Swinda Falkena
@swinda.bsky.social
230 followers 300 following 29 posts
Postdoctoral Researcher at Utrecht University | Climate Scientist - Physicist - Mathematician | Tipping - Subpolar Gyre - Weather Regimes - Complexity | Runner | she/her
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Reposted by Swinda Falkena
rahmstorf.bsky.social
“Bivalve records are really amazing. They are like the tree rings of the sea. They offer a continuous, annually resolved record of ocean conditions.”
New study finds #AMOC destabilization since 1950 "suggesting that the region is moving toward a tipping point."🌊
insideclimatenews.org/news/0310202...
New Study Shows Disruption of Ocean Currents That Stabilize the Global Climate - Inside Climate News
Clam shell growth rings contain clues about the looming potential for a tipping point into climate collapse.
insideclimatenews.org
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
rahmstorf.bsky.social
“We are the most intellectual species to walk the planet, but we’re not intelligent. If you’re intelligent you don’t destroy your only home.”

Dr. Jane Goodall
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
thierryaaron.bsky.social
“If we continue, however, with the policies that we have out there, we are clearly on a pathway now of 2.7 degrees or 3 degrees where adaptation is simply not doable anymore. This is just what it is. We cannot protect Amsterdam from sea level rise of 3m. This is just not doable,” Thallinger said.
Why insurers worry the world could soon become uninsurable
Günther Thallinger, a board member at Allianz, one of the world's biggest insurers, says the climate crisis could make adaptation economically unviable.
www.cnbc.com
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
colincarlson.bsky.social
🚨 NEW: Climate change is already causing 30,000 deaths per year - a global annual economic loss of $100-350B USD - but the true damage is probably 10x higher. Out TODAY in Nature Climate Change: the first systematic look at the science of "health impact attribution" 🔓 www.nature.com/articles/s41...
"Health losses attributed to anthropogenic climate change," a brief communication in the journal Nature Climate Change. There's a map showing regions of the world, and pie charts of relevant studies as they apply to different health impacts like "heat-related deaths" and "maternal and child health"
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
ketanjoshi.co
This is a nice illustration of how waste powers production.

The idea of single-use, discardable plastic 'filling up landfills' was magic for producers.

This is the same principle behind fossil fuel companies producing energy, and the tech companies that waste it

www.jasontreat.com/plastic-1
a chart showing the rising amount of plastic consumption from 1950 to 2000 and 15, with most of the rise attributable to packaging where plastic is only used for about six months. Most of it is never recycled or incinerated
swinda.bsky.social
Interesting new study! They attributed heatwaves🔥 to emissions of individual companies. Companies that emit a lot of CO2 contribute to climate change, making heatwaves more intense. Can this help in pushing them to reduce emissions and hold them accountable for the damage?

doi.org/10.1038/s415...
Systematic attribution of heatwaves to the emissions of carbon majors - Nature
Climate change made 213 historical heatwaves reported over 2000–2023 more likely and more intense, to which each of the 180 carbon majors (fossil fuel and cement producers) substantially contributed.
www.nature.com
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
rahmstorf.bsky.social
Wow. The US Energy Department has withdrawn its scam climate report and disbanded its „Climate Working Group“ in order to dodge a law suit against the scam.
They must have realized that this scam report by a few „climate skeptics“ is indefensible nonsense.

subscriber.politicopro.com/article/2025...
POLITICO Pro: DOE says it dissolved research group that wrote its controversial climate report
The department said the end of the Climate Working Group means environmental groups' complaint over alleged Federal Advisory Committee Act violations is no longer valid.
subscriber.politicopro.com
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
codyhochstenbach.bsky.social
VVD partij ideoloog en wetenschappelijk directeur trekt de hele klimaatwetenschap in twijfel. Dan snap ik wel dat je niet met GL-PvdA wil, maar liever met PVV
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
swinda.bsky.social
It was a pleasure giving a seminar at the VU today in the Water & Climate Risk group. I enjoyed the great questions and discussion, given me lots of new ideas :)

I discussed subpolar gyre variability mechanisms, links with the AMOC and impacts of an AMOC collapse on European precipitation.
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
glenpeters.bsky.social
Here is the starter pack you have all been waiting for:

IPCC AR7 Scientists

(the scientists that will write the next assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for the next few years)

Thanks @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social

bsky.app/starter-pack...
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
ccss-uu.bsky.social
CCSS Lunch Meeting #75: Tipping Behavior in Complex Systems - an introduction.

🗓️🕛Thu 11 Sept. 12:00-13:00.

Dr. Robbin Bastiaansen will give the kick-off talk of the new CCSS meetings topic: Tipping behavior in Natural and Societal Systems.

Please sign up 👇 for free 🥪
www.uu.nl/en/events/cc...
Events
Events page
www.uu.nl
swinda.bsky.social
📢New preprint out! We study the interaction between slowly varying weather regimes and storm tracks, deriving a Rossby wave breaking recipe for how regimes are linked to wave breaking events.

In short, given the regime, we can anticipate where storms likely develop.

doi.org/10.22541/ess...
On storm tracks, weather regimes, and a wave breaking recipe
The atmospheric circulation is often described as a combination of low-frequency variability, such as weather regimes that can persist for weeks, and high-frequency variability, including synoptic sys...
doi.org
swinda.bsky.social
Trust in conclusions drawn from research by others and how politicians translate that into policy is substantially lower though. But then trust in the government is 4,3 (compared to 7,5 for scientists). How does this affect how we as a society act on scientific results?
swinda.bsky.social
Do people trust science? In the Netherlands the answer is yes, trust even increased.

However, the mean hides a change in the distribution, with both high trust (8+) and low trust (5-) increasing. Medical science is trusted most at 74%, climate science around 55%.

www.rathenau.nl/nl/werking-v...
Vertrouwen in de wetenschap 2025 | Rathenau Instituut
Sinds 2012 vraagt het Rathenau Instituut ongeveer elke drie jaar aan een grote, representatieve groep Nederlanders hoeveel vertrouwen zij hebben in de wetenschap en verschillende aspecten ervan. We vr...
www.rathenau.nl
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
rahmstorf.bsky.social
We’re filling the atmosphere with CO2 like a bathtub with water. Most of it stays for millennia.
That is why the cumulative emissions (the total amount, as pictured here) and not yearly emissions determine the amount of #globalwarming.
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
rahmstorf.bsky.social
Here is a reminder that already last year 44 experts directed a powerful warning to policy makers about the risk of #AMOC shutdown. What more can we do to get heard?
It’s like the saying that every disaster movie starts with scientists warning and being ignored.
rahmstorf.bsky.social
44 experts from 15 countries issued a stark warning about the dangers of crossing an ocean circulation tipping point. I had the honor to present it to the Icelandic 🇮🇸 climate minister Guðlaugur Þór Þórðarson yesterday. #AMOC
Full letter with signatories: en.vedur.is/media/ads_in...
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
mikehudema.bsky.social
If you think that dramatic spikes in ocean temperatures aren’t much of a concern, it’s time to think again.

There is no time to wait. #ActOnClimate

#climate #energy #heatwave #ClimateBreakdown
Reposted by Swinda Falkena
rahmstorf.bsky.social
I was shocked when I first saw these results from standard climate models used in IPCC reports: for high emissions, the Atlantic overturning circulation #AMOC shuts down in all 9 models that ran past 2100, and is well on the way to shutdown by 2100.
Our paper on that is out today.🧵