The Progress Report
@theprogressreport.co.nz
420 followers 240 following 250 posts
If you're interested in NZ politics, polling and elections you're in the right place. #nzpol www.theprogressreport.co.nz
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Pinned
theprogressreport.co.nz
Welcome to the BlueSky home of The Progress Report - a repository of tools and data for anyone interested in New Zealand politics. Check us out at theprogressreport.co.nz #nzpol
The Progress Report
The Progress Report.
theprogressreport.co.nz
theprogressreport.co.nz
And yes - I know this thread is in itself doing what I'm saying to avoid - but I'm going out on a limb and assuming that my audience has far more voters than non voters!
theprogressreport.co.nz
But ultimately, local democracy in NZ needs massive reform - a month long postal ballot period gives people too many excuses not to vote. At the end of the day the only way to actually fix this is compulsory voting.
theprogressreport.co.nz
When turnout is framed as low, it can signal that non-participation is 'normal' - weakening the social norm of voting. We should emphasise that many will vote, and share stories of people returning their ballot today.
theprogressreport.co.nz
In get-out-the-vote / mobilisation studies, social pressure messages that highlight positive participation norms (e.g. "many in your area have already voted") tend to outperform messages that highlight abstention. link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Social Pressure, Descriptive Norms, and Voter Mobilization - Political Behavior
Several recent field experimental studies show that social pressure raises the likelihood of turning out to vote in elections. Ratcheting up social pressure to show subjects their own as well as their neighbors’ prior voting history significantly increases the effectiveness of direct mail messages. A key component in stimulating this effect seems to be the presence of individual vote history. When voters are presented with less specific turnout information, such as vote history for the community at-large, the effects on turnout often dissipate. Sensitizing voters to such descriptive norms appears to do little to stimulate participation. To address this contrast, this study presents results from a voter mobilization field experiment conducted in Hawthorne, CA prior to the November 2011 municipal elections. The experiment is a fully crossed 2 × 3 factorial study in which subjects were randomly assigned to one of six conditions, in which they receive no mailing, a mailing with individual vote history only, a mailing with individual vote history and a message emphasizing high (or low) community-level turnout from a previous election, and a mailing emphasizing high (or low) community-level turnout only. County voter files were used to randomly assign voters to treatment and control and to report the effects of each mailing on voter turnout. We find that only messages that included information about subjects’ own voting histories effectively mobilized them to vote.
link.springer.com
theprogressreport.co.nz
Psychological research shows that when people hear "few people are voting," it weakens the sense that voting is the norm. In field experiments, messages emphasising low expected turnout are less effective (or even counterproductive) compared to messages emphasising high turnout.
theprogressreport.co.nz
Low ballot returns in the local government elections so far? That's worrying - but highlighting 'low turnout' can turn it into a self-fulfilling prophecy. Better: show that many are voting, share local examples, and remind people their vote counts. A 🧵 #nzpol
Reposted by The Progress Report
morgangodfery.bsky.social
TPM probably leaking the internal budgeting details of their own MP. they’re not beating the “toxic” allegations
theprogressreport.co.nz
Thank you - have added those to the database!
theprogressreport.co.nz
Thank you! And please feel free to submit news stories you're aware of that my automated systems haven't picked up on. Historic ones about "controversial" candidates are particularly helpful to keep voters informed. #nzpol
thoughtfulnz.bsky.social
By the way, thank you to @theprogressreport.co.nz for theprogressreport.co.nz/local-candid... as telling colleagues than can click on a candidates name and see any past news stories contributed about them seems to have been helpful at getting people past "I don't know enough about them"
theprogressreport.co.nz
I've made some pretty major changes to the database behind The Progress Report. I've consolidated all of my general election candidates (and extended back to 2017) & 2025 local govt data. It's now all stored together so you can see what other elections & parties someone has stood for. #nzpol
theprogressreport.co.nz
Insane that they've been teasing a recognition announcement for weeks. Even putting the substance of it aside, this is horrifically bad political management.
henrycooke.bsky.social
BREAKING: Winston Peters says is NZ is "not ready" to recognise Palestinian statehood.

"We do not think the time is now."

He says recognition at this time would be "open for political manipulation by both Hamas and Israel".
Reposted by The Progress Report
henrycooke.bsky.social
BREAKING: Winston Peters says is NZ is "not ready" to recognise Palestinian statehood.

"We do not think the time is now."

He says recognition at this time would be "open for political manipulation by both Hamas and Israel".
Reposted by The Progress Report
russelnorman.bsky.social
The decision of the Luxon Govt to cancel the NZ Battery Project, which would have underpinned security of the nz electricity network, sure looks short sited as we watch the wave of industrial closures driven, in part, by security of supply and high prices of electricity.
theprogressreport.co.nz
Nigel sounds like a bit of a snowflake to me. #nzpol
gwynncompton.bsky.social
Candidate from the purported party of free speech weirdly triggered by me exercising my free speech to call my blog Local Aotearoa.
theprogressreport.co.nz
This is both sad and funny. Hilarious how bad they are at politics. #nzpol
theprogressreport.co.nz
Interesting (and concerning) post from an ACT Local candidate about how the National Party handles voter data. #nzpol
Screenshot of a Facebook post from Michelle Magnus with the following text...

"So I’ve been thinking … Members of the silent majority are slowly waking up. 
The impression I am getting from posts here is despite frequently emailing Ministers, MPs etc you don’t get a response. 
I worked in an MPs office for a few years. MPs do respond to letters. You might get a nothing response but the important thing is a file is opened and your letter kept with an “issue” title. 
This database (the Nats one anyway) is able to be seen by all other Nat MPs. Don’t worry any information coming into the electorate office is not subject to OIA. 
I am going to start writing to MPs at their electorate office addresses - at this stage one a week as there is so much crap going on. 
If a majority of us started doing this their electorate office will be very busy! More importantly they will be bombarded with what their voters think and forced to respond instead of ignoring us. 
So join me in some old fashioned letter writing to Ministers and MPs of all the coalition parties. 
If possible make an appointment to see your local MP during recess. That also creates a file and bring a list of things they’re getting wrong ( it’s long I know)! You do not need to specify why you want to see the MP. 
Some good for thought today."
Reposted by The Progress Report
drbex.bsky.social
Also, if keen on something more in depth - I wrote something earlier this week:

open.substack.com/pub/drbex/p/...
theprogressreport.co.nz
I get very strong ScoMo vibes from Luxon. #nzpol
Screenshot of a news story, link in following post.