Isn’t Trust in Vaccines, It’s That People Don’t Know Who to Trust
In a new “Beyond the Data” column, KFF’s President and CEO Dr. Drew Altman analyzes years of KFF polling on vaccines in light of the current controversies about them. The real problem, he says, is not...
www.kff.org
sociologian.bsky.social
Went to download a paper from the Population Action International website, but apparently they got hacked and it advertises Russian online casinos now. oof.
sociologian.bsky.social
I tried to give these to Puss Puss, but she wasn't interested. Good luck! She loves Greenies like they are the tastiest treat she's ever had. Any time a bag opens in the kitchen, she runs in demanding some of her own bagged treats.
sociologian.bsky.social
I used to watch this guy's TV show (also called "Microwaves Are For Cooking") with a mixture of revulsion and amazement. He also demonstrated how to dry nylons in the microwave.
Reposted by Michael S. Pollard