Splainer (Material Conditions Acknowledger)
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Splainer (Material Conditions Acknowledger)
@splainer.bsky.social
https://splained.substack.com/archive

So prescient, I never had a Twitter account.
Reposted by Splainer (Material Conditions Acknowledger)
this is real? what? there's a ben garrison cartoon with fucking *grothendieck* in it?
November 30, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Also filters out regular results that simply mention "AI" tho'.
November 26, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Got me wondering now whether the pricing-in of the sea rising toward coastal housing has become extensive enough to show up in average Florida house prices...

www.nber.org/digest/20210...
Residential Property Markets and Exposure to Rising Sea Level
www.nber.org
November 25, 2025 at 7:10 PM
And "not trump 2.0" wasn't, in fact, enough. And now we are where we are.

Perhaps it's time for a different approach.
November 25, 2025 at 6:17 PM
But a pessimistic-prime phrasing leads Gemini to give an internally inconsistent answer: N_e is "almost always considerably smaller" than N_c, researcher consensus says N_e was likely "substantially larger" than N_c, and yet N_e's not a reliable lower bound.
November 25, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Experimenting again now, I find that the automatically triggered version of Gemini comes to inconsistent conclusions depending on the exact phrasing of the query.

Here one phrasing leads Gemini to give an internally consistent answer: yes, N_e works as a lower bound on N_c.
November 25, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Re advanced statistics, it explained to me that effective population size (a statistical population-genetics concept) invariably underestimates census population size, then claimed the former _couldn't_ be used to lower-bound the latter.
November 25, 2025 at 5:42 PM
Not the search-user-facing version of Gemini that kicks in automatically in response to most Google searches; I've found it to contradict itself and make basic errors.
November 25, 2025 at 5:41 PM
Consistent with recent polls hitting the tipping point where Greens now get to turn the usual Labourist talking points back on Labour: why are you splitting the left-of-center vote, you have to vote tactically and pragmatically, et cetera, et cetera.
📊 NEW | Reform lead by 6pts
‼️ Greens tied with Labour

➡️ REF – 26% (-2)
🔵 CON – 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN – 18% (+1)
🔴 LAB – 18% (-)
🟠 LD – 11% (-)

Via @LordAPolls, 13-17 Nov (+/- vs 20 Oct)
November 25, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Big money, it seems. (And in Taibbi's specific case, maybe the callout he and Mark Ames experienced over some of the more-outlandish tales in their eXile book.)

boingboing.net/2025/02/07/e...
Eoin Higgins'"Owned" is a harrowing history of the right-wing billionaire tech takeover
Eoin Higgins' new book paints a harrowing portrait of the internet's dramatic rightward shift over the last decade
boingboing.net
November 25, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Rainbow flag in bio while insulting someone with a clipping of "sodomite" because they pointed out your question was unclear. You aren't even good at melting down.
November 25, 2025 at 4:25 PM
Genocide-denier trying to lecture us about international law. Cut, print, check the gate.
November 25, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Actually it has plenty to do with international law, which Israel violates with its genocide, ethnic cleansing, occupation, apartheid. If anyone's dishonestly airbrushing it's you.
November 25, 2025 at 3:49 PM
You're doing the thing Nyhan & Grumbach are warning about: disdaining youth politics instead of making an electoral offer worth voting for on its own terms.
November 25, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Noooooo! Do _not_ trust David Sacks's judgment of the necessity of bailouts! He already pulled a fast one about this before as one of the leading venture capitalists insisting Silicon Valley Bank needed a bailout to prevent "contagion" back in Q1 2023!

x.com/DavidSacks/s...
x.com
November 24, 2025 at 11:55 PM