Expected Scoreline (xG)
@xscoreline.bsky.social
This account will generate stats on the Expected Scoreline from each Premier League game, based on the xG data collected from Opta Sport.
Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal
Total xG: 0.79 - 1.04
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (18.16%)
2. 1-1 (16.73%)
3. 0-0 (12.84%)
4. 1-0 (11.83%)
5. 0-2 (9.25%)
Match Probability:
Chelsea Win: 25.68%, Draw: 32.90%, Arsenal Win: 41.42%
Total xG: 0.79 - 1.04
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (18.16%)
2. 1-1 (16.73%)
3. 0-0 (12.84%)
4. 1-0 (11.83%)
5. 0-2 (9.25%)
Match Probability:
Chelsea Win: 25.68%, Draw: 32.90%, Arsenal Win: 41.42%
December 1, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Chelsea 1 - 1 Arsenal
Total xG: 0.79 - 1.04
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (18.16%)
2. 1-1 (16.73%)
3. 0-0 (12.84%)
4. 1-0 (11.83%)
5. 0-2 (9.25%)
Match Probability:
Chelsea Win: 25.68%, Draw: 32.90%, Arsenal Win: 41.42%
Total xG: 0.79 - 1.04
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (18.16%)
2. 1-1 (16.73%)
3. 0-0 (12.84%)
4. 1-0 (11.83%)
5. 0-2 (9.25%)
Match Probability:
Chelsea Win: 25.68%, Draw: 32.90%, Arsenal Win: 41.42%
West Ham 0 - 2 Liverpool
Total xG: 0.31 - 1.24
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (31.24%)
2. 0-2 (20.11%)
3. 0-0 (15.41%)
4. 1-1 (10.27%)
5. 1-2 (6.61%)
Match Probability:
West Ham Win: 7.23%, Draw: 26.54%, Liverpool Win: 66.23%
Total xG: 0.31 - 1.24
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (31.24%)
2. 0-2 (20.11%)
3. 0-0 (15.41%)
4. 1-1 (10.27%)
5. 1-2 (6.61%)
Match Probability:
West Ham Win: 7.23%, Draw: 26.54%, Liverpool Win: 66.23%
December 1, 2025 at 8:50 PM
West Ham 0 - 2 Liverpool
Total xG: 0.31 - 1.24
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (31.24%)
2. 0-2 (20.11%)
3. 0-0 (15.41%)
4. 1-1 (10.27%)
5. 1-2 (6.61%)
Match Probability:
West Ham Win: 7.23%, Draw: 26.54%, Liverpool Win: 66.23%
Total xG: 0.31 - 1.24
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (31.24%)
2. 0-2 (20.11%)
3. 0-0 (15.41%)
4. 1-1 (10.27%)
5. 1-2 (6.61%)
Match Probability:
West Ham Win: 7.23%, Draw: 26.54%, Liverpool Win: 66.23%
Nottingham Forest 0 - 2 Brighton
Total xG: 0.89 - 1.92
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-2 (13.45%)
2. 1-2 (12.91%)
3. 0-1 (11.35%)
4. 1-1 (10.90%)
5. 0-3 (7.99%)
Match Probability:
Nottingham Forest Win: 13.73%, Draw: 21.10%, Brighton Win: 65.17%
Total xG: 0.89 - 1.92
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-2 (13.45%)
2. 1-2 (12.91%)
3. 0-1 (11.35%)
4. 1-1 (10.90%)
5. 0-3 (7.99%)
Match Probability:
Nottingham Forest Win: 13.73%, Draw: 21.10%, Brighton Win: 65.17%
December 1, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Nottingham Forest 0 - 2 Brighton
Total xG: 0.89 - 1.92
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-2 (13.45%)
2. 1-2 (12.91%)
3. 0-1 (11.35%)
4. 1-1 (10.90%)
5. 0-3 (7.99%)
Match Probability:
Nottingham Forest Win: 13.73%, Draw: 21.10%, Brighton Win: 65.17%
Total xG: 0.89 - 1.92
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-2 (13.45%)
2. 1-2 (12.91%)
3. 0-1 (11.35%)
4. 1-1 (10.90%)
5. 0-3 (7.99%)
Match Probability:
Nottingham Forest Win: 13.73%, Draw: 21.10%, Brighton Win: 65.17%
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Wolves
Total xG: 0.91 - 0.40
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (27.54%)
2. 0-0 (24.09%)
3. 1-1 (11.80%)
4. 2-0 (11.54%)
5. 0-1 (10.32%)
Match Probability:
Aston Villa Win: 48.68%, Draw: 36.76%, Wolves Win: 14.56%
Total xG: 0.91 - 0.40
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (27.54%)
2. 0-0 (24.09%)
3. 1-1 (11.80%)
4. 2-0 (11.54%)
5. 0-1 (10.32%)
Match Probability:
Aston Villa Win: 48.68%, Draw: 36.76%, Wolves Win: 14.56%
December 1, 2025 at 8:48 PM
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Wolves
Total xG: 0.91 - 0.40
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (27.54%)
2. 0-0 (24.09%)
3. 1-1 (11.80%)
4. 2-0 (11.54%)
5. 0-1 (10.32%)
Match Probability:
Aston Villa Win: 48.68%, Draw: 36.76%, Wolves Win: 14.56%
Total xG: 0.91 - 0.40
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (27.54%)
2. 0-0 (24.09%)
3. 1-1 (11.80%)
4. 2-0 (11.54%)
5. 0-1 (10.32%)
Match Probability:
Aston Villa Win: 48.68%, Draw: 36.76%, Wolves Win: 14.56%
Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Manchester United
Total xG: 1.82 - 1.19
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (17.25%)
2. 1-1 (17.11%)
3. 2-2 (8.57%)
4. 1-2 (8.50%)
5. 3-1 (8.44%)
Match Probability:
Crystal Palace Win: 52.94%, Draw: 28.09%, Manchester United Win: 18.98%
Total xG: 1.82 - 1.19
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (17.25%)
2. 1-1 (17.11%)
3. 2-2 (8.57%)
4. 1-2 (8.50%)
5. 3-1 (8.44%)
Match Probability:
Crystal Palace Win: 52.94%, Draw: 28.09%, Manchester United Win: 18.98%
December 1, 2025 at 8:48 PM
Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Manchester United
Total xG: 1.82 - 1.19
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (17.25%)
2. 1-1 (17.11%)
3. 2-2 (8.57%)
4. 1-2 (8.50%)
5. 3-1 (8.44%)
Match Probability:
Crystal Palace Win: 52.94%, Draw: 28.09%, Manchester United Win: 18.98%
Total xG: 1.82 - 1.19
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (17.25%)
2. 1-1 (17.11%)
3. 2-2 (8.57%)
4. 1-2 (8.50%)
5. 3-1 (8.44%)
Match Probability:
Crystal Palace Win: 52.94%, Draw: 28.09%, Manchester United Win: 18.98%
Tottenham 1 - 2 Fulham
Total xG: 0.85 - 0.45
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-0 (25.36%)
2. 1-0 (24.64%)
3. 0-1 (12.25%)
4. 1-1 (11.91%)
5. 2-0 (10.05%)
Match Probability:
Tottenham Win: 43.85%, Draw: 38.28%, Fulham Win: 17.87%
The result 1-2 was the 8th most likely result (2.42%)
Total xG: 0.85 - 0.45
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-0 (25.36%)
2. 1-0 (24.64%)
3. 0-1 (12.25%)
4. 1-1 (11.91%)
5. 2-0 (10.05%)
Match Probability:
Tottenham Win: 43.85%, Draw: 38.28%, Fulham Win: 17.87%
The result 1-2 was the 8th most likely result (2.42%)
December 1, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Tottenham 1 - 2 Fulham
Total xG: 0.85 - 0.45
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-0 (25.36%)
2. 1-0 (24.64%)
3. 0-1 (12.25%)
4. 1-1 (11.91%)
5. 2-0 (10.05%)
Match Probability:
Tottenham Win: 43.85%, Draw: 38.28%, Fulham Win: 17.87%
The result 1-2 was the 8th most likely result (2.42%)
Total xG: 0.85 - 0.45
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-0 (25.36%)
2. 1-0 (24.64%)
3. 0-1 (12.25%)
4. 1-1 (11.91%)
5. 2-0 (10.05%)
Match Probability:
Tottenham Win: 43.85%, Draw: 38.28%, Fulham Win: 17.87%
The result 1-2 was the 8th most likely result (2.42%)
Everton 1 - 4 Newcastle
Total xG: 0.99 - 1.86
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-2 (13.71%)
2. 1-1 (12.52%)
3. 0-2 (10.53%)
4. 0-1 (9.62%)
5. 1-3 (8.03%)
Match Probability:
Everton Win: 16.60%, Draw: 23.40%, Newcastle Win: 60.00%
The result 1-4 was the 12th most likely result (2.79%)
Total xG: 0.99 - 1.86
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-2 (13.71%)
2. 1-1 (12.52%)
3. 0-2 (10.53%)
4. 0-1 (9.62%)
5. 1-3 (8.03%)
Match Probability:
Everton Win: 16.60%, Draw: 23.40%, Newcastle Win: 60.00%
The result 1-4 was the 12th most likely result (2.79%)
December 1, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Everton 1 - 4 Newcastle
Total xG: 0.99 - 1.86
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-2 (13.71%)
2. 1-1 (12.52%)
3. 0-2 (10.53%)
4. 0-1 (9.62%)
5. 1-3 (8.03%)
Match Probability:
Everton Win: 16.60%, Draw: 23.40%, Newcastle Win: 60.00%
The result 1-4 was the 12th most likely result (2.79%)
Total xG: 0.99 - 1.86
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-2 (13.71%)
2. 1-1 (12.52%)
3. 0-2 (10.53%)
4. 0-1 (9.62%)
5. 1-3 (8.03%)
Match Probability:
Everton Win: 16.60%, Draw: 23.40%, Newcastle Win: 60.00%
The result 1-4 was the 12th most likely result (2.79%)
Sunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth
Total xG: 1.47 - 1.69
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (16.44%)
2. 1-2 (15.53%)
3. 2-1 (11.34%)
4. 2-2 (10.71%)
5. 1-3 (7.02%)
Match Probability:
Sunderland Win: 29.36%, Draw: 29.81%, Bournemouth Win: 40.82%
The result 3-2 was the 12th most likely result (3.34%)
Total xG: 1.47 - 1.69
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (16.44%)
2. 1-2 (15.53%)
3. 2-1 (11.34%)
4. 2-2 (10.71%)
5. 1-3 (7.02%)
Match Probability:
Sunderland Win: 29.36%, Draw: 29.81%, Bournemouth Win: 40.82%
The result 3-2 was the 12th most likely result (3.34%)
December 1, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Sunderland 3 - 2 Bournemouth
Total xG: 1.47 - 1.69
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (16.44%)
2. 1-2 (15.53%)
3. 2-1 (11.34%)
4. 2-2 (10.71%)
5. 1-3 (7.02%)
Match Probability:
Sunderland Win: 29.36%, Draw: 29.81%, Bournemouth Win: 40.82%
The result 3-2 was the 12th most likely result (3.34%)
Total xG: 1.47 - 1.69
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (16.44%)
2. 1-2 (15.53%)
3. 2-1 (11.34%)
4. 2-2 (10.71%)
5. 1-3 (7.02%)
Match Probability:
Sunderland Win: 29.36%, Draw: 29.81%, Bournemouth Win: 40.82%
The result 3-2 was the 12th most likely result (3.34%)
Manchester City 3 - 2 Leeds
Total xG: 2.72 - 1.55
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (15.92%)
2. 3-1 (15.83%)
3. 2-2 (10.20%)
4. 3-2 (10.14%)
5. 4-1 (9.16%)
Match Probability:
Manchester City Win: 67.72%, Draw: 20.72%, Leeds Win: 11.56%
Total xG: 2.72 - 1.55
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (15.92%)
2. 3-1 (15.83%)
3. 2-2 (10.20%)
4. 3-2 (10.14%)
5. 4-1 (9.16%)
Match Probability:
Manchester City Win: 67.72%, Draw: 20.72%, Leeds Win: 11.56%
December 1, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Manchester City 3 - 2 Leeds
Total xG: 2.72 - 1.55
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (15.92%)
2. 3-1 (15.83%)
3. 2-2 (10.20%)
4. 3-2 (10.14%)
5. 4-1 (9.16%)
Match Probability:
Manchester City Win: 67.72%, Draw: 20.72%, Leeds Win: 11.56%
Total xG: 2.72 - 1.55
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (15.92%)
2. 3-1 (15.83%)
3. 2-2 (10.20%)
4. 3-2 (10.14%)
5. 4-1 (9.16%)
Match Probability:
Manchester City Win: 67.72%, Draw: 20.72%, Leeds Win: 11.56%
Brentford 3 - 1 Burnley
Total xG: 3.02 - 0.95
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 3-1 (21.09%)
2. 2-1 (17.15%)
3. 4-1 (14.96%)
4. 1-1 (6.95%)
5. 5-1 (6.62%)
Match Probability:
Brentford Win: 87.34%, Draw: 10.16%, Burnley Win: 2.50%
Total xG: 3.02 - 0.95
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 3-1 (21.09%)
2. 2-1 (17.15%)
3. 4-1 (14.96%)
4. 1-1 (6.95%)
5. 5-1 (6.62%)
Match Probability:
Brentford Win: 87.34%, Draw: 10.16%, Burnley Win: 2.50%
December 1, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Brentford 3 - 1 Burnley
Total xG: 3.02 - 0.95
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 3-1 (21.09%)
2. 2-1 (17.15%)
3. 4-1 (14.96%)
4. 1-1 (6.95%)
5. 5-1 (6.62%)
Match Probability:
Brentford Win: 87.34%, Draw: 10.16%, Burnley Win: 2.50%
Total xG: 3.02 - 0.95
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 3-1 (21.09%)
2. 2-1 (17.15%)
3. 4-1 (14.96%)
4. 1-1 (6.95%)
5. 5-1 (6.62%)
Match Probability:
Brentford Win: 87.34%, Draw: 10.16%, Burnley Win: 2.50%
Manchester United 0 - 1 Everton
Total xG: 1.70 - 0.21
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (25.37%)
2. 2-0 (22.77%)
3. 0-0 (13.03%)
4. 3-0 (12.55%)
5. 1-1 (5.85%)
Match Probability:
Manchester United Win: 77.06%, Draw: 19.27%, Everton Win: 3.67%
The result 0-1 was the 8th most likely result (3.01%)
Total xG: 1.70 - 0.21
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (25.37%)
2. 2-0 (22.77%)
3. 0-0 (13.03%)
4. 3-0 (12.55%)
5. 1-1 (5.85%)
Match Probability:
Manchester United Win: 77.06%, Draw: 19.27%, Everton Win: 3.67%
The result 0-1 was the 8th most likely result (3.01%)
December 1, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Manchester United 0 - 1 Everton
Total xG: 1.70 - 0.21
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (25.37%)
2. 2-0 (22.77%)
3. 0-0 (13.03%)
4. 3-0 (12.55%)
5. 1-1 (5.85%)
Match Probability:
Manchester United Win: 77.06%, Draw: 19.27%, Everton Win: 3.67%
The result 0-1 was the 8th most likely result (3.01%)
Total xG: 1.70 - 0.21
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (25.37%)
2. 2-0 (22.77%)
3. 0-0 (13.03%)
4. 3-0 (12.55%)
5. 1-1 (5.85%)
Match Probability:
Manchester United Win: 77.06%, Draw: 19.27%, Everton Win: 3.67%
The result 0-1 was the 8th most likely result (3.01%)
Arsenal 4 - 1 Tottenham
Total xG: 1.88 - 0.07
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (28.36%)
2. 1-0 (27.07%)
3. 3-0 (17.27%)
4. 0-0 (11.29%)
5. 4-0 (6.87%)
Match Probability:
Arsenal Win: 85.87%, Draw: 13.26%, Tottenham Win: 0.87%
The result 4-1 was the 11th most likely result (0.49%)
Total xG: 1.88 - 0.07
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (28.36%)
2. 1-0 (27.07%)
3. 3-0 (17.27%)
4. 0-0 (11.29%)
5. 4-0 (6.87%)
Match Probability:
Arsenal Win: 85.87%, Draw: 13.26%, Tottenham Win: 0.87%
The result 4-1 was the 11th most likely result (0.49%)
November 23, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Arsenal 4 - 1 Tottenham
Total xG: 1.88 - 0.07
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (28.36%)
2. 1-0 (27.07%)
3. 3-0 (17.27%)
4. 0-0 (11.29%)
5. 4-0 (6.87%)
Match Probability:
Arsenal Win: 85.87%, Draw: 13.26%, Tottenham Win: 0.87%
The result 4-1 was the 11th most likely result (0.49%)
Total xG: 1.88 - 0.07
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (28.36%)
2. 1-0 (27.07%)
3. 3-0 (17.27%)
4. 0-0 (11.29%)
5. 4-0 (6.87%)
Match Probability:
Arsenal Win: 85.87%, Draw: 13.26%, Tottenham Win: 0.87%
The result 4-1 was the 11th most likely result (0.49%)
Leeds 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Total xG: 1.44 - 1.21
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (15.91%)
2. 1-0 (11.51%)
3. 2-1 (11.47%)
4. 1-2 (9.79%)
5. 2-0 (8.30%)
Match Probability:
Leeds Win: 43.11%, Draw: 28.07%, Aston Villa Win: 28.83%
Total xG: 1.44 - 1.21
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (15.91%)
2. 1-0 (11.51%)
3. 2-1 (11.47%)
4. 1-2 (9.79%)
5. 2-0 (8.30%)
Match Probability:
Leeds Win: 43.11%, Draw: 28.07%, Aston Villa Win: 28.83%
November 23, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Leeds 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Total xG: 1.44 - 1.21
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (15.91%)
2. 1-0 (11.51%)
3. 2-1 (11.47%)
4. 1-2 (9.79%)
5. 2-0 (8.30%)
Match Probability:
Leeds Win: 43.11%, Draw: 28.07%, Aston Villa Win: 28.83%
Total xG: 1.44 - 1.21
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (15.91%)
2. 1-0 (11.51%)
3. 2-1 (11.47%)
4. 1-2 (9.79%)
5. 2-0 (8.30%)
Match Probability:
Leeds Win: 43.11%, Draw: 28.07%, Aston Villa Win: 28.83%
Newcastle 2 - 1 Manchester City
Total xG: 2.40 - 2.49
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-2 (12.31%)
2. 2-3 (10.73%)
3. 3-2 (9.93%)
4. 3-3 (8.65%)
5. 2-1 (6.34%)
Match Probability:
Newcastle Win: 35.44%, Draw: 25.42%, Manchester City Win: 39.14%
Total xG: 2.40 - 2.49
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-2 (12.31%)
2. 2-3 (10.73%)
3. 3-2 (9.93%)
4. 3-3 (8.65%)
5. 2-1 (6.34%)
Match Probability:
Newcastle Win: 35.44%, Draw: 25.42%, Manchester City Win: 39.14%
November 23, 2025 at 7:04 PM
Newcastle 2 - 1 Manchester City
Total xG: 2.40 - 2.49
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-2 (12.31%)
2. 2-3 (10.73%)
3. 3-2 (9.93%)
4. 3-3 (8.65%)
5. 2-1 (6.34%)
Match Probability:
Newcastle Win: 35.44%, Draw: 25.42%, Manchester City Win: 39.14%
Total xG: 2.40 - 2.49
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-2 (12.31%)
2. 2-3 (10.73%)
3. 3-2 (9.93%)
4. 3-3 (8.65%)
5. 2-1 (6.34%)
Match Probability:
Newcastle Win: 35.44%, Draw: 25.42%, Manchester City Win: 39.14%
Wolves 0 - 2 Crystal Palace
Total xG: 1.79 - 1.26
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (20.13%)
2. 2-2 (13.29%)
3. 2-0 (11.82%)
4. 1-1 (11.79%)
5. 1-2 (7.78%)
Match Probability:
Wolves Win: 53.04%, Draw: 27.30%, Crystal Palace Win: 19.66%
The result 0-2 was the 14th most likely result (1.09%)
Total xG: 1.79 - 1.26
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (20.13%)
2. 2-2 (13.29%)
3. 2-0 (11.82%)
4. 1-1 (11.79%)
5. 1-2 (7.78%)
Match Probability:
Wolves Win: 53.04%, Draw: 27.30%, Crystal Palace Win: 19.66%
The result 0-2 was the 14th most likely result (1.09%)
November 23, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Wolves 0 - 2 Crystal Palace
Total xG: 1.79 - 1.26
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (20.13%)
2. 2-2 (13.29%)
3. 2-0 (11.82%)
4. 1-1 (11.79%)
5. 1-2 (7.78%)
Match Probability:
Wolves Win: 53.04%, Draw: 27.30%, Crystal Palace Win: 19.66%
The result 0-2 was the 14th most likely result (1.09%)
Total xG: 1.79 - 1.26
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (20.13%)
2. 2-2 (13.29%)
3. 2-0 (11.82%)
4. 1-1 (11.79%)
5. 1-2 (7.78%)
Match Probability:
Wolves Win: 53.04%, Draw: 27.30%, Crystal Palace Win: 19.66%
The result 0-2 was the 14th most likely result (1.09%)
Liverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest
Total xG: 1.88 - 1.57
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (10.56%)
2. 1-1 (10.23%)
3. 2-2 (9.22%)
4. 1-2 (8.93%)
5. 3-1 (6.40%)
Match Probability:
Liverpool Win: 44.58%, Draw: 24.27%, Nottingham Forest Win: 31.15%
The result 0-3 was the 18th most likely result (1.72%)
Total xG: 1.88 - 1.57
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (10.56%)
2. 1-1 (10.23%)
3. 2-2 (9.22%)
4. 1-2 (8.93%)
5. 3-1 (6.40%)
Match Probability:
Liverpool Win: 44.58%, Draw: 24.27%, Nottingham Forest Win: 31.15%
The result 0-3 was the 18th most likely result (1.72%)
November 23, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Liverpool 0 - 3 Nottingham Forest
Total xG: 1.88 - 1.57
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (10.56%)
2. 1-1 (10.23%)
3. 2-2 (9.22%)
4. 1-2 (8.93%)
5. 3-1 (6.40%)
Match Probability:
Liverpool Win: 44.58%, Draw: 24.27%, Nottingham Forest Win: 31.15%
The result 0-3 was the 18th most likely result (1.72%)
Total xG: 1.88 - 1.57
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-1 (10.56%)
2. 1-1 (10.23%)
3. 2-2 (9.22%)
4. 1-2 (8.93%)
5. 3-1 (6.40%)
Match Probability:
Liverpool Win: 44.58%, Draw: 24.27%, Nottingham Forest Win: 31.15%
The result 0-3 was the 18th most likely result (1.72%)
Fulham 1 - 0 Sunderland
Total xG: 2.15 - 0.20
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (24.08%)
2. 1-0 (20.04%)
3. 3-0 (17.23%)
4. 4-0 (8.36%)
5. 0-0 (7.24%)
Match Probability:
Fulham Win: 85.97%, Draw: 12.03%, Sunderland Win: 2.00%
Total xG: 2.15 - 0.20
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (24.08%)
2. 1-0 (20.04%)
3. 3-0 (17.23%)
4. 4-0 (8.36%)
5. 0-0 (7.24%)
Match Probability:
Fulham Win: 85.97%, Draw: 12.03%, Sunderland Win: 2.00%
November 23, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Fulham 1 - 0 Sunderland
Total xG: 2.15 - 0.20
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (24.08%)
2. 1-0 (20.04%)
3. 3-0 (17.23%)
4. 4-0 (8.36%)
5. 0-0 (7.24%)
Match Probability:
Fulham Win: 85.97%, Draw: 12.03%, Sunderland Win: 2.00%
Total xG: 2.15 - 0.20
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (24.08%)
2. 1-0 (20.04%)
3. 3-0 (17.23%)
4. 4-0 (8.36%)
5. 0-0 (7.24%)
Match Probability:
Fulham Win: 85.97%, Draw: 12.03%, Sunderland Win: 2.00%
Brighton 2 - 1 Brentford
Total xG: 1.21 - 1.98
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-2 (21.11%)
2. 2-2 (12.55%)
3. 0-2 (12.32%)
4. 1-1 (9.68%)
5. 1-3 (8.13%)
Match Probability:
Brighton Win: 15.25%, Draw: 24.49%, Brentford Win: 60.26%
The result 2-1 was the 6th most likely result (5.75%)
Total xG: 1.21 - 1.98
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-2 (21.11%)
2. 2-2 (12.55%)
3. 0-2 (12.32%)
4. 1-1 (9.68%)
5. 1-3 (8.13%)
Match Probability:
Brighton Win: 15.25%, Draw: 24.49%, Brentford Win: 60.26%
The result 2-1 was the 6th most likely result (5.75%)
November 23, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Brighton 2 - 1 Brentford
Total xG: 1.21 - 1.98
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-2 (21.11%)
2. 2-2 (12.55%)
3. 0-2 (12.32%)
4. 1-1 (9.68%)
5. 1-3 (8.13%)
Match Probability:
Brighton Win: 15.25%, Draw: 24.49%, Brentford Win: 60.26%
The result 2-1 was the 6th most likely result (5.75%)
Total xG: 1.21 - 1.98
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-2 (21.11%)
2. 2-2 (12.55%)
3. 0-2 (12.32%)
4. 1-1 (9.68%)
5. 1-3 (8.13%)
Match Probability:
Brighton Win: 15.25%, Draw: 24.49%, Brentford Win: 60.26%
The result 2-1 was the 6th most likely result (5.75%)
Bournemouth 2 - 2 West Ham
Total xG: 4.03 - 0.63
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 4-0 (12.26%)
2. 3-0 (10.68%)
3. 4-1 (10.65%)
4. 5-0 (9.46%)
5. 3-1 (9.28%)
Match Probability:
Bournemouth Win: 96.41%, Draw: 2.94%, West Ham Win: 0.65%
The result 2-2 was the 18th most likely result (1.12%)
Total xG: 4.03 - 0.63
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 4-0 (12.26%)
2. 3-0 (10.68%)
3. 4-1 (10.65%)
4. 5-0 (9.46%)
5. 3-1 (9.28%)
Match Probability:
Bournemouth Win: 96.41%, Draw: 2.94%, West Ham Win: 0.65%
The result 2-2 was the 18th most likely result (1.12%)
November 23, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Bournemouth 2 - 2 West Ham
Total xG: 4.03 - 0.63
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 4-0 (12.26%)
2. 3-0 (10.68%)
3. 4-1 (10.65%)
4. 5-0 (9.46%)
5. 3-1 (9.28%)
Match Probability:
Bournemouth Win: 96.41%, Draw: 2.94%, West Ham Win: 0.65%
The result 2-2 was the 18th most likely result (1.12%)
Total xG: 4.03 - 0.63
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 4-0 (12.26%)
2. 3-0 (10.68%)
3. 4-1 (10.65%)
4. 5-0 (9.46%)
5. 3-1 (9.28%)
Match Probability:
Bournemouth Win: 96.41%, Draw: 2.94%, West Ham Win: 0.65%
The result 2-2 was the 18th most likely result (1.12%)
Burnley 0 - 2 Chelsea
Total xG: 0.41 - 1.72
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (23.38%)
2. 0-2 (23.02%)
3. 1-1 (10.37%)
4. 1-2 (10.21%)
5. 0-3 (10.11%)
Match Probability:
Burnley Win: 5.36%, Draw: 18.10%, Chelsea Win: 76.54%
Total xG: 0.41 - 1.72
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (23.38%)
2. 0-2 (23.02%)
3. 1-1 (10.37%)
4. 1-2 (10.21%)
5. 0-3 (10.11%)
Match Probability:
Burnley Win: 5.36%, Draw: 18.10%, Chelsea Win: 76.54%
November 23, 2025 at 6:59 PM
Burnley 0 - 2 Chelsea
Total xG: 0.41 - 1.72
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (23.38%)
2. 0-2 (23.02%)
3. 1-1 (10.37%)
4. 1-2 (10.21%)
5. 0-3 (10.11%)
Match Probability:
Burnley Win: 5.36%, Draw: 18.10%, Chelsea Win: 76.54%
Total xG: 0.41 - 1.72
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-1 (23.38%)
2. 0-2 (23.02%)
3. 1-1 (10.37%)
4. 1-2 (10.21%)
5. 0-3 (10.11%)
Match Probability:
Burnley Win: 5.36%, Draw: 18.10%, Chelsea Win: 76.54%
Manchester City 3 - 0 Liverpool
Total xG: 1.60 - 0.71
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (18.38%)
2. 1-1 (17.37%)
3. 2-0 (15.05%)
4. 2-1 (14.22%)
5. 3-0 (5.56%)
Match Probability:
Manchester City Win: 63.08%, Draw: 25.64%, Liverpool Win: 11.28%
Total xG: 1.60 - 0.71
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (18.38%)
2. 1-1 (17.37%)
3. 2-0 (15.05%)
4. 2-1 (14.22%)
5. 3-0 (5.56%)
Match Probability:
Manchester City Win: 63.08%, Draw: 25.64%, Liverpool Win: 11.28%
November 9, 2025 at 9:51 PM
Manchester City 3 - 0 Liverpool
Total xG: 1.60 - 0.71
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (18.38%)
2. 1-1 (17.37%)
3. 2-0 (15.05%)
4. 2-1 (14.22%)
5. 3-0 (5.56%)
Match Probability:
Manchester City Win: 63.08%, Draw: 25.64%, Liverpool Win: 11.28%
Total xG: 1.60 - 0.71
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-0 (18.38%)
2. 1-1 (17.37%)
3. 2-0 (15.05%)
4. 2-1 (14.22%)
5. 3-0 (5.56%)
Match Probability:
Manchester City Win: 63.08%, Draw: 25.64%, Liverpool Win: 11.28%
Nottingham Forest 3 - 1 Leeds
Total xG: 2.55 - 0.73
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (14.64%)
2. 3-0 (13.51%)
3. 2-1 (12.48%)
4. 3-1 (11.52%)
5. 1-0 (7.20%)
Match Probability:
Nottingham Forest Win: 83.10%, Draw: 12.20%, Leeds Win: 4.70%
Total xG: 2.55 - 0.73
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (14.64%)
2. 3-0 (13.51%)
3. 2-1 (12.48%)
4. 3-1 (11.52%)
5. 1-0 (7.20%)
Match Probability:
Nottingham Forest Win: 83.10%, Draw: 12.20%, Leeds Win: 4.70%
November 9, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Nottingham Forest 3 - 1 Leeds
Total xG: 2.55 - 0.73
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (14.64%)
2. 3-0 (13.51%)
3. 2-1 (12.48%)
4. 3-1 (11.52%)
5. 1-0 (7.20%)
Match Probability:
Nottingham Forest Win: 83.10%, Draw: 12.20%, Leeds Win: 4.70%
Total xG: 2.55 - 0.73
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (14.64%)
2. 3-0 (13.51%)
3. 2-1 (12.48%)
4. 3-1 (11.52%)
5. 1-0 (7.20%)
Match Probability:
Nottingham Forest Win: 83.10%, Draw: 12.20%, Leeds Win: 4.70%
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Brighton
Total xG: 0.74 - 0.38
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-0 (30.90%)
2. 1-0 (25.29%)
3. 0-1 (12.71%)
4. 1-1 (10.40%)
5. 2-0 (9.02%)
Match Probability:
Crystal Palace Win: 41.13%, Draw: 41.93%, Brighton Win: 16.94%
Total xG: 0.74 - 0.38
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-0 (30.90%)
2. 1-0 (25.29%)
3. 0-1 (12.71%)
4. 1-1 (10.40%)
5. 2-0 (9.02%)
Match Probability:
Crystal Palace Win: 41.13%, Draw: 41.93%, Brighton Win: 16.94%
November 9, 2025 at 9:45 PM
Crystal Palace 0 - 0 Brighton
Total xG: 0.74 - 0.38
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-0 (30.90%)
2. 1-0 (25.29%)
3. 0-1 (12.71%)
4. 1-1 (10.40%)
5. 2-0 (9.02%)
Match Probability:
Crystal Palace Win: 41.13%, Draw: 41.93%, Brighton Win: 16.94%
Total xG: 0.74 - 0.38
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 0-0 (30.90%)
2. 1-0 (25.29%)
3. 0-1 (12.71%)
4. 1-1 (10.40%)
5. 2-0 (9.02%)
Match Probability:
Crystal Palace Win: 41.13%, Draw: 41.93%, Brighton Win: 16.94%
Brentford 3 - 1 Newcastle
Total xG: 2.35 - 0.42
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (21.13%)
2. 3-0 (16.69%)
3. 1-0 (12.72%)
4. 2-1 (11.14%)
5. 3-1 (8.80%)
Match Probability:
Brentford Win: 87.34%, Draw: 10.37%, Newcastle Win: 2.28%
Total xG: 2.35 - 0.42
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (21.13%)
2. 3-0 (16.69%)
3. 1-0 (12.72%)
4. 2-1 (11.14%)
5. 3-1 (8.80%)
Match Probability:
Brentford Win: 87.34%, Draw: 10.37%, Newcastle Win: 2.28%
November 9, 2025 at 9:42 PM
Brentford 3 - 1 Newcastle
Total xG: 2.35 - 0.42
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (21.13%)
2. 3-0 (16.69%)
3. 1-0 (12.72%)
4. 2-1 (11.14%)
5. 3-1 (8.80%)
Match Probability:
Brentford Win: 87.34%, Draw: 10.37%, Newcastle Win: 2.28%
Total xG: 2.35 - 0.42
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 2-0 (21.13%)
2. 3-0 (16.69%)
3. 1-0 (12.72%)
4. 2-1 (11.14%)
5. 3-1 (8.80%)
Match Probability:
Brentford Win: 87.34%, Draw: 10.37%, Newcastle Win: 2.28%
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Bournemouth
Total xG: 1.67 - 1.60
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (13.84%)
2. 2-1 (13.44%)
3. 1-2 (11.60%)
4. 2-2 (11.26%)
5. 3-1 (6.39%)
Match Probability:
Aston Villa Win: 37.33%, Draw: 28.34%, Bournemouth Win: 34.33%
The result 4-0 was the 23rd most likely result (0.37%)
Total xG: 1.67 - 1.60
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (13.84%)
2. 2-1 (13.44%)
3. 1-2 (11.60%)
4. 2-2 (11.26%)
5. 3-1 (6.39%)
Match Probability:
Aston Villa Win: 37.33%, Draw: 28.34%, Bournemouth Win: 34.33%
The result 4-0 was the 23rd most likely result (0.37%)
November 9, 2025 at 9:41 PM
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Bournemouth
Total xG: 1.67 - 1.60
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (13.84%)
2. 2-1 (13.44%)
3. 1-2 (11.60%)
4. 2-2 (11.26%)
5. 3-1 (6.39%)
Match Probability:
Aston Villa Win: 37.33%, Draw: 28.34%, Bournemouth Win: 34.33%
The result 4-0 was the 23rd most likely result (0.37%)
Total xG: 1.67 - 1.60
Top 5 most likely results:
1. 1-1 (13.84%)
2. 2-1 (13.44%)
3. 1-2 (11.60%)
4. 2-2 (11.26%)
5. 3-1 (6.39%)
Match Probability:
Aston Villa Win: 37.33%, Draw: 28.34%, Bournemouth Win: 34.33%
The result 4-0 was the 23rd most likely result (0.37%)