Three authors lead Nobel betting

Reposted by: Rosemary A. Joyce, Will Jennings, Cas Mudde , and 3 more Rosemary A. Joyce, Will Jennings, Cas Mudde, Ingo Rohlfing, Alan Richardson, Stuart Shapiro

16%

Scholar power: 16.6%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Rosemary A. Joyce	26%	34	15.2%
🎓 Will Jennings	1%	51	0.7%
🎓 Cas Mudde	1%	51	0.7%
🎓 Ingo Rohlfing	0%	18	0.0%
🎓 Alan Richardson	-	21	-
🎓 Stuart Shapiro	-	19	-
Total			16.6%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

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Reposts

Scholar power

51.0%

19.9 h

179

16.6%

Ranking score

0.107

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Boston Tom Levenson

@tomlevenson.bsky.social

Two things of note in today's announcement of the 2025 Nobel physics prize (besides the work being honored).

1: The US institutional dominance of the prize continues.
2: 2 of the three laureates are immigrants, drawn here decades ago by the then-unmatched opportunities for science here...

1/

Nobel Prize in Physics Is Awarded for Work in Quantum Mechanics

www.nytimes.com

5 35 91

by Colin F. Camerer

0%

Scholar power: 0.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Colin F. Camerer	0%	117	0.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Reposts

Scholar power

77.0%

10.5 h

0

0.0%

Ranking score

0.067

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Colin Camerer

@cfcamerer.bsky.social

Fun guessathon on Nobel Literature Prize.
It aims to maximize surprise, and elevate writers around the world (mostly Europe) who are only known in highbrow circles
(Eg László Krasznahorkai—🤔)

newspaper editor: “Nobel Prize winners should not be in paperback!”

www.washingtonpost.com/books/2025/1...

Which writer will win the Nobel? The literati have some guesses.

Amitov Ghosh? Gerald Murnane? The truth will be revealed Thursday.

www.washingtonpost.com

by Jonathan Wolff

0%

Scholar power: 0.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Jonathan Wolff	0%	33	0.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Reposts

Scholar power

49.0%

1.0 h

8

0.0%

Ranking score

0.051

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Jo Wolff

@jowolff.bsky.social

Last year the Nobel Prizes seemed dominated by AI. This year they are not, I think (open to correction if I’m wrong). Hmmm.

3 12

by Timnit Gebru — Reposted by: Alan Richardson

10%

Scholar power: 10%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timnit Gebru	-	24	-
🎓 Alan Richardson	-	21	-
Total			0.0%

Timnit Gebru

@timnitgebru.bsky.social

Back in the day people used to have a slide at the end of their presentations saying "and that's how the brain works" as an inside joke about Hinton since he was known to talk confidently out of his ass.

Now, the Nobel committee brought this upon us like they give the peace prize to genociders.

⚡️🌙 @dystopiabreaker.xyz · 3d

anyway, here is 2024 Nobel Prize in Physics winner Geoffrey Hinton discussing what we know about large AI models on 60 Minutes.

2 56 190

Reposted by: Bryan D. Jones

3%

Scholar power: 3%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Bryan D. Jones	-	47	-

Governor Gavin Newsom

@governor.ca.gov

Congratulations to this year’s Nobel Physics laureates — all 3 @uofcalifornia.bsky.social professors.

Home to groundbreaking physicists, including 2 immigrants leading the world in innovation & possibility, California is proud to dream big & deliver even bigger.

www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physi...

Nobel Prize in Physics 2025

The Nobel Prize in Physics 2025 was awarded jointly to John Clarke, Michel H. Devoret and John M. Martinis "for the discovery of macroscopic quantum mechanical tunnelling and energy quantisation in an...

www.nobelprize.org

77 680 2.6K

by Bruno Tertrais

0%

Scholar power: 0.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Bruno Tertrais	0%	10	0.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Reposts

Scholar power

56.0%

3.6 h

0

0.0%

Ranking score

0.021

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Bruno Tertrais

@brunotertrais.bsky.social

Avec Laura-Maï Gaveriaux, nous étions entrés dans les coulisses du Prix Nobel de la paix (qui sera décerné demain). A lire ici : www.lesechos.fr/weekend/busi...

www.lesechos.fr

1 3

by Chris Stringer

18%

Scholar power: 18.5%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Chris Stringer	7%	78	18.5%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Reposts

Scholar power

55.0%

21.4 h

4

18.5%

Ranking score

0.02

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Reposted by: Kamiar Mohaddes

3%

Scholar power: 3%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Kamiar Mohaddes	-	32	-

Reposted by: Christian Gollier

4%

Scholar power: 4%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Christian Gollier	-	57	-

Reposted by: Anupam Chander

0%

Scholar power: 0.4%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Anupam Chander	1%	18	0.4%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

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Scholar power

49.0%

10.9 h

563

0.4%

Ranking score

0.019

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Tama Leaver

7%

Scholar power: 7.6%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Tama Leaver	6%	18	7.6%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Reposts

Scholar power

49.0%

5.4 h

1

7.6%

Ranking score

0.015

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

View post

Reposted by: Bruno Amable

0%

Scholar power: 0.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Bruno Amable	0%	37	0.0%

Formula for scholar power: sum of each reposter's field match × √reposter's h-index

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Reposts

Scholar power

45.0%

1.3 h

1

0.0%

Ranking score

0.014

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Alejandro Gaviría

2%

Scholar power: 2.8%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Alejandro Gaviría	2%	22	2.8%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Scholar power

55.0%

19.7 h

12

2.8%

Ranking score

0.013

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

by Timothy D. McBride

7%

Scholar power: 7%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timothy D. McBride	-	23	-

Timothy McBride

@mcbridetd.bsky.social

Among names I've heard mentioned are a couple of my former profs
Gertler
Manski

I'll also say...almost every year the selection almost always surprises me and others.

Final comment... not sure if any health economist has ever been awarded the prize other than the father of health economics (Arrow)

Timothy McBride @mcbridetd.bsky.social · 10h

Who will win the Nobel Pirze in Economics?
This author think it should be
Berry-Hausman-Pakes

Who is your pick of
Who SHOULD win the Nobel in economics?
Who WILL win the Nobel in economics?

to be awarded next week
[feel free to reply to this
#econsky
nicholasdecker.substack.com/p/berry-haus...

Berry-Hausman-Pakes Should Win the Nobel Prize

A prize for revolutionizing industrial organization

nicholasdecker.substack.com

1 3

by Ana Lucia Araújo

14%

Scholar power: 14.6%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Ana Lucia Araújo	13%	14	14.6%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Scholar power

53.0%

21.8 h

1

14.6%

Ranking score

0.012

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Ana Lucia Araujo

@araujohistorian.bsky.social

As Chair of the 2025 @clahistorians.bsky.social
Bolton-Johnson Prize I congratulate historians Brooke Larson & @thehistoriann.bsky.social CO-WINNERS with The Lettered Indian and Piracy & the Making of the Spanish Pacific World. Was a pleasure to work with jurors Jonathan Ablard & Kaysha Corinealdi

2 7

by Ajay Agrawal

9%

Scholar power: 9%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Ajay Agrawal	-	37	-

by Timothy D. McBride

7%

Scholar power: 7%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timothy D. McBride	-	23	-

Timothy McBride

@mcbridetd.bsky.social

For what it's worth, in thinking about who might get the 2025 Nobel Prize in Economics

here are the 2025 Clarivate Laureates in Economics

David Autor, MIT
Lawrence F. Katz, Harvard
Marianne Bertrand, Chicago
Sendhil Mullainathan, MIT
Nicholas Bloom, Stanford

clarivate.com/news/clariva...

Clarivate Unveils Citation Laureates 2025

22 Researchers Recognized, Including First Citation Laureate Based in Mainland China

clarivate.com

1 1

by Per Sandin

0%

Scholar power: 0.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Per Sandin	0%	20	0.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

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Scholar power

66.0%

18.6 h

0

0.0%

Ranking score

0.01

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Per Sandin

@drsandin.bsky.social

Som vanligt kommer fel författare att vinna. Årets Nobelpris i litteratur bör NATURLIGTVIS postumt tilldelas Willy Kyrklund.

by Colin F. Camerer

0%

Scholar power: 0.0%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Colin F. Camerer	0%	117	0.0%

Formula for scholar power: 3 × author's field match × √author's h-index

Ranking score inputs

Relevance

Recency

Reposts

Scholar power

50.0%

19.6 h

0

0.0%

Ranking score

0.01

Formula for ranking score (post): scholar_power × max((total_reposts)^(1/3), 1) × (1 / max(hours_since_posted, 1)) × (raw_relevance)^3

Colin Camerer

@cfcamerer.bsky.social

“The prize represents a triumph for the University of California system; Clarke remains at the University of California, Berkeley, and Devoret and Martinis are at the University of California, Santa Barbara. (Devoret also holds a position at Yale University.)”

Scientific American @sciam.bsky.social · 21h

John Clarke, Michel H. Devoret and John M. Martinis shared the 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics for their work showing how bizarre microscopic quantum effects can infiltrate our large-scale, everyday world

This Year’s Nobel Prize in Physics Is Awarded to Three Scientists for Work in Quantum Mechanics

John Clarke, Michel H. Devoret and John M. Martinis shared the 2025 Nobel Prize in Physics for their work showing how bizarre microscopic quantum effects can infiltrate our large-scale, everyday world

www.scientificamerican.com

1

by Timothy D. McBride

7%

Scholar power: 7%

Story's scientific field profile

Art 67%, Communication & Media Studies 22%, Sociology 11%

Name	Field match	H-index	Scholar power
🎓 Timothy D. McBride	-	23	-

Timothy McBride

@mcbridetd.bsky.social

Who will win the Nobel Pirze in Economics?
This author think it should be
Berry-Hausman-Pakes

Who is your pick of
Who SHOULD win the Nobel in economics?
Who WILL win the Nobel in economics?

to be awarded next week
[feel free to reply to this
#econsky
nicholasdecker.substack.com/p/berry-haus...

Berry-Hausman-Pakes Should Win the Nobel Prize

A prize for revolutionizing industrial organization

nicholasdecker.substack.com

3 1 4