parker fleming
@statsowar.bsky.social
12K followers 23 following 270 posts
football | economics | data science
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statsowar.bsky.social
i typed UNC but meant NC State.
statsowar.bsky.social
yeah, that's the good stuff - UNC offense 3-13 on 3rd downs, averaged 2.5 yards per rush. But +2 on turnovers and scored TDs off both of them
statsowar.bsky.social
Went back to 2023 - NC State -.23 over Clemson seems to be the king
statsowar.bsky.social
Some bangers this season:

UCONN -.18 vs Ball State in a win
Michigan State -.2 vs BC in a win

Other recent standouts:

24 NIU -.19 in the bowl vs Fresno
24 Colorado State -.19 vs Nevada (coming off a -0.14 vs UNM the week before)
24 Vandy was -.20 vs Bama
24 Rutgers was -.20 vs Washington
statsowar.bsky.social
added a couple features to cfb-graphs dot com:

1) Receiver stats page. Very raw, will continue to tweak and improve.
2) stacked mobile tables so you can actually read stat previews on your phone (will continue to work on design, but needed to start with legibility
statsowar.bsky.social
everyone's asleep, time to post kicker stats
statsowar.bsky.social
site was down overnight, should be back up again
Reposted by parker fleming
milesdavid.bsky.social
buckle up, ya'll

@statsowar.bsky.social already causing Monday anxiety
statsowar.bsky.social
stat previews are up for week 5
cfb-graphs.com
statsowar.bsky.social
it's an "occasional" newsletter. I'll drop the team talent composite piece soon, and then some intermittent stuff as i have ideas.
Reposted by parker fleming
celebrityhottub.bsky.social
New on Phantom Island: @statsowar.bsky.social joins me to talk about the 247 Team Talent Composite, the NFL Franchise Tag, and reimagining how we think about rosters and stars and all of that. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/r...
Rethinking the Team Talent Composite with Parker Fleming (PREVIEW)
Podcast Episode · Phantom Island · 09/12/2025 · 17m
podcasts.apple.com
statsowar.bsky.social
Quick programming note: I probably won't be posting previews over here. If there's enough demand, maybe? But in general, it is just a bunch of time to cross post without and effective tool.

Will have announcement about where to find previews soon.
noospheric.bsky.social
Hey man can you post your Week 0 previews over here? Some of us left twitter long ago, so we can't see the individual previews in the comments. Thanks!:

x.com/statsowar/st...
x.com
Reposted by parker fleming
celebrityhottub.bsky.social
A special bonus Phantom Island went up today for paid subscribers; it's got @stevengodfrey.bsky.social talking to @statsowar.bsky.social about how teams are approaching roster building, the new role of the bag man, and what the player personnel community is (and isn't) willing to share.
The Evolving Art of CFB Roster Building with Parker Fleming - PREVIEW
Podcast Episode · Phantom Island · 08/11/2025 · 11m
podcasts.apple.com
Reposted by parker fleming
statsowar.bsky.social
🏈PRESEASON AVERAGE WIN TOTALS v1🏈

Here are the results of 10,000 sims of the college football regular season, based on my preseason priors.

Everyone's got to start somewhere, here's where I have all 136 teams starting this fall.
statsowar.bsky.social
its so blurry over here, what the heck
statsowar.bsky.social
🏈PRESEASON AVERAGE WIN TOTALS v1🏈

Here are the results of 10,000 sims of the college football regular season, based on my preseason priors.

Everyone's got to start somewhere, here's where I have all 136 teams starting this fall.