Abe's too infatuated with himself to be great. He trades on his prejudices, which can't possibly be wrong because he's a genius..
December 14, 2025 at 7:19 AM
Abe's too infatuated with himself to be great. He trades on his prejudices, which can't possibly be wrong because he's a genius..
Some academics did simulations with LLMs that suggested that even without algorithms, platforms like Twitter and Bluesky, where you choose to follow people, result in radicalization.
November 15, 2025 at 2:02 AM
Some academics did simulations with LLMs that suggested that even without algorithms, platforms like Twitter and Bluesky, where you choose to follow people, result in radicalization.
Pathetic not even getting a throw to the end zone after that blocked punt. 7 out of their 10 games have now been within 3 points.
November 7, 2025 at 7:02 AM
Pathetic not even getting a throw to the end zone after that blocked punt. 7 out of their 10 games have now been within 3 points.
So if you fully cover at +115 ish I think you'd have made more like $450
October 30, 2025 at 5:32 PM
So if you fully cover at +115 ish I think you'd have made more like $450
If you want to fully cover (guarantee profit either way):
Original: $1,000 at +200 → pays $3,000 if it wins (profit $2,000).
Hedge: bet $1,500 on the other team at +100.
Profits:
If original wins: $2,000 − $1,500 = $500.
If hedge wins: $1,500 − $1,000 = $500.
So a full cover at +100 locks $500
Original: $1,000 at +200 → pays $3,000 if it wins (profit $2,000).
Hedge: bet $1,500 on the other team at +100.
Profits:
If original wins: $2,000 − $1,500 = $500.
If hedge wins: $1,500 − $1,000 = $500.
So a full cover at +100 locks $500
October 30, 2025 at 5:31 PM
If you want to fully cover (guarantee profit either way):
Original: $1,000 at +200 → pays $3,000 if it wins (profit $2,000).
Hedge: bet $1,500 on the other team at +100.
Profits:
If original wins: $2,000 − $1,500 = $500.
If hedge wins: $1,500 − $1,000 = $500.
So a full cover at +100 locks $500
Original: $1,000 at +200 → pays $3,000 if it wins (profit $2,000).
Hedge: bet $1,500 on the other team at +100.
Profits:
If original wins: $2,000 − $1,500 = $500.
If hedge wins: $1,500 − $1,000 = $500.
So a full cover at +100 locks $500
I don't understand how he odds you're betting are much different but we don't need to belabor this any longer. as long as everything is adding up in your account I must be in error.
October 28, 2025 at 7:36 AM
I don't understand how he odds you're betting are much different but we don't need to belabor this any longer. as long as everything is adding up in your account I must be in error.
that's for the blue jays obviously
October 28, 2025 at 6:57 AM
that's for the blue jays obviously
I bet poly. the one or two times I checked the odds indicated like 33% when dodgers were hitting, like 45% when there was a new inning.
October 28, 2025 at 6:53 AM
I bet poly. the one or two times I checked the odds indicated like 33% when dodgers were hitting, like 45% when there was a new inning.
err that's formula for ROI so I'm calculating a 42.86% ROI.
October 28, 2025 at 6:29 AM
err that's formula for ROI so I'm calculating a 42.86% ROI.
implied probability goes from 33% to 47% with those odds so it seems like you'd realize profit of .4762/.33 -1 or 42.86%. I dunno.
October 28, 2025 at 6:27 AM
implied probability goes from 33% to 47% with those odds so it seems like you'd realize profit of .4762/.33 -1 or 42.86%. I dunno.
I don't see how it's close to the entire bet. seems like it should be less than half.
October 28, 2025 at 6:20 AM
I don't see how it's close to the entire bet. seems like it should be less than half.
if it goes from 33 cents to 45 cents each time dodgers don't score that's like $400 for a thousand dollar bet?
October 28, 2025 at 6:12 AM
if it goes from 33 cents to 45 cents each time dodgers don't score that's like $400 for a thousand dollar bet?
wow that seems really high
October 28, 2025 at 5:50 AM
wow that seems really high
I just barely made it through. Even the scene near the beginning where the TV exec was eating was somehow genuinely disgusting.
October 27, 2025 at 5:57 PM
I just barely made it through. Even the scene near the beginning where the TV exec was eating was somehow genuinely disgusting.
damn Yamamoto went a complete game on 105 pitches.
You think Scherzer over the hill? doesn't seem great that their 3rd starting pitcher had a 5+ ERA this season.
You think Scherzer over the hill? doesn't seem great that their 3rd starting pitcher had a 5+ ERA this season.
October 26, 2025 at 5:51 AM
damn Yamamoto went a complete game on 105 pitches.
You think Scherzer over the hill? doesn't seem great that their 3rd starting pitcher had a 5+ ERA this season.
You think Scherzer over the hill? doesn't seem great that their 3rd starting pitcher had a 5+ ERA this season.
holy crap 🤮 what a thing for a democrat to say.
October 25, 2025 at 7:14 AM
holy crap 🤮 what a thing for a democrat to say.
can get a 7 to 8% return betting Xi Jinping won't be out of power by the end of this year.
October 16, 2025 at 6:59 PM
can get a 7 to 8% return betting Xi Jinping won't be out of power by the end of this year.
He said he originally worked luggage at an airport. Put all his life savings on Lakers winning an NBA Championship at 1 to 15 odds and made over a million dollars.
October 15, 2025 at 5:42 AM
He said he originally worked luggage at an airport. Put all his life savings on Lakers winning an NBA Championship at 1 to 15 odds and made over a million dollars.
Sorry TBC I don't really know what I'm doing in sports betting you do, so not trying to give advice. Anyways still find it interesting Voulgaris (famous NBA gambler) got a huge edge watching games & noticing patterns, which he used in tandem w/ sophisticated models.
October 15, 2025 at 5:39 AM
Sorry TBC I don't really know what I'm doing in sports betting you do, so not trying to give advice. Anyways still find it interesting Voulgaris (famous NBA gambler) got a huge edge watching games & noticing patterns, which he used in tandem w/ sophisticated models.
That model (that seems to be considered the best) has given better odds to Dodgers than even Vegas. So I wouldn't assume they're overvalued...
October 15, 2025 at 4:02 AM
That model (that seems to be considered the best) has given better odds to Dodgers than even Vegas. So I wouldn't assume they're overvalued...
Thought it was World Series not pennant but still
October 14, 2025 at 3:48 AM
Thought it was World Series not pennant but still
Heh yeah I went exceptionally light on the brewers cause of that. Seems like you’re still winning aside from the bet against them winning ws.
October 14, 2025 at 3:38 AM
Heh yeah I went exceptionally light on the brewers cause of that. Seems like you’re still winning aside from the bet against them winning ws.
(Sold them before any of your picks)
October 14, 2025 at 3:13 AM
(Sold them before any of your picks)