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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 3d

People were arrested for holding blank pieces of paper. Hardly anything said about it. You have to defend the principle not pick & choose who you want to support & when.

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 3d

Watch "The Line We Crossed" by Liz Smith. Liberals whined about JSO protests because they felt uncomfortable about the form of DA used & they weren't comfortable about the impact on their lifestyles of what was being asked for.So little support for Defend Our Juries. The line was crossed months ago.

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 3d

Not unexpected. ENSO climbed rapidly in Feb/Mar. Expect higher temps for 5 months & then a small relenting of heat due to current weak La Nina.

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Dr. Aaron Thierry @thierryaaron.bsky.social · 3d

Do you know any educators in these countries who would be open to exploring this film with their students, with subtitles provided in their native language?

Find your nearest Goethe Institute to arrange a screening: www.goethe.de/prj/sff/en/l...

Participating<br>Countries - Science Film Festival - Knowledge Through Entertainment - Goethe-Institut Science Film Festival on facebookScience Film Festival on InstagramScience Film Festival o...

www.goethe.de

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 3d

You did a great job hammering the whack-a-mole climate falsehoods e.g cost, China - but we need to find a way to attack the Reform/Tory position without seeming to give 100% support to net-zero by 2050.Current "targets" & predicted emissions result in >2.5degC warming=>systemic collapse & populism

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 9d

Excellent video from 'Just Have A Think' with just the correct tone of indignation & sarcasm on the history & prospects for carbon capture & storage.Anybody still convinced this will work except the FF industry? (it may work for limited situations e.g.concrete) m.youtube.com/watch?v=VcNh...

The INSANE Carbon Capture SCAM continues.

YouTube video by Just Have a Think

m.youtube.com

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 9d

What do models have EEI as in 2025? What did they have it as when heating was slower e.g. 2005? Suspicion is that models are right for wrong reasons & (mild) La Nina is delaying divergence from global temps.

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Kevin J. CREATURE @kevinjkircher.com · 10d

Methane from US oil and gas infrastructure causes more climate change than the entire US buildings and agriculture sectors. It has surged since ~2007 when the fracking boom began. Nations who are considering importing US natural gas should think carefully about its underestimated climate impacts.

Kevin J. CREATURE @kevinjkircher.com · Jun 30

New paper. I wish this wasn't the case, but most progress on reducing US greenhouse gas emissions is likely spurious. Why? EPA underestimates methane emissions from oil and gas. Relevant today as Repubs vote to gut IRA's methane monitoring/mitigation program. 🧵

authors.elsevier.com/a/1lL4K_6se4...

Two graphs from the paper.

The left graph shows US net greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 to 2022. The official EPA estimates decline fairly steadily from 6.6 gigatonnes per year in 2005 to 5.5 in 2022 (17% below 2005 levels), largely reflecting natural gas displacing coal for electricity generation. The adjusted estimates, which reflect independent measurements of methane emissions from oil and gas infrastructure, end at 6.3 gigatonnes per year in 2022 (only 5% below 2005 levels).

The right graph shows 2022 emissions increasing linearly with the assumed global warming potential of methane. Climate scientists are divided on whether to use the 100-year GWP, 20-year GWP, or something in between. With methane warming impacts assessed via the 20-year GWP, the central 2022 emissions estimate is 7.9 gigatonnes per year - 20% *above* the EPA's official 2005 estimate.

Caption: Figure 1: Left: United States net greenhouse gas emissions over time. Right: Scaling of 2022 net emissions with methane’s GWP. After adjustment to reflect recent measurements of methane emissions from natural gas infrastructure, United States net emissions remain nearly as high as their 2005 level.

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 10d

Absolute tosh (the review - not the book - haven't read it). The Y2K alarmism myth trotted out once again. "We don't understand....how ChatGPT's ability to reason emerged". We know how LLMs work & that doesn't include reasoning. Next time get an AI expert. www.theguardian.com/books/2025/s...

If Anyone Builds it, Everyone Dies review – how AI could kill us all

If machines become superintelligent we’re toast, say Eliezer Yudkowsky and Nate Soares. Should we believe them?

www.theguardian.com

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 10d

@rory-stewart.bsky.social @alastaircampbell2.bsky.social Are you going to this event? TRIP coverage of climate change is poor (AC: "the most severe issue facing the world") especially Leading interview with UK CCC chair. Educate yourselves especially what @kevinclimate.bsky.social has to say.

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National Emergency Briefing @nebriefing.bsky.social · 15d

📢 Britain faces a climate & nature emergency.
On 27 Nov, top experts will brief 800+ leaders from politics, business, culture, faith & media.

An unfiltered overview of the latest threats & solutions.
Only by facing it can we rise to the challenge.

Check if your MP is coming: www.nebriefing.org

National Emergency Briefing on climate & nature

An unfiltered assessment of the latest threats arising from the climate & nature crisis to an invite-only audience. Westminster Central Hall, 27 November. Has your MP confirmed yet?

www.nebriefing.org

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Kevin Anderson @kevinclimate.bsky.social · 12d

Obfuscation has long been the climate modus operandi of UK governments - of different colours. Sadly many within the expert community have chosen to remain quiet, preferring our cosy lives rather than face the flack from raising difficult questions.

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Dr Charlie Gardner @charliejgardner.bsky.social · 14d

A 7% decline in English birds in just 5 years is astonishing

The web of life is unravelling fast

Wild bird numbers continue to fall in UK with some species in ‘dramatic freefall’

Species index fell by 4% between 2019 and 2024 – although data shows woodland populations beginning to stabilise

www.theguardian.com

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Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 14d

This morning, again, it's just endless coverage of the president's "change of tone" on Russia. Which, if the past is any guide, will change again tomorrow and the day after.

We might as well analyse an angry toddler's "change of tone" towards bedtime, bathtime and whether he likes the colour green.

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Eric Holthaus @ericholthaus.com · 15d

Today, Hurricane Gabrielle strengthened from a Category 1 to a mid-Category 4 — more quickly than even the most aggressive weather models predicted.

It's almost like something about the weather has... changed.

A plot showing Hurricane Gabrielle's actual intensification rate today (black X's) compared to the official forecast (solid black line) and all the weather models the NHC uses to make their predictions. The actual intensification rate exceeded every single model.

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Climate News @climatenews.bsky.social · 18d

Excellent new video from PBS Terra about the long term climate change impact on the probability of death across the USA:

Did Scientists Just Figure Out Why People Die A DECADE Earlier in the Southeast US?

YouTube video by PBS Terra

youtu.be

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 18d

Very precise language and very powerful. climateuncensored.com/talk-at-the-...

Talk at the Tyndall Centre Conference: Our Critical Decade for Climate Action - Climate Uncensored

Venue: UEA. 8th September 2025

climateuncensored.com

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Dr Tom Harris @drtomharris.bsky.social · 20d

A new field study has revealed unexpectedly high soil carbon emissions in wet tropical forests. The increased soil respiration increased CO2 emissions by between 42 and 204% depending on the terrain.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...

#climatechange #emissions #tropics #forests #feedback

Warming induces unexpectedly high soil respiration in a wet tropical forest - Nature Communications

A year-long experiment in a wet tropical forest found that 4 oC of warming boosted soil CO2 emissions by 42-204%. These high rates suggest tropical soils may release more carbon under future warming t...

www.nature.com

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Dr. Genevieve Guenther (she/they) @doctorvive.bsky.social · 25d

After Paris, the IPCC justified the expansion of the fossil-fuel system by implicitly promising that we could "overshoot” 1.5C yet ultimately meet the target anyway.

What does this mean? Read my deep dive into Andreas Malm & @wimcarton.bsky.social's *Overshoot*

lareviewofbooks.org/article/the-...

The Point, However, Is to Change It | Los Angeles Review of Books

In advance of Andreas Malm and Wim Carton’s forthcoming book “The Long Heat: Climate Politics When It’s Too Late,” Genevieve Guenther revisits the authors’ 2024 title “Overshoot: How the World Surrend...

lareviewofbooks.org

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 27d

How many climate books has he written? Not one science based argument against anything said by Hansen or Anderson. The main point seems to be - don't state the truth because that may be too scary for people. Entitled & condescending nonsense.

twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 27d

carbon emissions by 2030. How likely is that? Would love a poll of major scientists who think that will happen. For pointing out that this requires a radically changed society @kevinclimate.bsky.social is now a "soft doomer" And Mann has the nerve to accuse others of making money out of it.

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · 27d

What even is this? The deniers are wrong one way which proves that consensus science can't be wrong the other way! What logic is that? "Rapidly reduce carbon emissions this decade" can limit warming to 1.5degC. How rapid? - RCB is about 140Gt so basically zero www.livescience.com/planet-earth...

Action on climate change faces new threat: The doomers who think it's too late to act

"Doom-mongering convinces many would-be climate advocates that climate action is a hopeless cause. But the blistering attacks against mainstream climate science and scientists advance an agenda of div...

www.livescience.com

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Stuart Capstick @stucap.bsky.social · 28d

As @kevinclimate.bsky.social has pointed out till he's blue in the face, including overshoot in scenarios and policy + relying on tech to deal with it, has always been about what's politically palatable / kicking can down the road (including by scientists) not what is known to be effective and fair.

Abstract from 2015 Nature Geoscience paper by Kevin Anderson where he states: delivery of palatable 2°C scenarios depends on speculative negative emissions or changing the past.

Excerpt from paper by Kevin Anderson where he states: negative emissions technologies are not an insurance policy, but an unjust and high-stakes gamble.

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twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · Sep 7

take part in NVDAs. Am I expected to clutch my pearls & say of course I support & will vote for Labour to keep Reform/Tories out? Once people do that where's the leverage to force Labour to do what needs to be done? (At current emissions, by GE in 2029 2degC target will be dead. No time left).

twofeathers.bsky.social @twofeathers.bsky.social · Sep 7

we're not keeping to that. International agreements seem to be the only way to add duties which all Govts must fulfil but again - failure. Opinion writers & commentators often attack JSO actions but I haven't seen any of them ask wider question of why members of "Scientists for XR" etc.

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