Will Bone
@williambone.bsky.social
Marches dwelling bisexual. Working in the UK EU TCA space. Love a Level Playing Field. Connections Next Gen Lead, ask me about professional wargaming. All views are my own. DV Survivor.
Fingers crossed we never have to find out who is right.
February 17, 2026 at 9:03 AM
Fingers crossed we never have to find out who is right.
However. Would a Chinese invaison succeed? Yes. It would be far bloodier than I think the PLA/PLN projected for but Taiwan has no way of receiving outside assistance without the PLN blockade being broken. Unlike Ukraine who have been able to receive aid from multiple bordering countries
February 17, 2026 at 8:51 AM
However. Would a Chinese invaison succeed? Yes. It would be far bloodier than I think the PLA/PLN projected for but Taiwan has no way of receiving outside assistance without the PLN blockade being broken. Unlike Ukraine who have been able to receive aid from multiple bordering countries
Lastly on the sea point: the Taiwanese strait is only calm enough for RORO operations for about 4 months of the year. If China does make a go of it they have a limited window to do so
February 17, 2026 at 8:41 AM
Lastly on the sea point: the Taiwanese strait is only calm enough for RORO operations for about 4 months of the year. If China does make a go of it they have a limited window to do so
The other thing is for all Ukraine is huge: its pretty bloody flat. There's not a huge amount of natural obstacles beyond the rivers to form solid defenses behind. Had Russian logistics held Ukraine may have had to surrender the eastern half of the country before being able to realistically dig in
February 17, 2026 at 8:40 AM
The other thing is for all Ukraine is huge: its pretty bloody flat. There's not a huge amount of natural obstacles beyond the rivers to form solid defenses behind. Had Russian logistics held Ukraine may have had to surrender the eastern half of the country before being able to realistically dig in
I suppose the other difference for China is that Russia was able to launch from within Ukraine itself: Donetusk and Luhansk were the industrial heartland of Ukraine and Russia was effectively able to bypass urban combat until they besieged Mauripol.
February 17, 2026 at 8:38 AM
I suppose the other difference for China is that Russia was able to launch from within Ukraine itself: Donetusk and Luhansk were the industrial heartland of Ukraine and Russia was effectively able to bypass urban combat until they besieged Mauripol.
The second point is Taiwan is a far harder invaision prospect: a heavily urbanised enviroment into which the PLN would be expected to make an opposed landing. An operation that would be difficult enough with a seasoned military which China lacks 3/3
February 17, 2026 at 8:07 AM
The second point is Taiwan is a far harder invaision prospect: a heavily urbanised enviroment into which the PLN would be expected to make an opposed landing. An operation that would be difficult enough with a seasoned military which China lacks 3/3
Not shouting isn't the same as being polite: the way he used to talk to people: the sneering, the talking over and the digs at the speakers identity hardly scream civility
February 17, 2026 at 8:03 AM
Not shouting isn't the same as being polite: the way he used to talk to people: the sneering, the talking over and the digs at the speakers identity hardly scream civility
One unintended fallout of Russian failure has been to temper Chinese expectations around Taiwan: Like Russia, China has spent considerable time, effort and resources in developing a modern, professional military. But Russias failure has sowed doubts in the effectiveness of this new PLA 2/3
February 17, 2026 at 8:01 AM
One unintended fallout of Russian failure has been to temper Chinese expectations around Taiwan: Like Russia, China has spent considerable time, effort and resources in developing a modern, professional military. But Russias failure has sowed doubts in the effectiveness of this new PLA 2/3
What I noticed was that the famously deep equipment reserves started running dry about 10 months ago.
February 17, 2026 at 7:54 AM
What I noticed was that the famously deep equipment reserves started running dry about 10 months ago.
I'd disagree with Kirk: he had no problem being deeply unpleasant and vile to the people he was speaking to, especially if they were a young woman.
February 17, 2026 at 7:52 AM
I'd disagree with Kirk: he had no problem being deeply unpleasant and vile to the people he was speaking to, especially if they were a young woman.
Gods its depressing. Ahh well
February 16, 2026 at 11:47 PM
Gods its depressing. Ahh well
Taking bets on how long? Im going for Wednesday
February 16, 2026 at 11:45 PM
Taking bets on how long? Im going for Wednesday
Jesus and John Wayne is another I keep recommending for people who want to understand just how US Evangelism has turned quite as batshit. Given Restore seem to be drawing inspiration from that wing of US politics it seems useful
February 16, 2026 at 11:44 PM
Jesus and John Wayne is another I keep recommending for people who want to understand just how US Evangelism has turned quite as batshit. Given Restore seem to be drawing inspiration from that wing of US politics it seems useful
I guess it just never seems to cut both ways: the big Times columnist gets to be a twat on social media safe in the knowledge that they can spin outrage to their advantage
February 16, 2026 at 11:42 PM
I guess it just never seems to cut both ways: the big Times columnist gets to be a twat on social media safe in the knowledge that they can spin outrage to their advantage
My mums really taken to meme culture in her late 60's.
February 16, 2026 at 3:55 PM
My mums really taken to meme culture in her late 60's.
"Hey gang let's go conquer Southern Italy and Scicily to get more resources... oh shit we're getting our arses handed to us by Syacruse."
February 16, 2026 at 3:23 PM
"Hey gang let's go conquer Southern Italy and Scicily to get more resources... oh shit we're getting our arses handed to us by Syacruse."
I blame Roman tourists and Nazi archeology
February 16, 2026 at 3:21 PM
I blame Roman tourists and Nazi archeology
Less dont ask dont tell more thats your boyfriend in the front rank so if you run away he will die
February 16, 2026 at 3:20 PM
Less dont ask dont tell more thats your boyfriend in the front rank so if you run away he will die
Honestly the Sparta glazing was the most exhausting part from coursemates in my degree in 2011 to 2014.
February 16, 2026 at 3:19 PM
Honestly the Sparta glazing was the most exhausting part from coursemates in my degree in 2011 to 2014.
Any books or historians you'd recommend for Lithuanian history?
February 16, 2026 at 9:56 AM
Any books or historians you'd recommend for Lithuanian history?
There's references to similar rituals in the Gallic War. Look I get Ceasar's not the most reliable transcriber of Celtic beliefs but there is evidence
February 16, 2026 at 9:36 AM
There's references to similar rituals in the Gallic War. Look I get Ceasar's not the most reliable transcriber of Celtic beliefs but there is evidence
Hey its Gen X Men pushing the Manosphere shite. Can we add them and the elder millennials who are starting to join in?
February 16, 2026 at 9:33 AM
Hey its Gen X Men pushing the Manosphere shite. Can we add them and the elder millennials who are starting to join in?