Third Thoughts
@thirdthoughts.bsky.social
Ex-academic political scientist/theorist.🏳️⚧️ rights are human rights. Nuance > Hot Takes. Youtube vids on political history and philosophy. Em dash user from the Before Times.
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThirdThoughtsYT
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ThirdThoughtsYT
The futility and jeopardy theses strike again
February 3, 2026 at 9:49 PM
The futility and jeopardy theses strike again
Noting this is Nate Silver so its probably even worse for them... THEY ARE SO COOKED.
January 27, 2026 at 1:36 AM
Noting this is Nate Silver so its probably even worse for them... THEY ARE SO COOKED.
Clearest illustration yet of "if you stayed home, you bear guilt for what is happening right now"
January 25, 2026 at 5:20 PM
Clearest illustration yet of "if you stayed home, you bear guilt for what is happening right now"
Willis really out here dropping the truth bombs. Dina is never wrong (except maybe now, hilariously)
January 21, 2026 at 8:38 PM
Willis really out here dropping the truth bombs. Dina is never wrong (except maybe now, hilariously)
Working on my lesson plans for hebrew chai school and I think I got the color palette down...
January 5, 2026 at 9:21 PM
Working on my lesson plans for hebrew chai school and I think I got the color palette down...
Yeah, that tracks. Thanks @merriam-webster.com for your accurate prediction.
January 1, 2026 at 5:58 PM
Yeah, that tracks. Thanks @merriam-webster.com for your accurate prediction.
The "increased rate of advance" is increased, but this still makes WWI look like a Wiley Coyote x Roadrunner chase...
January 1, 2026 at 5:12 AM
The "increased rate of advance" is increased, but this still makes WWI look like a Wiley Coyote x Roadrunner chase...
Since it's a fun exercise, I'll take a crack at it. There are definitely a few here that people with recency-bias won't like. And there are a lot in the late 1800s where you have to do an unfortunate balancing act of Black vs. Native rights or Rights vs. Economy/Foreign Policy.
December 29, 2025 at 8:17 PM
Since it's a fun exercise, I'll take a crack at it. There are definitely a few here that people with recency-bias won't like. And there are a lot in the late 1800s where you have to do an unfortunate balancing act of Black vs. Native rights or Rights vs. Economy/Foreign Policy.
December 23, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Sabbath Shalom and Happy Hannukah I have a bonfire...
December 20, 2025 at 12:11 AM
Sabbath Shalom and Happy Hannukah I have a bonfire...
So this is how this appeared on my feed and, uh... yeah,that's the problem alright.
December 19, 2025 at 5:30 AM
So this is how this appeared on my feed and, uh... yeah,that's the problem alright.
Forgot to post last night, bit chag hannukah sameach errybody!
December 16, 2025 at 4:21 AM
Forgot to post last night, bit chag hannukah sameach errybody!
Proof of good decision-making
December 3, 2025 at 5:16 AM
Proof of good decision-making
This might be a useful graphic for context. Note the large prevalence in W/C Africa relative to the rest of the world, which is a region in which Islam and Catholicism both have a lot of influence due to repeat conquests from 700-1900 CE. In those locations, there is a lot of migration for work...
November 26, 2025 at 10:33 PM
This might be a useful graphic for context. Note the large prevalence in W/C Africa relative to the rest of the world, which is a region in which Islam and Catholicism both have a lot of influence due to repeat conquests from 700-1900 CE. In those locations, there is a lot of migration for work...
See this? This is what will get you a block, because it has nothing to do with the points I was making, about which I've been explicit.
User redacted for the PSA, do not dogpile.
If you want to talk about how we could get to actually good legal frameworks, that's fine, but don't project.
User redacted for the PSA, do not dogpile.
If you want to talk about how we could get to actually good legal frameworks, that's fine, but don't project.
November 26, 2025 at 7:01 PM
See this? This is what will get you a block, because it has nothing to do with the points I was making, about which I've been explicit.
User redacted for the PSA, do not dogpile.
If you want to talk about how we could get to actually good legal frameworks, that's fine, but don't project.
User redacted for the PSA, do not dogpile.
If you want to talk about how we could get to actually good legal frameworks, that's fine, but don't project.
I have achieved gourmet cinnabon-level cinnamon rolls. These are spectacular.
November 22, 2025 at 2:37 AM
I have achieved gourmet cinnabon-level cinnamon rolls. These are spectacular.
So within housing, there is tremendous variation! That means home:income ratios vary tremendously as well. Consider this infographic of variation by state, which shows coastal states have substantially more expensive housing in relative terms.
November 9, 2025 at 6:32 PM
So within housing, there is tremendous variation! That means home:income ratios vary tremendously as well. Consider this infographic of variation by state, which shows coastal states have substantially more expensive housing in relative terms.
One wrinkle: housing, ironically, has increased at approximately the same pace as overall inflation - at least on average, across the whole nation. But that belies another problem: housing inflation has varied tremendously by region. Consider this chart showing the widespread variation in pices!
November 9, 2025 at 6:32 PM
One wrinkle: housing, ironically, has increased at approximately the same pace as overall inflation - at least on average, across the whole nation. But that belies another problem: housing inflation has varied tremendously by region. Consider this chart showing the widespread variation in pices!
What has happened over the last 40-50 years, since Ronald Reagan, is a gradual decoupling in the price trajectory of those categories of goods. Here's a slightly-dated image (early 2020s) using BLS data showing the difference. For context, the overall inflation rate for this period was ~50-60%.
November 9, 2025 at 6:32 PM
What has happened over the last 40-50 years, since Ronald Reagan, is a gradual decoupling in the price trajectory of those categories of goods. Here's a slightly-dated image (early 2020s) using BLS data showing the difference. For context, the overall inflation rate for this period was ~50-60%.
Sokka: "The moon can imprison me any time she wants"
I <3 my little service sub.
I <3 my little service sub.
November 4, 2025 at 4:27 PM
Sokka: "The moon can imprison me any time she wants"
I <3 my little service sub.
I <3 my little service sub.
I cannot move. Help.
November 1, 2025 at 4:21 PM
I cannot move. Help.
Not to discourse, but ironically youy know who probably would have something to say about Sudan? Zohran Mamdani. Or at least his father, Mahmood Mamdani, who wrote this excellent book:
November 1, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Not to discourse, but ironically youy know who probably would have something to say about Sudan? Zohran Mamdani. Or at least his father, Mahmood Mamdani, who wrote this excellent book:
When taco meets 'murica.
October 24, 2025 at 8:35 PM
When taco meets 'murica.