Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
@stephenvaisey.com
3K followers 720 following 150 posts
Professor at Duke University. Cultural evolution, political attitudes, social change, nerdy stuff in R. YNWA. https://vaiseys.github.io/
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Pinned
stephenvaisey.com
Here's a recording of a talk I gave on cohort effects and cultural change in 2023.

It was my pinned post from the old site and it's a good way for those who are interested to see what I'm working on (although my beard is much more under control these days).
4/7/2023 How Common Is Opinion Change?
YouTube video by Purdue Video Production
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
dalmaijer.bsky.social
Term has started here, so I'm once again inundated with emails addressed "Sir" (used in UK secondary schools), "Mr" (same), and "heyyyyy" (??). Seems this brief blog for new students is still relevant: www.dalmaijer.org/2022/03/how-...

Feel free to use, if you find yourself in the same position!
How to email your lecturer / professor – Quantitative Exploration of Development (Q.E.D.)
www.dalmaijer.org
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
andrew.heiss.phd
If you've ever wanted to learn how to make beautiful websites with #QuartoPub and #rstats , check out this workshop I'm giving in a couple weeks! It'll be a blast (and we're covering Quarto's brand new _brand dot yaml system!)
stathorizons.bsky.social
Learn to create and publish a professional, data-focused website in “Create an Online Presence with Quarto Websites” on October 16-17, with @andrew.heiss.phd‬! Discover how to use #Quarto to build a variety of websites like personal portfolios, research compendiums, and interactive dashboards.
Quarto Websites | Online Seminar | Code Horizons
This online course taught by Andrew Heiss, Ph.D., teaches you how to use Quarto to build a variety of data-focused websites.
codehorizons.com
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
weedenkim.bsky.social
Good point. Academia's love affair with journal status, which is at the root of its reluctance to embrace open access alternatives to the for-profit journals, facilitates the spread of misinformation.

Hard for truth to get its boots on when the boots are locked behind a paywall.
scientificdiscovery.dev
In general I think it's hard to combat scientific misinformation when some of the best research is locked behind an academic paywall, while lots of nonsense gets published free for everyone to read in predatory journals.
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
socarxiv.bsky.social
The number of people who will respond to "Ask me for a copy" is a tiny fraction of those who would love to click on a non-paywalled link. Don't make people ask. SocArXiv is free to share, free to read, non-profit, academy-owned at a public university. Hello! Thanks for sharing.
scientificdiscovery.dev
It's great some authors will share their work if you email them for a pdf.

But this isn't a good use of your time, or theirs.

I do think academics have more important things to do than a system where they reply one by one to every potential reader who wants to read beyond the abstract.
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
rebeccarhelm.bsky.social
I get that the news cycle is packed right now, but I just heard from a colleague at the Smithsonian that this is fully a GIANT SQUID BEING EATEN BY A SPERM WHALE and it’s possibly the first ever confirmed video according to a friend at NOAA

10 YEAR OLD ME IS LOSING HER MIND (a thread 🧵)
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
profsamperry.bsky.social
Religiosity & gender attitudes go hand-in-hand. But which influences which?

New study by McElroy et al. shows earlier gender views tend to predict religious trajectories more than the reverse (except for young women).

Once again:

Cultural/political conflicts --> Religion
doi.org/10.1177/2378...
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
brendannyhan.bsky.social
Friends don't let friends give preregistration a bad name. Exploratory findings are fine; you just have to label them!
davidryanmiller.com
Love it when you 1) do a proper preregistration, 2) find an unexpected finding in the course of examining your preregistered hypotheses, 3) present the unexpected finding as exploratory, and 4) a reviewer HAMMERS you for "undermining the integrity of the preregistration process?" 🫠
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
kbkarlson.bsky.social
We're hiring in wonderful Copenhagen 🇩🇰

Two or more open rank sociology professorships (tt assistant, associate with tenure, or full prof with tenure).

You'll join a leading sociology department in Europe with many core fields represented!

#sociology

More 👇

jobportal.ku.dk/videnskabeli...
Call for two or more open-rank academic positions in Sociology
jobportal.ku.dk
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
vincentab.bsky.social
This is a paper I really care about. I feel the core message is very important for social scientists in general, and political scientists in particular.

"Quantitative Research in Political Science is Greatly Underpowered."

(with A+ co-authors)
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
mdehghani.bsky.social
Come work with us at USC! We're hiring an NSF-funded Postdoc for the Everyday Respect Project. 🤖

You'll work directly with me, Ben Graham, and Shri Narayanan, using cutting-edge AI to analyze police body-worn camera footage to improve police-community relations.
Postdoctoral Scholar - Research Associate at USC
Learn more about applying for Postdoctoral Scholar - Research Associate at USC
usccareers.usc.edu
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
kbroussard.bsky.social
TWO new Assistant Professor positions in Sociology at USC! Seeking candidates with expertise in the following: 1) Institutions & Inequalities and 2) Socially Informed AI and/or Data Science (links to job ads below👇). Happy to talk about what it's like to work/live here! #sociology (1/3)
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
stathorizons.bsky.social
Join "Multilevel and Mixed Models Using R" with @stephenvaisey.com on Oct. 8-10 for an intensive intro to multilevel models. Learn the (real) difference between fixed & random effects and how to combine the strengths of both into a single model using #Rstats.
Multilevel & Mixed Models R | Online Seminar | Statistical Horizons
This online course taught by Stephen Vaisey, Ph.D., will provide an intensive introduction to multilevel models (MLM) using R.
statisticalhorizons.com
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
brendannyhan.bsky.social
New job ad: Assistant Professor of Quantitative Social Science, Dartmouth College apply.interfolio.com/172357

Please share with your networks. I am the search chair and happy to answer questions!
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
skiles.blue
A terrorist targeted federal workers last week. There wasn’t much reporting on it. But I’m not finished thinking about it! 🧵

An anti-vaxxer fired more than 500 gunshots into CDC Atlanta, shattering 150 “blast-proof” windows on 6 buildings. Employees were pinned down in terror.
stephenvaisey.com
This is an incredible data source!
alexselbyb.bsky.social
Musician and data whizz Chris Dalla Riva has painstakingly compiled over 100 datapoints for every US Billboard Hot 100 Number One song since August 4th 1958, and it's now freely available here:

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Billboard Hot 100 Number Ones Database
docs.google.com
stephenvaisey.com
To be fair, no one knows if any advice is good advice!
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
nicolasrestrepo.bsky.social
Worth saying that most of my papers have been collaborations with folks from my grad program. Of course, I am extraordinarily lucky to have been surrounded by them. But this ability to foster collaboration is, above all else, the mark of a successful grad program.
sociologicalsci.bsky.social
NEW Andrés Castro Araújo, Nicolás Restrepo Ochoa, "How to Make a Functionalist Argument." sociologicalscience.com/articles-v12...
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
electionstudies.bsky.social
The full release of the ANES 2024 Time Series #Data is now available. More details here: electionstudies.org/anes-announc...
Full release of the ANES 2024 is now available.
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
ericpolisci.bsky.social
Stony Brook is hiring in political psychology (assistant professor). Please Share! Feel free to reach out if you have question. For more information: apply.interfolio.com/170193
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
tkeskinturk.bsky.social
research papers now too often (a) collect highly complex data, (b) engage in heavy-handed pre-processing to measure constructs, and (c) pile on multiple layers of statistical estimation.

as a rule of thumb, I think a paper is much clearer when at most one of these is likely to raise eyebrows imho.
Reposted by Stephen Vaisey 🇺🇦
tedunderwood.com
This is the world I hope we're getting: One where 1) progress is loosely sigmoid, not because there's any fixed cap, but because the initial overhang of human training data has been exploited, and 2) open models can come close to catching up, because of #1.
A line chart titled “Quality of solutions by some hypothetical metric where human experts are 1.0.” The vertical axis ranges from 0.00 to slightly above 1.00, and the horizontal axis runs from 2015 to 2035. Two sigmoid-shaped curves are shown: a blue “Closed models” line that rises steeply from near zero around 2021 to level off around 2028, and a red “Open models” line that starts similarly low but rises about two years later, leveling off around 2030. Both lines continue to rise rather than leveling entirely flat. The legend is in the lower right corner inside the plot area.