Verena
@viralemergence.org
710 followers 28 following 10 posts
🦠 Yale-based, NSF-funded Institute for pandemic prediction. 💻 How we do it: data, biology, AI, and team science. ⚖️ Why we do it: scientific discoveries and global health security. ➡️ See more at viralemergence.org.
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viralemergence.org
An update from the team on the uncertain future of our program and the impact of NSF budget cuts. Please share and reach out 🦠
Some difficult news from the team:

In NSF's FY25-26 Budget Request to Congress, we learned that our program will take a whopping 50% cut - meaning that in September, we'll be $1.25m short of an operating budget that currently supports a cohort of seven PhD students, four postdocs, and three full-time staff.

Verena is one of the largest and last pandemic prevention-focused programs in the United States: since 2020, we've supported the training of over 60 postdocs, graduate students, and undergraduates. Our researchers have established unique laboratory resources for studying animal immune systems, and discovered new antiviral immune adaptations in bats; developed risk assessment algorithms for wildlife and livestock viruses, and diagnostic algorithms for viruses like dengue, Ebola, and Zika; and quantified the effects of climate change, deforestation, and factory farming on spillover risk. Everything we develop is 100% open source, and our data has supported the research of nearly 150 external researchers in 21 countries to date.

We have three months to make up our budget shortfall. Every dollar spent on Verena supports not just our team, but the community of researchers who use our data, code, and resources. You can help us by sharing this post, and reaching out if you're able to support a unique and vulnerable program. Or just head over to viralemergence.org, and take a look at what we do. 🦟 🦇 🦠
Reposted by Verena
carlsonlab.bsky.social
Last week, we were lucky to host an international workshop on Pandemic Risk Scenarios for the 21st Century, with generous support from PAX sapiens and @viralemergence.org. Lots of lessons learned from climate and biodiversity science on how to design useful models and imagine better futures!
workshop group photo
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
New preprint! 🥳🎉 We looked at viral coinfection patterns at the largest scale ever in wildlife. We found a strong association among CoVs, PMVs, and influenza A, and higher coinfection rates in wildlife trade; plus, evidence that bats accumulate persistent infections. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...
Figure 3 of our paper, which shows viral coinfection networks at the virus level
Reposted by Verena
pilowsky.me
v1.0.0 of CoinfectionSimulator.jl is out! I think I'm starting to get a feel for coding in #JuliaLang style. You can use this simulator to model multiple directly transmitted infections in a host population, including different disease types and interactions between them. github.com/japilo/Coinf...
Release v1.0.0 · japilo/CoinfectionSimulator.jl
This version is more Julian in structure, and uses abstract types to manage simulation parameters, host populations, and disease strains. The simulations are more broken down into a network of help...
github.com
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
Like I said: a small part of a much bigger project, which I'll let @faustobustos.bsky.social tell you about - including a much longer-term effort to figure out how to improve WHO and PAHO case definitions / syndromic surveillance / clinical treatment for very hard to distinguish endemic arboviruses.
A table of syndromic features that best distinguish dengue, chikungunya, and Zika
Reposted by Verena
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
Just another example among many of how NSF's investment in our Center - and specifically, in a program that uses open science and the good, ethical, runs-on-your-laptop, pre-chatbot kind of AI/ML to understand fundamental biology - has had broader benefits for public health and clinical medicine.
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
NEW! 🚨🦠 We trained ML algorithms to identify the clinical presentations that best distinguish pediatric dengue, chikungunya, and Zika. One notable finding: afebrile dengue may be being missed. A small part of a big project led by @faustobustos.bsky.social, out now 🔓 www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
Paper title: "Comparison of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika among children in Nicaragua across 18 years: a single-centre, prospective cohort study"

Figure beneath it shows classification rates for different diseases and the most informative variables in each model
Reposted by Verena
pilowsky.me
The next release will be a major one that makes the package more Julian, as per some helpful comments by @ctrlalttim.com. I may have learned the basics of coding in Julia, but I'm still teaching myself to think beyond my R approach to scientific programs and organize my code differently.
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
5️⃣ Since 2023, discussions about creating an "IPCC for Pandemics" have been taken up by the UN Foundation, the National Academy of Medicine, and academic orgs like Fiocruz and Verena. Now the fight heads to Geneva. If the ball doesn't start rolling at World Health Assembly 2026, expect it in 2027.
World Health Assembly
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
🚨 Very, very big news. Today, a global coalition - including members of the IPCC, IPBES, and WHO expert advisors, as well as independent virologists, epidemiologists, and lawyers - started the process of creating an "IPCC for Pandemics."

🔓 www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...
🧵 Five things to know 👉
Pathways to an Intergovernmental Panel on Pandemics: lessons from the IPCC and IPBES

Colin J Carlson, Christopher H Trisos, Ben Oppenheim, Shweta Bansal, Sara E Davies, Aïda Diongue-Niang, Victoria Y Fan, John D Kraemer,
Rachel Golden Kroner, Lawrence O Gostin, David T S Hayman, Marion Koopmans, Torre E Lavelle, Carlos G das Neves, Zoe O’Donoghue,
Laura M Pereira, Benjamin Roche, Matiangai Sirleaf, Kayla Zamanian, Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio, Alexandra L Phelan

Pandemics pose a global threat to human wellbeing, justice, economies, and ecosystems and are comparable with other planetary crises such as climate change and biodiversity loss in terms of urgency and impact. The global community would benefit from a dedicated scientific synthesis body to assess pandemic risks and solutions. In this Personal View, we explore proposals for an Intergovernmental Panel on Pandemics and assess potential pathways to its creation. Learning lessons from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) might help national governments and international organisations to chart a course through important decisions about format, governance, operations, scientific scope and process, and ability to recommend policies that make the world safer.
Reposted by Verena
haileyrobertson.bsky.social
👋 We’re still collecting responses!! We’d love your input if you’re in an adjacent field — already seeing some super cool questions that make me so excited for the workshop.
carlsonlab.bsky.social
Viral -ologists of all kinds - molecular, ecological, evolutionary - if you haven't yet, consider joining our horizon scan study and help us identify 100 questions that are guiding where your field is going! Fill in the survey and get an invite to a workshop:

📝 airtable.com/appTW4ZoSFjR...
Airtable | Everyone's app platform
Airtable is a low-code platform for building collaborative apps. Customize your workflow, collaborate, and achieve ambitious outcomes. Get started for free.
airtable.com
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
Newest software stuff from team @viralemergence.org and maybe the most widely-useful thing we've developed? Huge congrats to Alexander and Steph, this is such an amazing bioinformatics tool. (Just wait until you see what they're doing with it!)
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
This is a really great project led by two PhD students in our group, and I can already tell it's going to lead to a really fun workshop. Consider participating if you're a virologist / disease ecologist / something more like that than not like that!
carlsonlab.bsky.social
Viral -ologists of all kinds - molecular, ecological, evolutionary - if you haven't yet, consider joining our horizon scan study and help us identify 100 questions that are guiding where your field is going! Fill in the survey and get an invite to a workshop:

📝 airtable.com/appTW4ZoSFjR...
Airtable | Everyone's app platform
Airtable is a low-code platform for building collaborative apps. Customize your workflow, collaborate, and achieve ambitious outcomes. Get started for free.
airtable.com
Reposted by Verena
ctrlalttim.com
🦠🌿🐦🧪 How can biodiversity monitoring help global efforts in disease surveillance?

With ✨ fantastic ✨ colleagues from @viralemergence.org and the @geobon.org working group on One Health, we try to identify three key lessons for the future.

🧵 A short thread!

academic.oup.com/bioscience/a...
Biodiversity science and biosurveillance are fellow travelers
The failure to meet the Aichi targets to alleviate global biodiversity decline (Nature 2020) was a wake-up call to the biodiversity monitoring community (T
academic.oup.com
Reposted by Verena
collin-schwantes.bsky.social
Check out our new paper describing a wildlife disease data standard!
carlsonlab.bsky.social
Do you study wildlife disease? Don't just share your sequences - share your testing data! We've developed a minimum data standard and an R package to help you, and wrote a little how-to-share-data handbook for disease ecology and One Health surveillance projects 🦇🦟🦠🗺️🔢

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A minimum data standard for wildlife disease research and surveillance - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - A minimum data standard for wildlife disease research and surveillance
www.nature.com
Reposted by Verena
carlsonlab.bsky.social
Do you study wildlife disease? Don't just share your sequences - share your testing data! We've developed a minimum data standard and an R package to help you, and wrote a little how-to-share-data handbook for disease ecology and One Health surveillance projects 🦇🦟🦠🗺️🔢

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A minimum data standard for wildlife disease research and surveillance - Scientific Data
Scientific Data - A minimum data standard for wildlife disease research and surveillance
www.nature.com
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
Virus researchers! Please consider participating in this project - it would be a huge help to our lab, and we think it'll lead to some really exciting synthesis. Plus, you'll get an invitation to participate in a workshop later in the project! 🦠😷
haileyrobertson.bsky.social
🧬🦠🌍 What are the big, cross-scale questions shaping the ecology and evolution of emerging viruses?

@torrelavelle.bsky.social and I are building a list of 100 questions + want your input. Help map the future of EEID — fill out & share our short survey!

🔗 airtable.com/appTW4ZoSFjR...
Airtable | Everyone's app platform
Airtable is a low-code platform for building collaborative apps. Customize your workflow, collaborate, and achieve ambitious outcomes. Get started for free.
airtable.com
Reposted by Verena
colincarlson.bsky.social
All of this AND food systems are the #1 driver of pandemic risk! www.nature.com/articles/s44...
Reposted by Verena
haileyrobertson.bsky.social
🧬🦠🌍 What are the big, cross-scale questions shaping the ecology and evolution of emerging viruses?

@torrelavelle.bsky.social and I are building a list of 100 questions + want your input. Help map the future of EEID — fill out & share our short survey!

🔗 airtable.com/appTW4ZoSFjR...
Airtable | Everyone's app platform
Airtable is a low-code platform for building collaborative apps. Customize your workflow, collaborate, and achieve ambitious outcomes. Get started for free.
airtable.com