Richard
@swingex.bsky.social
Stock market junkie with professional training in technical analysis.
- Owner of www.swingex.com
- Writer for The Prime Wave (prime.swingex.com)
- Owner of www.swingex.com
- Writer for The Prime Wave (prime.swingex.com)
The last week of November is traditionally bullish, but beware a possible bearish candlestick pattern on the monthly charts! Covered in this week's Prime Wave. #trading #investing
prime.swingex.com/p/seasonal-f...
prime.swingex.com/p/seasonal-f...
A Disappearing Seasonal Factor
A long-term soft spot on the stock market's calendar would be useful to know about. But only if it is really there. Also this week, a potential bearish engulfing candle appears.
prime.swingex.com
November 24, 2025 at 10:57 AM
The last week of November is traditionally bullish, but beware a possible bearish candlestick pattern on the monthly charts! Covered in this week's Prime Wave. #trading #investing
prime.swingex.com/p/seasonal-f...
prime.swingex.com/p/seasonal-f...
Is the #stockmarket primed for a fall? The NAAIM exposure index has reached 100.83 and previous (post-COVID) excursions over 100 were not exactly bullish. Whether you are #trading or #investing, beware!
November 2, 2025 at 5:17 PM
Is the #stockmarket primed for a fall? The NAAIM exposure index has reached 100.83 and previous (post-COVID) excursions over 100 were not exactly bullish. Whether you are #trading or #investing, beware!
Zooming Out: Where to go when you don't know where to go prime.swingex.com/p/zooming-out #stocks #finance
October 19, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Zooming Out: Where to go when you don't know where to go prime.swingex.com/p/zooming-out #stocks #finance
The Swingex Index has turned solidly negative. A minus 4 means the #stockmarket could get a little rocky for the next few days/weeks. If you are #trading, it is time to get conservative or even go short if you dare. You can see the index here: www.swingex.com/indicator/to...
Today's Swingex Index
This is the current value of the Swingex Index.
www.swingex.com
October 2, 2025 at 11:46 AM
The Swingex Index has turned solidly negative. A minus 4 means the #stockmarket could get a little rocky for the next few days/weeks. If you are #trading, it is time to get conservative or even go short if you dare. You can see the index here: www.swingex.com/indicator/to...
People on TV are talking about the #stockmarket going down like we are in a bear market. It is still higher than it was a week ago. 🙄
September 25, 2025 at 10:14 AM
People on TV are talking about the #stockmarket going down like we are in a bear market. It is still higher than it was a week ago. 🙄
Low vol and high vol stocks can't agree on which way to go. Who will win? prime.swingex.com/p/too-high-b... #stockmarket #trading
High Beta And Low Volatility Not On Speaking Terms
What happens when "high beta" stocks go up and "low volatility" stocks go down? Also, a newbie trader's search for a trading system.
prime.swingex.com
September 22, 2025 at 11:23 AM
Low vol and high vol stocks can't agree on which way to go. Who will win? prime.swingex.com/p/too-high-b... #stockmarket #trading
I bought shares of Planet Labs (PL) two months ago for exactly $5 and then sold recently for $9.45. Despite the great trade, I am still feeling seller's remorse. What, if anything, does this say about the #stockmarket?
September 18, 2025 at 10:20 AM
I bought shares of Planet Labs (PL) two months ago for exactly $5 and then sold recently for $9.45. Despite the great trade, I am still feeling seller's remorse. What, if anything, does this say about the #stockmarket?
American stock exchanges now have more listings for ETFs than individual operating companies. The #EU prevents its residents from buying American ETFs to protect its inferior financial services industry. So its bloated sales/mgmt fees for you, Europe! #Protectionism for everyone!
August 29, 2025 at 7:37 AM
American stock exchanges now have more listings for ETFs than individual operating companies. The #EU prevents its residents from buying American ETFs to protect its inferior financial services industry. So its bloated sales/mgmt fees for you, Europe! #Protectionism for everyone!
The last 8 days for #NVDA have been: Up-Down-Up-Down-Up-Down-Up-Down. Volume always higher on the Down day than on the Up day that preceded it. Probably not just bad luck that the stock cracked yesterday and closed below its 20 day avg for the first time since April. #technicalanalysis #stockmarket
August 20, 2025 at 10:59 AM
The last 8 days for #NVDA have been: Up-Down-Up-Down-Up-Down-Up-Down. Volume always higher on the Down day than on the Up day that preceded it. Probably not just bad luck that the stock cracked yesterday and closed below its 20 day avg for the first time since April. #technicalanalysis #stockmarket
Nobody ever confuses #TSLA with a dull, quiet stock. But it has actually been funneling itself into a triangle pattern. Which way it will leave the triangle is a matter of opinion (and bias). #stockmarket #technicalanalysis
August 11, 2025 at 12:21 PM
Nobody ever confuses #TSLA with a dull, quiet stock. But it has actually been funneling itself into a triangle pattern. Which way it will leave the triangle is a matter of opinion (and bias). #stockmarket #technicalanalysis
In July alone, the market cap of NVIDIA increased by the equivalent of 5 Starbuckses. And we're not talking about individual locations. #stockmarket #nvda #sbux
August 1, 2025 at 12:49 PM
In July alone, the market cap of NVIDIA increased by the equivalent of 5 Starbuckses. And we're not talking about individual locations. #stockmarket #nvda #sbux
Last week there were two data points giving opposite signals. NAAIM exposure index starting to run a little hot, but OTOH a curious spike in equity put/call ratio. So far Israel/Iran is overriding both of them. #stockmarket #technicalanalysis
June 24, 2025 at 10:31 AM
Last week there were two data points giving opposite signals. NAAIM exposure index starting to run a little hot, but OTOH a curious spike in equity put/call ratio. So far Israel/Iran is overriding both of them. #stockmarket #technicalanalysis
Beyond Meat (BYND) just printed a Rising Three Methods chart pattern over the past 5 days. #TechnicalAnalysis probably doesn't work, but if it did it would be a bullish sign for $BYND. #Trading
June 3, 2025 at 1:16 PM
Beyond Meat (BYND) just printed a Rising Three Methods chart pattern over the past 5 days. #TechnicalAnalysis probably doesn't work, but if it did it would be a bullish sign for $BYND. #Trading
You might have heard, #NVDA is reporting earnings this week.
- Their actual earnings for last quarter don't matter
- Management's comments/forecasts matter a little
- The market's reaction to it all is the most important thing
Don't worry about what the market "should" do. Just watch what happens.
- Their actual earnings for last quarter don't matter
- Management's comments/forecasts matter a little
- The market's reaction to it all is the most important thing
Don't worry about what the market "should" do. Just watch what happens.
May 26, 2025 at 1:37 PM
You might have heard, #NVDA is reporting earnings this week.
- Their actual earnings for last quarter don't matter
- Management's comments/forecasts matter a little
- The market's reaction to it all is the most important thing
Don't worry about what the market "should" do. Just watch what happens.
- Their actual earnings for last quarter don't matter
- Management's comments/forecasts matter a little
- The market's reaction to it all is the most important thing
Don't worry about what the market "should" do. Just watch what happens.
As the great statesman #DaveChappelle said back in 2017: I wanna wear Nikes, I don't wanna make 'em! #tariffs
#piyasalar böyle #insider görmedi diyenler
13’te Ceysın Bey ile yayındayız 👉 www.youtube.com/live/-scdDpN...
#hisseler #bist100 #borsaistanbul #borsa #ekonomi #cds #etf #trump #trumptariffs #news
13’te Ceysın Bey ile yayındayız 👉 www.youtube.com/live/-scdDpN...
#hisseler #bist100 #borsaistanbul #borsa #ekonomi #cds #etf #trump #trumptariffs #news
April 14, 2025 at 9:04 AM
As the great statesman #DaveChappelle said back in 2017: I wanna wear Nikes, I don't wanna make 'em! #tariffs
Yesterday was the third-best day ever for the S&P 500 $SPX. You sometimes see hypotheticals where people say "If you had only invested in the 5 best days of the year..." or "If you had only missed the 5 worst days...". In reality, the best days and worst days are tightly comingled. #stockmarket
April 10, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Yesterday was the third-best day ever for the S&P 500 $SPX. You sometimes see hypotheticals where people say "If you had only invested in the 5 best days of the year..." or "If you had only missed the 5 worst days...". In reality, the best days and worst days are tightly comingled. #stockmarket
Lost in all the tariff talk, the weekly NAAIM index was just published. At 49.37 it is the lowest since the autumn of 2023. #sentiment #stockmarket
April 3, 2025 at 2:47 PM
Lost in all the tariff talk, the weekly NAAIM index was just published. At 49.37 it is the lowest since the autumn of 2023. #sentiment #stockmarket
Been watching $SPHB for a sign the market might run a bit more. Point of interest is $82.75 which corresponds to the closes yesterday and Monday, and the doji outside the Bollinger bands a couple weeks ago. A close clearly above that area would be nice. #trading #stockmarket
March 20, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Been watching $SPHB for a sign the market might run a bit more. Point of interest is $82.75 which corresponds to the closes yesterday and Monday, and the doji outside the Bollinger bands a couple weeks ago. A close clearly above that area would be nice. #trading #stockmarket
Here's a good example of why traders are so flummoxed right now. It's so rare to be stuck in "Extreme Fear" for days on end. #trading #stockmarket
March 14, 2025 at 2:09 PM
Here's a good example of why traders are so flummoxed right now. It's so rare to be stuck in "Extreme Fear" for days on end. #trading #stockmarket
Will be interesting to see the AAII survey tomorrow. Usually it is taken as a contrarian indicator but it is not necessarily the case during super-negative times. In 1990 + 2022 the public (AAII members) turned very bearish months ahead of the market bottom. #trading #stockmarket
March 4, 2025 at 10:37 AM
Will be interesting to see the AAII survey tomorrow. Usually it is taken as a contrarian indicator but it is not necessarily the case during super-negative times. In 1990 + 2022 the public (AAII members) turned very bearish months ahead of the market bottom. #trading #stockmarket
Moderna ($MRNA) was over $400 at peak vaccination and $125 as recently as last July. Now $34. Countless people have called a bottom in this stock all the way down. When it finally happens it will likely be a W bottom, so no need to rush in or guess. #stockmarket #trading
February 25, 2025 at 4:01 PM
Moderna ($MRNA) was over $400 at peak vaccination and $125 as recently as last July. Now $34. Countless people have called a bottom in this stock all the way down. When it finally happens it will likely be a W bottom, so no need to rush in or guess. #stockmarket #trading
The #stockmarket is threatening to make another new all-time high today and yet individual investors are super pessimistic. May we live in interesting times...
Chart below from AAII website.
Chart below from AAII website.
February 14, 2025 at 10:56 AM
The #stockmarket is threatening to make another new all-time high today and yet individual investors are super pessimistic. May we live in interesting times...
Chart below from AAII website.
Chart below from AAII website.
Not much into cycles, but came across something elsewhere on The Internets that looked interesting. According to this we should see a local bottom point on or around Feb 7. Original chart from someone called Cyclesfan (not me). #stockmarket #trading
February 5, 2025 at 10:56 AM
Not much into cycles, but came across something elsewhere on The Internets that looked interesting. According to this we should see a local bottom point on or around Feb 7. Original chart from someone called Cyclesfan (not me). #stockmarket #trading