Enid
@ylangylangca.bsky.social
Birder, gardener and aromatherapy. YlangYlang and Vetiver are Heaven and Earth. Speaking of Earth, what have we done to our mother? 🌏🐦⬛💐
Reposted by Enid
And now there's officially a Tornado Warning out for Santa Cruz County for this offshore mini-supercell thunderstorm, which is likely producing a waterspout over water that could move inland as a tornado near Santa Cruz. #CAwx
December 25, 2025 at 8:23 PM
And now there's officially a Tornado Warning out for Santa Cruz County for this offshore mini-supercell thunderstorm, which is likely producing a waterspout over water that could move inland as a tornado near Santa Cruz. #CAwx
Reposted by Enid
Well, it has turned into a sleepless night for many in the SF Bay Area due to severe weather. Squall lines containing severe thunderstorms have brought torrential rain (leading to flash flooding) and damaging wind gusts of 60-80 mph. Lots of NWS warnings out. Quite a storm! #CAwx
December 25, 2025 at 11:31 AM
Well, it has turned into a sleepless night for many in the SF Bay Area due to severe weather. Squall lines containing severe thunderstorms have brought torrential rain (leading to flash flooding) and damaging wind gusts of 60-80 mph. Lots of NWS warnings out. Quite a storm! #CAwx
Reposted by Enid
Seems like a good day to remind everyone that Trump has sued over jokes, tweets, interviews, and news articles but not once over any of the countless accusations of child rape. — That silence says everything.
December 23, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Seems like a good day to remind everyone that Trump has sued over jokes, tweets, interviews, and news articles but not once over any of the countless accusations of child rape. — That silence says everything.
Reposted by Enid
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
December 23, 2025 at 1:28 AM
The full spiked 60 Minutes CECOT package, clean & subtitled. 1/5
Reposted by Enid
Reminder: I'll be going live @ noon Pacific time today to discuss incoming series of (very?) strong winter storms slated to affect all of CA. Wind risk & flood risk have notched upward vs my blog post yesterday in some spots; I'll discuss in detail. #CAwx
Major winter storms in California this week, with growing flood risk and (finally!) Sierra snow - YouTube
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain on various topics related to extreme #weather and ...
www.youtube.com
December 22, 2025 at 6:58 PM
Reminder: I'll be going live @ noon Pacific time today to discuss incoming series of (very?) strong winter storms slated to affect all of CA. Wind risk & flood risk have notched upward vs my blog post yesterday in some spots; I'll discuss in detail. #CAwx
Reposted by Enid
New Weather West post out now: A wet and stormy week ahead in California, with substantial SoCal flood risk and initially warm Sierra rain transitioning to very heavy snow. Plus, join me tomorrow (Mon Dec 22) for a live discussion (link therein!). #CAwx
A wet and stormy week ahead in California, with substantial SoCal flood risk and initially warm Sierra rain transitioning to very heavy snow - Weather West
An extremely warm and very moist airmass over California to start the week; record low Sierra snowpack persists Well, the last 3-4 weeks sure have been exceptionally warm across most of the Western United States. Record warmth has occurred literally every day across a substantial chunk of the western third of the country. Accordingly, December
weatherwest.com
December 22, 2025 at 12:34 AM
New Weather West post out now: A wet and stormy week ahead in California, with substantial SoCal flood risk and initially warm Sierra rain transitioning to very heavy snow. Plus, join me tomorrow (Mon Dec 22) for a live discussion (link therein!). #CAwx
Reposted by Enid
I'll host a "lunch hour" livestream on Mon, Dec 22 (noon PT) discuss the inbound series of strong winter storms in California, including the exceptionally warm initial airmass, SoCal flood risk, and eventual return of Sierra snow (yes, finally!). #CAwx
Major winter storms in California this week, with growing flood risk and (finally!) Sierra snow - YouTube
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain on various topics related to extreme #weather and ...
www.youtube.com
December 21, 2025 at 11:44 PM
I'll host a "lunch hour" livestream on Mon, Dec 22 (noon PT) discuss the inbound series of strong winter storms in California, including the exceptionally warm initial airmass, SoCal flood risk, and eventual return of Sierra snow (yes, finally!). #CAwx
Reposted by Enid
I'm not sure most folks are aware of the immense magnitude of loss this would entail for the global weather and climate community, and beyond. NCAR has played a greater cumulative role in advancing weather prediction and atmospheric modeling than perhaps any other single entity in the world.
December 17, 2025 at 3:46 AM
I'm not sure most folks are aware of the immense magnitude of loss this would entail for the global weather and climate community, and beyond. NCAR has played a greater cumulative role in advancing weather prediction and atmospheric modeling than perhaps any other single entity in the world.
Reposted by Enid
Nearly all weather, climate, & natural hazard research involves NCAR in some way-either directly (as is the case with countless affiliated scientists at universities or elsewhere) or indirectly (through use of NCAR's irreplaceable community datasets, predictive models, or its computing facilities).
December 17, 2025 at 3:46 AM
Nearly all weather, climate, & natural hazard research involves NCAR in some way-either directly (as is the case with countless affiliated scientists at universities or elsewhere) or indirectly (through use of NCAR's irreplaceable community datasets, predictive models, or its computing facilities).
Reposted by Enid
It is hard to overstate how critical @ncar-ucar.bsky.social is to climate science in the US and around the world. It's the beating heart of our field. Generations of scientists have trained there, and almost everyone I know relies on deep collaborations with NCAR scientists. It's end is unthinkable.
Exclusive: The Trump administration is moving to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, according to a senior White House official, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
Trump moves to dismantle major US climate research center in Colorado
The Trump administration is breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
bit.ly
December 17, 2025 at 2:50 AM
It is hard to overstate how critical @ncar-ucar.bsky.social is to climate science in the US and around the world. It's the beating heart of our field. Generations of scientists have trained there, and almost everyone I know relies on deep collaborations with NCAR scientists. It's end is unthinkable.
Reposted by Enid
In NorCal, a prolonged period of light to moderate (and occasionally heavy, in the mountains) rain will occur over next few days as a very persistent & warm atmospheric river stalls overhead. Snow levels will generally be above 7k-8k feet, so even Sierra passes will see rain.
December 18, 2025 at 8:12 PM
In NorCal, a prolonged period of light to moderate (and occasionally heavy, in the mountains) rain will occur over next few days as a very persistent & warm atmospheric river stalls overhead. Snow levels will generally be above 7k-8k feet, so even Sierra passes will see rain.
Reposted by Enid
Another brief clip from yesterday's rapid response livestream regarding what's at stake with the potential loss of NCAR, and what we can do about it: "What would we lose if the National Center for Atmospheric Research is dismantled? Quite a lot."
What would we lose if the National Center for Atmospheric Research is dismantled? Quite a lot.
In this short excerpt from a longer livestream, Daniel Swain reflects on what would be lost if the National Center for Atmospheric Research were to be dismantled, as has been proposed, and why the present moment is such an important one when voicing support for this irreplaceable weather, climate, w
youtu.be
December 19, 2025 at 12:38 AM
Another brief clip from yesterday's rapid response livestream regarding what's at stake with the potential loss of NCAR, and what we can do about it: "What would we lose if the National Center for Atmospheric Research is dismantled? Quite a lot."
Reposted by Enid
This is not just "NCAR boosterism," folks. There are multiple empirical measures by which this is correct--and also, if you took a random sampling of atmospheric & Earth scientists from around the world, I'd bet that a substantial majority of them would agree. NCAR is truly irreplaceable.
Bucalacchi stresses NCAR's reach is unique globally: "if you look at the totality of activities from weather, water, climate, space, weather, atmosphere, chemistry- no one single institution covers that breadth and depth of across observation, high performance computing and modelling and tradition."
December 18, 2025 at 11:04 PM
This is not just "NCAR boosterism," folks. There are multiple empirical measures by which this is correct--and also, if you took a random sampling of atmospheric & Earth scientists from around the world, I'd bet that a substantial majority of them would agree. NCAR is truly irreplaceable.
Reposted by Enid
Unbelievable. This would be a terrible blow to American science, writ large. It would decimate not only climate research, but also the kind of weather, wildfire, and disaster research that has underpinned half a century of progress in prediction, early warning, and increased resilience.
Exclusive: The Trump administration is moving to dismantle the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Colorado, according to a senior White House official, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
Trump moves to dismantle major US climate research center in Colorado
The Trump administration is breaking up the National Center for Atmospheric Research, taking aim at one of the world's leading climate research labs.
bit.ly
December 17, 2025 at 2:49 AM
Unbelievable. This would be a terrible blow to American science, writ large. It would decimate not only climate research, but also the kind of weather, wildfire, and disaster research that has underpinned half a century of progress in prediction, early warning, and increased resilience.
Reposted by Enid
Although ongoing atmospheric river in PacNW is focused farther north vs last wk, w/somewhat less heavy rain in WA state, cumulative stress from days of high flows/saturated soils are now manifesting, w/landslides & now NWS Flash Flood Warning for levee failure near Renton. #WAwx
December 15, 2025 at 8:22 PM
Although ongoing atmospheric river in PacNW is focused farther north vs last wk, w/somewhat less heavy rain in WA state, cumulative stress from days of high flows/saturated soils are now manifesting, w/landslides & now NWS Flash Flood Warning for levee failure near Renton. #WAwx
Reposted by Enid
This is an excellent & balanced overview of recently increased pace of planetary warming. There's much we still don't know, & there are almost certainly multiple causes, but possibility (not confirmed, but real) that these trends portend higher climate sensitivity is disquieting.
In a new article over at Carbon Brief, I explore why the past three years – 2023, 2024, and 2025 – have been exceptionally warm. The main culprits turn out to be a combination of El Nino and internal variability, declining aerosols, and a strong solar cycle: www.carbonbrief.org/...
December 13, 2025 at 4:52 AM
This is an excellent & balanced overview of recently increased pace of planetary warming. There's much we still don't know, & there are almost certainly multiple causes, but possibility (not confirmed, but real) that these trends portend higher climate sensitivity is disquieting.
Reposted by Enid
On Tue, Dec at @ noon Pacific Time, I'll have a livestream focused on the prolonged onslaught of very warm West Coast atmospheric rivers, increasing prospects for upcoming CA (warm) rain & end of tule fog (!) yet continued very poor Sierra snowpack.
More warm West Coast atmospheric rivers: PacNW flooding, return of CA rain, & end of tule fog! - YouTube
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain on various topics related to extreme #weather and ...
www.youtube.com
December 14, 2025 at 10:45 PM
On Tue, Dec at @ noon Pacific Time, I'll have a livestream focused on the prolonged onslaught of very warm West Coast atmospheric rivers, increasing prospects for upcoming CA (warm) rain & end of tule fog (!) yet continued very poor Sierra snowpack.
Reposted by Enid
New Weather West post: As warm atmospheric rivers slide gradually southward along Pacific Coast, a return to rain and end to tule fog in NorCal later this week–but don’t expect much mountain snow (at least initially).
As warm atmospheric rivers slide gradually southward along Pacific Coast, a return to rain and end to tule fog in NorCal later this week–but don’t expect much mountain snow - Weather West
An exceptional temperature inversion: Weeks of tule fog and damp chill in the Central Valley amid a record-warm airmass more broadly across American West and California Well, it sure has been another dramatic couple of weeks when it comes to Western U.S. weather! But exactly what the drama has been varies widely from place to
weatherwest.com
December 15, 2025 at 12:08 AM
New Weather West post: As warm atmospheric rivers slide gradually southward along Pacific Coast, a return to rain and end to tule fog in NorCal later this week–but don’t expect much mountain snow (at least initially).
Reposted by Enid
This evening's virtual office hour turned into a full 90 minute session on recent global climate trends! If you want to hear more about my thoughts on where we are & where we're headed, including context re: record-breaking global warmth, check it out:
Global climate update: Recent trends, what surprises may lurk, and honest thoughts on our trajectory
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain on various topics related to extreme #weather and #climate. 12/04/2025 topic: I'll offer an update on recent short- and long-term global climate trends, including the likely upcoming transition
youtu.be
December 5, 2025 at 1:20 AM
This evening's virtual office hour turned into a full 90 minute session on recent global climate trends! If you want to hear more about my thoughts on where we are & where we're headed, including context re: record-breaking global warmth, check it out:
Reposted by Enid
Then, on Thu, Dec 4 @ 2pm PT, I'll offer a global #climate update. I'll discuss the likely upcoming transition from La Niña to El Niño conditions, recent global temperature trends, impacts, & implications. I'll also be taking questions live! #CAwx [2/2]
Global climate update Dec. 2025: Recent trends in greenhouse gases, global temperatures, and more - YouTube
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain on various topics related to extreme #weather and ...
www.youtube.com
December 1, 2025 at 11:05 PM
Reposted by Enid
I'll be hosting *two* separate livestreams this week, each w/different focus. First, join me on Tue, Dec 2 @ 4pm PT for a CA weather update. I'll discuss the recent tule fog/stratus episode & what appears to be a pretty long dry spell into Dec. #CAwx [1/2]
California weather update: Tule fog, a December dry spell, and an overview of our topsy-turvy autumn - YouTube
The latest in a recurring series of live, virtual, & interactive "office hours" hosted by Dr. Daniel Swain on various topics related to extreme #weather and ...
www.youtube.com
December 1, 2025 at 11:05 PM
I'll be hosting *two* separate livestreams this week, each w/different focus. First, join me on Tue, Dec 2 @ 4pm PT for a CA weather update. I'll discuss the recent tule fog/stratus episode & what appears to be a pretty long dry spell into Dec. #CAwx [1/2]
Reposted by Enid
Ocean temperatures across much of the northern Pacific remained well above average through October. Really the only sizable cooler patch shows up near the traditional region for the ongoing La Niña.
Sea surface temperature data from NOAA OISSTv2.1 (downloads.psl.noaa.gov/Datasets/noa...).
Sea surface temperature data from NOAA OISSTv2.1 (downloads.psl.noaa.gov/Datasets/noa...).
November 30, 2025 at 8:23 PM
Ocean temperatures across much of the northern Pacific remained well above average through October. Really the only sizable cooler patch shows up near the traditional region for the ongoing La Niña.
Sea surface temperature data from NOAA OISSTv2.1 (downloads.psl.noaa.gov/Datasets/noa...).
Sea surface temperature data from NOAA OISSTv2.1 (downloads.psl.noaa.gov/Datasets/noa...).
Reposted by Enid
Thereafter, there is good multi-model agreement that a persistent ridge will rebuild, w/high odds of warmer & drier-than-avg airmass. Overall, things look fairly dry & warmer than avg for CA, but major caveat is that tule fog could re-develop--a major wildcard for Central Valley.
November 29, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Thereafter, there is good multi-model agreement that a persistent ridge will rebuild, w/high odds of warmer & drier-than-avg airmass. Overall, things look fairly dry & warmer than avg for CA, but major caveat is that tule fog could re-develop--a major wildcard for Central Valley.
Reposted by Enid
For the most part, it's looking like a mostly dry and warm start to December across much of the Southwest including much of California--with the major exception of the Central Valley, where a cold/damp tule fog layer may persist for a while yet. [Thread]
November 29, 2025 at 6:39 PM
For the most part, it's looking like a mostly dry and warm start to December across much of the Southwest including much of California--with the major exception of the Central Valley, where a cold/damp tule fog layer may persist for a while yet. [Thread]