Mick Ryan
@warinthefuture.bsky.social
Strategist, Leader & Author | Retd Army Major General | Senior Fellow in Military Studies @LowyInstitute | @CSIS | Modern & Future war studies | Futura Doctrina substack | #BannedInRussia
There is a lot to dig into with this latest post by President Trump. To visualize just how badly this could go wrong, I recently published a short story called The Greenland Expedition, which you can read at the link: mickryan.substack.com/p/the-greenl...
January 18, 2026 at 9:28 PM
There is a lot to dig into with this latest post by President Trump. To visualize just how badly this could go wrong, I recently published a short story called The Greenland Expedition, which you can read at the link: mickryan.substack.com/p/the-greenl...
“Cognitive Warfare seeks to exploit facets of cognition to disrupt, undermine, influence, or modify human decision-making by altering human behaviour and cognition through any means & technological advances”. A Cognitive Warfare report from NATO’s chief scientist. www.sto.nato.int/wp-content/u...
January 2, 2026 at 8:37 PM
“Cognitive Warfare seeks to exploit facets of cognition to disrupt, undermine, influence, or modify human decision-making by altering human behaviour and cognition through any means & technological advances”. A Cognitive Warfare report from NATO’s chief scientist. www.sto.nato.int/wp-content/u...
The much-anticipated summit between the leaders of #Ukraine and America, held at President Trump’s Mar-a-Largo resort, has just concluded. A quick update on outcomes. 1/15 🧵🇺🇦
December 28, 2025 at 10:56 PM
The much-anticipated summit between the leaders of #Ukraine and America, held at President Trump’s Mar-a-Largo resort, has just concluded. A quick update on outcomes. 1/15 🧵🇺🇦
“Russia remains fully committed to achieving peace in Ukraine.” U.S. Special Envoy Witkoff, 22 December 2025.
Ukraine tonight sees Putin’s commitment to achieving peace.
Ukraine tonight sees Putin’s commitment to achieving peace.
December 23, 2025 at 11:00 AM
“Russia remains fully committed to achieving peace in Ukraine.” U.S. Special Envoy Witkoff, 22 December 2025.
Ukraine tonight sees Putin’s commitment to achieving peace.
Ukraine tonight sees Putin’s commitment to achieving peace.
In 2025, Russia has continued its efforts to destroy #Ukraine. But despite its many advantages, Russia has failed to fully leverage them in its 2025 war efforts - including ground, air and information campaigns. 1/3
November 19, 2025 at 6:04 AM
In 2025, Russia has continued its efforts to destroy #Ukraine. But despite its many advantages, Russia has failed to fully leverage them in its 2025 war efforts - including ground, air and information campaigns. 1/3
Today on #RemembranceDay, I am thinking about the amazing soldiers I had the privilege to serve with over 35 years in the Army. I am also thinking about the previous generations who served, suffered and sacrificed so much for our freedoms. Lest we forget.
November 11, 2025 at 1:05 AM
Today on #RemembranceDay, I am thinking about the amazing soldiers I had the privilege to serve with over 35 years in the Army. I am also thinking about the previous generations who served, suffered and sacrificed so much for our freedoms. Lest we forget.
Is it just me or does this feel like Groundhog Day?
October 16, 2025 at 5:52 PM
Is it just me or does this feel like Groundhog Day?
Recently I published a report that explored how we might ‘translate’ Ukraine lessons for application in the Pacific region.
You can download the full report at this link: researchcentre.army.gov.au/sites/defaul...
You can download the full report at this link: researchcentre.army.gov.au/sites/defaul...
October 12, 2025 at 3:23 AM
Recently I published a report that explored how we might ‘translate’ Ukraine lessons for application in the Pacific region.
You can download the full report at this link: researchcentre.army.gov.au/sites/defaul...
You can download the full report at this link: researchcentre.army.gov.au/sites/defaul...
The last few years have seen many examples of wartime adaptation. This has occurred in #Ukraine as well as the Middle East. We have also seen nations in Europe, North America and Asia seek to learn and conduct peacetime adaptation. But there is a 3rd form of #adaptation that is crucial. 1/4 🧵
October 8, 2025 at 6:52 AM
The last few years have seen many examples of wartime adaptation. This has occurred in #Ukraine as well as the Middle East. We have also seen nations in Europe, North America and Asia seek to learn and conduct peacetime adaptation. But there is a 3rd form of #adaptation that is crucial. 1/4 🧵
I have just posted my regular update on #Ukraine and global conflict. This week: U.S. deep strike target data for Ukraine, more drones over Europe, the Pacific and my Big Five recommended war reads. 1/5 🇺🇦🧵
October 5, 2025 at 6:50 AM
I have just posted my regular update on #Ukraine and global conflict. This week: U.S. deep strike target data for Ukraine, more drones over Europe, the Pacific and my Big Five recommended war reads. 1/5 🇺🇦🧵
“The analysis challenges long-held assumptions about US Army superiority and sets a foundation for future research.” More Than a Numbers Game: Comparing US and Chinese Landpower in the Pacific
ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
October 2, 2025 at 9:16 PM
“The analysis challenges long-held assumptions about US Army superiority and sets a foundation for future research.” More Than a Numbers Game: Comparing US and Chinese Landpower in the Pacific
ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
ssi.armywarcollege.edu/SSI-Media/Re...
My regular update on global conflict is now available. It has been another huge week in international affairs, the war in #Ukraine and strategic competition in the Pacific. 1/5 🧵🇺🇦 (Image: @DefenceAust)
September 28, 2025 at 12:56 AM
My regular update on global conflict is now available. It has been another huge week in international affairs, the war in #Ukraine and strategic competition in the Pacific. 1/5 🧵🇺🇦 (Image: @DefenceAust)
It was a privilege to speak on the transformation drivers of AI, autonomy and adaptation for military institutions at today’s @scsp_ai #AI exchange in Austin, Texas.
September 25, 2025 at 4:46 PM
It was a privilege to speak on the transformation drivers of AI, autonomy and adaptation for military institutions at today’s @scsp_ai #AI exchange in Austin, Texas.
3/ I recently had the opportunity to contribute to the Special Competitive Studies Project’s series of papers designed to inform the next U.S. National Defense #Strategy. This short paper was the result. www.scsp.ai/wp-content/u...
September 19, 2025 at 6:30 AM
3/ I recently had the opportunity to contribute to the Special Competitive Studies Project’s series of papers designed to inform the next U.S. National Defense #Strategy. This short paper was the result. www.scsp.ai/wp-content/u...
To overcome the challenge of the current Adaptation War will take deeper learning collaboration within the Department of Defense, and between the military, intelligence and other national security agencies of other allies and partner nations. 1/3 🧵
September 19, 2025 at 6:30 AM
To overcome the challenge of the current Adaptation War will take deeper learning collaboration within the Department of Defense, and between the military, intelligence and other national security agencies of other allies and partner nations. 1/3 🧵
My weekly update on war and competition has just been published. This week: Russia's drone attack on Poland, a busy week of developments in the Pacific and my Big Five reads. Here We Go! 1/5 🧵🇺🇦
September 13, 2025 at 5:03 AM
My weekly update on war and competition has just been published. This week: Russia's drone attack on Poland, a busy week of developments in the Pacific and my Big Five reads. Here We Go! 1/5 🧵🇺🇦
I have just published my weekly update on conflict and competition in #Ukraine and the Pacific. This week, the Coalition of the Willing, Putin's 'no' to peace talks and lots of developments from the Pacific theatre. 1/5 🧵🇺🇦 (Image: @defenceu)
September 7, 2025 at 5:56 AM
I have just published my weekly update on conflict and competition in #Ukraine and the Pacific. This week, the Coalition of the Willing, Putin's 'no' to peace talks and lots of developments from the Pacific theatre. 1/5 🧵🇺🇦 (Image: @defenceu)
It was a pleasure to join @LyndaKinkade on @CNN this afternoon to discuss the Victory Day parade held in Beijing today.
September 3, 2025 at 10:01 AM
It was a pleasure to join @LyndaKinkade on @CNN this afternoon to discuss the Victory Day parade held in Beijing today.
Tomorrow's big parade in Beijing will preview new Chinese weapon systems. But the military 'bling' may also provide insights into new and evolved PLA operating concepts for drones and missiles. 1/7
September 2, 2025 at 2:51 AM
Tomorrow's big parade in Beijing will preview new Chinese weapon systems. But the military 'bling' may also provide insights into new and evolved PLA operating concepts for drones and missiles. 1/7
I have just published my regular update on global conflict. This week: Gerasimov's Ukraine war update, the aerial campaigns of Ukraine & Russia, Japan's missile moves, China's big parade and my Big Five reads. 1/5 🇺🇦🧵 (Image: @DefenceU)
August 31, 2025 at 2:20 AM
I have just published my regular update on global conflict. This week: Gerasimov's Ukraine war update, the aerial campaigns of Ukraine & Russia, Japan's missile moves, China's big parade and my Big Five reads. 1/5 🇺🇦🧵 (Image: @DefenceU)
I have just published my regular update on global conflict. This week: Ukraine and Pacific updates as well as my Big Five war and #NATSEC reads. To all my readers from Ukraine & the Ukrainian diaspora around the world, Happy Independence Day 2025. 1/5 🇺🇦🧵
August 25, 2025 at 1:37 AM
I have just published my regular update on global conflict. This week: Ukraine and Pacific updates as well as my Big Five war and #NATSEC reads. To all my readers from Ukraine & the Ukrainian diaspora around the world, Happy Independence Day 2025. 1/5 🇺🇦🧵
Happy Independence Day 2025, Ukraine. 🇺🇦
Slava Ukraini!
Slava Ukraini!
August 24, 2025 at 12:54 AM
Happy Independence Day 2025, Ukraine. 🇺🇦
Slava Ukraini!
Slava Ukraini!
Ukraine has developed a world-class long-range strike capability. My latest assessment explores this topic. Their strikes in the past few months, especially against the Russian oil industry, reinforce that Russia cannot win this war. 1/6 🇺🇦🧵
August 23, 2025 at 12:35 AM
Ukraine has developed a world-class long-range strike capability. My latest assessment explores this topic. Their strikes in the past few months, especially against the Russian oil industry, reinforce that Russia cannot win this war. 1/6 🇺🇦🧵
