#ASCENT-05
LightNews LightNews
djmamac.bsky.social
On the Philosophic Ascent in Plato's Republic mmcdonald77.wordpress.com/2020/05/21/o...
On the Philosophic Ascent in Plato’s Republic
[In progress] The following is the reworking of an old class paper for an exam question. It attempts to find the study of the soul and man in what is called the “allegorical line,” a re…
mmcdonald77.wordpress.com
December 12, 2025 at 3:11 PM
sabcs.bsky.social
Moderators Stefan Glück and Rita Nanda welcome #SABCS25 attendees to today's General Session. The session showcases the results of several phase 2 and 3 clinical trials, including Her2climb-05, ASCENT-07, and lidERA.
@ritanandamd.bsky.social
December 10, 2025 at 6:00 PM
…it was quite an achievement to get the news of the 29 May ascent to London by 2 June. The Times had long been a sponsor of expeditions to scale Everest, including George Mallory’s attempt in 1924. The 1953 expedition was partly sponsored by the paper iconicphotos.wordpress.com/2025/12/05/1...
1953 | The Conquest of Everest – The Times
At 11:30 am on May 29, 1953, Edmund Hillary and Tenzing Norgay became the first human beings to conquer Mount Everest. “Snow conditions bad stop advanced base abandoned May twentynine stop awaiting…
iconicphotos.wordpress.com
December 5, 2025 at 7:43 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Dec 5, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0103 PM CST Fri Dec 05 2025 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms may occur this afternoon and evening across the Southeast states, and over parts of the northern Rockies. Added a small area of thunderstorm potential along the ID/MT border for later this afternoon and evening. A strong shortwave trough and associated mid/upper level jet max are digging southeastward into the region. This will provide favorable large-scale ascent, while forecast soundings show the potential for weak, elevated CAPE. This may result in a few lightning flashes. No changes were made to the southeast states, where scattered thunderstorms will remain possible through the afternoon and evening. ..Hart.. 12/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1017 AM CST Fri Dec 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A split upper-flow regime over the CONUS will continue through tonight. Zonal, high momentum flow will extend from the base of a trough/upper low near Baja California east-northeastward across the Ark-La-Miss and through the Mid-Atlantic region. Visible-satellite imagery and buoy/surface observations show a cold front draped from the western part of the Gulf of America northeastward into the FL Panhandle and far southern GA. Occasional weak elevated thunderstorms are possible through the day north of the boundary from the mouth of the MS River into southern GA. A small area for a stronger thunderstorm may develop this afternoon from the FL Big Bend into extreme southern GA immediately along and south of the front. However, weak convergence and lack of appreciable forcing for ascent near the boundary will likely constrain thunderstorm activity to isolated coverage and limit intensity, despite some diurnal increase in buoyancy and the presence of strong mid- to upper flow. Day 1 Outlook Image
December 5, 2025 at 7:20 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 17, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1141 PM CST Sun Nov 16 2025 Valid 171200Z - 181200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Scattered thunderstorms are possible this evening into early Tuesday morning across parts of the central/northern Plains into the Ozarks and mid Mississippi Valley. Additional storms are possible across the Southwest and central California. A few strong storms are possible in the Midwest, but severe-thunderstorm potential appears low at this time. ...Synopsis... 05 UTC satellite imagery depicts a progressive upper wave traversing the central Rockies. Ahead of this feature, a broad low/mid-level baroclinic zone was analyzed from the central Plains southeastward into the lower MS River Valley. This diffuse boundary is expected to lift northward as an effective warm frontal zone as south/southwesterly winds strengthen ahead of the approaching upper wave. Strong isentropic ascent and moistening near 850 mb should support isolated to scattered elevated thunderstorms from the northern Plains into the Midwest/mid-MS River Valley. Across the West, a second upper trough will continue to dig southward along the CA coast. Cold temperatures aloft combined with broad scale ascent should promote isolated, though weak, thunderstorms. ...Mid-MS Valley... 50-60 knot mid-level flow associated with the upper wave will overspread much of MO/IL during the overnight hours as isentropic ascent increases and thunderstorm coverage is maximized. While wind profiles appear to show adequate deep-layer shear for organized convection, most forecast soundings depict modest lapse rates and narrow buoyancy profiles, which should modulate overall updraft intensities. This limitation is reflected in recent CAM solutions, which uniformly show very weak signals for strong updrafts or UH tracks. Consequently, confidence in a severe threat remains too limited for risk probabilities, but a few instances of small/near-severe hail appear possible. ..Moore/Darrow.. 11/17/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 17, 2025 at 6:00 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 6, 2025 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1131 PM CST Wed Nov 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not forecast. ...Discussion... Seasonally active large-scale pattern will continue across the CONUS during the day1 period. Several notable short-wave troughs will advance inland along the Pacific Northwest Coast then track along/south of the international border toward the Great Lakes/OH Valley region. While each of these features will have areas of focused ascent, continental air mass is dominant across the country and moisture/instability will prove limited across most regions. One area where buoyancy may prove adequate for a few thunderstorms is across the Pacific Northwest. Strong midlevel jet will approach the WA/OR Coast during the latter half of the period and a cold front will surge inland after 07/00z. Subsequent cooling/steepening lapse rates favor weak surface-based instability and favorable onshore flow is expected to aid updraft strength such that a few flashes of lighting may occur within deeper cells. Downstream across the Midwest, quick-moving short-wave trough will progress across the northern/central Plains as a 500mb speed max translates across CO/KS into northern MO by 07/06z. Weak buoyancy is forecast to develop as low-level warm advection strengthens ahead of the cold front. Forecast soundings suggest parcels lifted near 850mb may yield a few hundred J/kg MUCAPE and scattered elevated convection is expected primarily during the overnight hours. Low-latitude disturbance is forecast to eject across the southern Gulf Basin toward south FL late in the period. This feature should encourage a weak surface trough to focus near the south FL Atlantic Coast. Scattered convection is expected to develop near/east of this boundary during the overnight hours. ..Darrow/Wendt.. 11/06/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 6, 2025 at 5:40 AM
darthpunkwxm.bsky.social
Proud to Have in the Team
DOMINIC HYAM ❤️🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿
Artist: DarthPunk
Medium: Digital Illustration & Graphic Design
(No AI, just time, effort and a passion for Wrexham)
@DomHyam_95 #Wrexham #askwxm @wrexhamafc.co.uk
Dominic Hyam is shown mid-action — focused, driving forward with the ball — embodying composure and control. His red Wrexham home kit contrasts beautifully against the cool-toned, holographic background, emphasizing the club’s historic color identity. Composition & Visual Design: The “WREXHAM!” headline dominates the top in a bold neon red gradient, casting subtle glows and repeating echoes for motion and depth. The Wrexham AFC crest, rendered in a blue-violet luminescent overlay, adds both authenticity and atmosphere. The Sky Bet Championship badge at the lower right marks Wrexham’s progression — a subtle but impactful storytelling element suggesting ambition and ascent. The player number (05) and nameplate (“Dominic Hyam”) in glowing futuristic fonts reinforce a cohesive, high-tech sports card vibe. Lighting & Color Harmony: The palette blends crimson, cyan, and ultraviolet tones with iridescent gradients. The interplay between warm (player) and cool (background) lighting creates a stunning visual depth. Hyam is illuminated from the right, matching the digital light panels behind him — a sign of precise attention to directional light consistency. Technical Work: Clean and professional cutout — edges are refined, no haloing or clipping artifacts. Light reflection mapping gives his kit a subtle shine, harmonizing it with the digital light sources. Typography integration is top-tier: it feels like part of the world, not just pasted on. The background light blocks and gradients provide kinetic energy and guide the viewer’s eye smoothly around the composition.
November 6, 2025 at 2:32 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 5, 2025 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST AND OREGON/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTS🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1027 AM CST Wed Nov 05 2025 Valid 051630Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST AND OREGON/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COASTS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible through the day along the western Oregon and far northern California coastal region. Strong to locally severe gusts may accompany shallow convection that develops over parts of the Northeast. ...Northeast/southern New England... A mid-level trough initially analyzed over the Great Lakes will steadily amplify southeastward and reach coastal New England tonight. A deepening cyclone will quickly move east across the Lower Great Lakes toward coastal New England tonight in tandem with a cold front. Model guidance continues to show near neutral/scant buoyancy profiles developing immediately ahead of the front. Despite this limited thermodynamic setup, strong large-scale forcing for ascent will act to augment the development of shallow convection later today through this evening. Around 40-60 kt of west-southwesterly flow within the lowest 1-2 km AGL will support a risk for downward momentum transport for a few strong, potentially damaging wind gusts (55-65 mph) during the afternoon and evening. ...Northern California and Oregon Coasts... Water-vapor imagery this morning shows a mid-level shortwave trough moving northeast across northern CA into southern OR as a larger-scale troughing is maintained along the Pacific Northwest coast. The mid-level cold pocket accompanying the trough will result in -22 to -24 deg C 500-mb temperatures atop a moist maritime airmass. Forecast soundings show upwards of a couple hundred J/kg MLCAPE with the greatest buoyancy near the coast. Widely scattered thunderstorms will episodically move inland. Very strong flow in the lowest 1-2 km will support the possibility for isolated strong to severe wind gusts. Forecast soundings do show some low-level curvature closer to the coast, with 150-250 m2/s2 effective SRH. As such, if a sustained, land-falling low-topped supercell can develop, a brief tornado could occur. ..Smith/Thornton.. 11/05/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 5, 2025 at 4:40 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Nov 5, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0633 PM CST Tue Nov 04 2025 Valid 050100Z - 051200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... A few lightning flashes may still occur early tomorrow morning along the California and Oregon coasts as low-topped storms approach the shoreline. Organized severe storms are not expected. ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough continues to approach the West Coast as an upper ridge tracks over the northern Rockies and mainly zonal flow aloft persists from the Plains to the East Coast. A stable low-level airmass will continue to overspread most of the CONUS, limiting thunderstorm development. Nonetheless, the approach of the aforementioned upper trough may promote enough cooling aloft (and associated scant buoyancy), amid deep-layer ascent, to promote the development of a few low-topped storms. Isolated lightning flashes may accompany the stronger updrafts along the CA/OR coastline. ..Squitieri.. 11/05/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
November 5, 2025 at 1:00 AM
blackmetaltrump.bsky.social
"Cosmic Reverie: Isaacman's Ascent through Trumpian Shadows"
https://www.repubblica.it/esteri/2025/11/05/news/dietrofront_di_trump_rinomina_alla_nasa_jared_isaacman_l_uomo_di_musk-424959976/?rss
November 4, 2025 at 11:20 PM
gbg.de
#PinkOctober - #ASCENT-05: Phase III study investigates whether #Sacituzumab #Govitecan in combination with #Pembrolizumab can further improve outcomes compared to physician’s choice of standard therapy in pts with early TNBC who still have residual invasive disease after NACT and surgery
October 29, 2025 at 7:57 AM
oxonraces.bsky.social
Form for Compton Downland Challenge (in Berks) on Sat May 16th at 0900 - '26.8M and 16M along quiet tracks/trails/bridleways with 1500ft of ascent on 26.8M and 1050ft on 16M - you can change race at 9M point': www.oxonraces.co.uk#2026-05-16-c...
October 27, 2025 at 3:48 PM
climatechange.solutions
Big news! Altitude just cranked up their Ascent 1 carbon removal facility from 50k to 250k tonnes. More removals, more stability, and faster scaling for a greener future! 🌍 Check it out: https://cleantechnica.com/2025/10/05/altitude-expands-ascent-1-financing-facility-to-250000t-carbon-removals/
October 7, 2025 at 3:36 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Oct 6, 2025 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF
THE MIDWEST TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0747 PM CDT Sun Oct 05 2025 Valid 060100Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE MIDWEST TO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS... ...SUMMARY... Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible over portions of the central and southern Plains this evening. ...Midwest into the central and southern Plains... Evening water-vapor imagery shows a broad and elongated upper trough over much of the central CONUS. An embedded mid-level shortwave trough over the northern Plains will advance northeastward while a secondary vort max continues eastward over the central Rockies. Ascent from these features and a southwesterly mid-level jet will overspread a northeast to southwest oriented surface cold front from MN to eastern CO. Modest surface moisture and prior diurnal heating along the front have allowed weak surface-based destabilization, supporting scattered storm development early this evening. As convection continues developing, an isolated severe storm risk is expected given 35-45 kt of effective shear and a nocturnally strengthening LLJ along the front. A few initial supercell structures are likely given the strong flow aloft. With time, anafrontal forcing and increasing storm coverage should transition ongoing storms toward a more linear mode. This will favor some initial severe hail and isolated severe gusts as the primary concerns before storms weaken overnight. Farther north across the Midwest, an occasional strong/severe storm will remain possible this evening. Despite stronger synoptic ascent closer to the shortwave trough, lingering cloud cover and limited moisture have stymied available buoyancy. This should limit storm intensity, though isolated strong gusts remain possible tonight as linear convection should gradually mature along the front. ..Lyons.. 10/06/2025 Day 1 Outlook Image
October 6, 2025 at 1:00 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Oct 5, 2025 1930 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
⛈️NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0218 PM CDT Sun Oct 05 2025 Valid 071200Z - 081200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are not currently forecast for Tuesday. However, a few strong storms cannot be ruled out from northeast Ohio into western New York from late afternoon through evening. ...Synopsis... Southern portions of an upper trough will sweep east across the Great Lakes during the day and into the Northeast overnight, with relatively weak flow into the Plains with an upper ridge. A cold front will progress toward the lower Great Lakes and into the OH Valley late, accelerating across New England into Wednesday morning. Ahead of the front, dewpoints in the 60s F and pockets of heating will lead to several hundred J/kg MUCAPE into parts of New York and Pennsylvania, where large-scale ascent will be increasing late in the day. Areas of early precipitation will be possible ahead of the cold front during the day, which may limit destabilization. However, a diurnal increase in activity is likely as ascent is maximized, from northeast OH into northern PA and much of upstate NY. Forecast soundings from various models indicate uncertainty in the degree of destabilization and antecedent precipitation. In addition, much of the activity will occur during the evening after peak heating. Given these uncertainties, will maintain general thunderstorms for the area. However, given increasing deep-layer shear and lift, a conditional risk of at least isolated severe gusts cannot be ruled out should this setup trend in a more unstable direction. ..Jewell.. 10/05/2025 Day 3 Outlook Image
October 5, 2025 at 7:40 PM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Oct 5, 2025 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook
⛈️DISCUSSION🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 AM CDT Sun Oct 05 2025 Valid 081200Z - 131200Z ...DISCUSSION... Surface high pressure is forecast to build across portions of the Midwest and Eastern U.S. behind a cold frontal passage on Day 4-5/Wed-Thu. This high pressure will remain in place for much of the period, and with the cold front developing south toward the Gulf coast states, continental low-level trajectories east of the MS will result in a mostly stable airmass. Some southerly return flow is possible across the southern/central Plains late in the period beneath an upper ridge as surface lee troughing develops ahead of an upper trough developing southeast across parts of the Plains into the eastern half of the CONUS. However, severe potential appears low as any strong large-scale ascent and increasing deep layer shear will remain displaced from better boundary layer moisture. Day 4-8 Outlook Image
October 5, 2025 at 8:40 AM
mtrec.bandcamp.com
Morning Mellow Mix 34 is up.

MixCloud: www.mixcloud.com/abs.../abstr...

YouTube: www.youtube.com/live/2SvbHk5...

Full story and tracklist in the alt text.
Mixing picks 826 thru 850 proved to be the trickiest outing so far, as this round of choices strayed quite a bit from my usual instrumental hip hop. As a result, there's a lot of seemingly odd transitions between genres that I wouldn't normally fit together, but somehow it seemed to work. This trip wanders the map, but it's a chill trip nonetheless. MixCloud: https://www.mixcloud.com/abs.../abstracts-morning-mellow-34/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/live/2SvbHk51UnA 00:00 Kiat - Brooklyn 05:27 Dj Hellblazer - Sous Le Ciel De Paris 08:10 Phe_ - Green Minor 13:41 Jaze Baqti - The Four Strings 16:13 Enchord - Ascent 20:12 Melotone - Silently Waiting 24:36 Coma Conscience - On Edge (Ember Handpass Remix) 27:55 Lichi Flowers - The Spring's Coming On 34:34 6ecko - Valentine 37:40 Pedro Capelossi - Supernova (Original Mix) 44:59 Mrs Jynx - Freak 48:40 Curve - Chinese Burn (Headcase Medipack Remix) 53:49 Claire Rousay - A Kind Of Promise 56:06 Solipsism - Dawn Beckons The Chosen 1:09:20 Dilate - Oblivium 1:15:56 Opus III - When She Rises 1:20:03 Cat Tyson Hughes - Gradually Fade 1:25:49 b.read - D.A.W.N. 1:27:38 Zwei Kreise - Theories From Nether Planes 1:32:16 Prince Douglas - North Of The Border Dub 1:37:04 Fictions - Reservoir 1:44:07 Western Skies Motel - Migratory Birds 1:47:49 Marissa Nadler & Milky Burgess - Sleepwalk 1:50:14 π∆ππ - Burbank 1:53:06 Champion Jack Dupree - Strollin’
October 4, 2025 at 8:48 PM
cancertrialsie.bsky.social
Ireland’s first patient has been enrolled on the ASCENT-05 trial at Cork University Hospital. Congratulations to @seamusoreilly.bsky.social & the @cancerresearch-ucc.bsky.social team. The study, sponsored by Gilead Sciences, is testing new options for people with high-risk early TNBC: bit.ly/46aR3wa
September 22, 2025 at 8:30 AM
spc-fire.nws-bot.us
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Wed, 10 Sep 2025 05:47:28 +0000
🔥Synopsis🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CDT Wed Sep 10 2025 Valid 101200Z - 111200Z ...Synopsis... The upper-level trough in the West will continue its slow eastward progress into the Great Basin. The mid-level jet will intensify within the southern and eastern Great Basin. Cooler air aloft and marginal mid-level ascent will also promote some convection in Washington. ...Washington... A pocket of drier fuels exists in the Columbia Basin and nearby vicinity. Recent lightning activity has led to fire starts. Given the current convection in Oregon moving north and west around the upper-low, some lightning activity can be expected early this morning. Additional thunderstorms appear possible during the afternoon and perhaps again overnight tonight. However, those storms may pose a lesser lightning ignition threat given increasing PWAT values through the period. ...Eastern Nevada/western Utah... Strong surface winds of 15-25 mph will overspread parts of the Great Basin beneath the mid-level jet. RH could fall near 10% locally, but 15-20% will be more common. Given the potential for critical meteorological conditions, elevated fire weather concerns are expected despite the unfavorable to marginal fuel receptiveness in these areas. ..Wendt.. 09/10/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
September 10, 2025 at 7:00 AM
lproven.social.vivaldi.net.ap.brid.gy
Japanese man becomes oldest person to reach Mount Fuji summit at 102

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/sep/05/japanese-man-becomes-oldest-person-to-reach-summit-of-mount-fuji-at-102

Kokichi Akuzawa climbed with 70-year-old daughter to break record for oldest person to make ascent – a […]
Original post on social.vivaldi.net
social.vivaldi.net
September 8, 2025 at 11:23 AM
spc-storms.nws-bot.us
SPC Sep 5, 2025 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
⛈️THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND UPPER OHIO VALLEY🌪️
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0252 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 052000Z - 061200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND UPPER OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered damaging winds, isolated severe hail, and a brief tornado or two are possible from the Upper Ohio to Tennessee Valleys, mainly late this afternoon and evening. ...20z Update... The previous forecast remains on track with no changes required. As of 1930 UTC, GOES imagery shows meager vertical development of the cumulus field along and ahead of the cold front across KY and TN. However, weak surface pressure falls are noted along the frontal zone, hinting that ascent may be gradually increasing. This trend should continue as ascent associated with a subtle shortwave trough over southeast MO continues to spread east, and should aid in thunderstorm development by late afternoon/early evening. These observed trends, along with trends in recent CAM guidance, align with the ongoing forecast. Across north TX, convective initiation appears more imminent and should result in increasing severe hail/wind potential through the evening hours. Based on recent mesoanalysis and forecast soundings, the convective environment remains adequate for a few strong to severe thunderstorms. See the previous discussion for additional details. ..Moore.. 09/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1130 AM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025/ ...Ohio Valley/Central Appalachians to the Tennessee Valley... A large-scale upper trough/low will remain centered over Ontario today, with mid/upper-level troughing extending southward across much of the Great Lakes/Midwest into the OH Valley. A cold front will continue to advance slowly southeastward across portions of the Mid-South and OH Valley through this evening. Daytime heating of a seasonably moist low-level airmass ahead of this front over the TN Valley will likely yield upwards of 1500-2500 J/kg MLCAPE by late afternoon, mainly in KY/TN. Weaker instability is forecast with northward extent into the upper OH Valley and central Appalachians. Forcing for ascent aloft will remain nebulous for much of the day, with generally neutral mid-level heights and stronger flow remaining confined to the north of the surface cold front. Still, a subtle mid-level perturbation over eastern KS and the Ozarks late this morning should continue eastward towards the Mid-South and lower OH Valley by late afternoon/early evening. This feature, along with modest low-level convergence along the front, may be sufficient to encourage initial convective development by 21-23Z across parts of KY/TN. Even with stronger flow aloft remaining displaced to the north of the surface warm sector, some veering and gradual strengthening with height through mid/upper levels should support sufficient deep-layer shear for updraft organization. Current expectations are for multiple clusters to develop and pose a risk for mainly severe/damaging winds as they spread eastward across the TN and upper OH Valleys through the late afternoon and evening. With cool temperatures aloft and marginal deep-layer shear to support supercells, some of this activity could also pose a threat for isolated hail, especially any cells that can remain at least semi-discrete. A brief tornado or two also appears possible, although low-level shear should remain fairly limited given veered/west-southwesterly low-level flow. With a relatively narrow warm sector expected, convection should generally weaken this evening as it moves into the higher terrain of the central Appalachians and encounters a less unstable airmass. ...Mid-South to North Texas... An elongated mid-level thermal trough, characterized by 500 mb temperatures around -8 to -12 C per RAP analysis and 12Z OUN/FWD observed soundings, extends into much of OK and north TX, well to the south of the vertically stacked cyclone over Ontario. Low to mid-level flow should remain modest across this region, with some signal from various NAM/RAP forecast soundings of a veer-back-veer signature. Strong speed shear should remain confined above 500 mb, coincident with poor upper-level lapse rates atop steeper mid-level lapse rates. This suggests a messy convective mode should be common as convection increases in the late afternoon and evening, along the more west/east-oriented portion of the surface cold front. Have maintained the Marginal Risk for an isolated severe hail/wind threat with a small westward expansion with this update. ...Oregon... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms should develop today across parts of OR as a weak mid-level trough moves northward across the Pacific Northwest Coast. While low/mid-level flow is expected to remain rather modest, steepened low-level lapse rates could support isolated strong/gusty winds with any high-based convection that develops this afternoon/evening. Day 1 Outlook Image
September 5, 2025 at 8:00 PM
spc-fire.nws-bot.us
SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Fri, 05 Sep 2025 19:16:28 +0000
🔥Update🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0215 PM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...Update... Some minor changes were made to the Isolated Dry Thunderstorm area for Saturday. The latest model trends regarding the track and ascent associated with the initial mid-level shortwave trough moving onshore suggest additional lightning strikes may occur further west over the Cascades of WA. Farther south, into portions of the northern Great Basin and far southeastern OR, fuels appear far less receptive. Therefore, some of this region was trimmed out of the isolated area. Please see the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Barnes.. 09/05/2025 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Fri Sep 05 2025/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level trough will continue to approach the East Coast as upper ridging builds over the Rockies and a mid-level trough remains in place along the Pacific Northwest coast tomorrow (Saturday). A mid-level impulse will pivot around the northwestern trough, providing locally stronger upper support for dry and breezy conditions across northern California into southern Oregon. At the moment, the overlap of 15+ mph sustained southwesterly surface winds amid 15-20 percent RH seem to be too localized to warrant Elevated highlights at this time. Of greater concern is the development of scattered thunderstorms ahead of the mid-level trough over parts of the Pacific Northwest into the northern Rockies. Here, a mix of wet and dry storm modes will overspread a dry boundary layer, as well as dry fuel beds. Storm motions will be relatively slow. However, the high receptiveness of the fuels may compensate for possible wet, slow moving storms to support lightning-induced ignitions, warranting the introduction of isolated dry thunderstorm highlights. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
September 5, 2025 at 7:20 PM
spc-fire.nws-bot.us
SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook posted at Sun, 31 Aug 2025 05:46:27 +0000
🔥NO CRITICAL AREAS🔥
Additional Details Here.
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1245 AM CDT Sun Aug 31 2025 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The upper-level low near the Pacific Northwest will retrograde westward D2/Sunday into D3/Monday. Continued breezy northerly winds will be possible across portions of northern California across the Coastal Range and Portions of the Sierra Nevada, with potential for localized Elevated conditions. Overall, this threat looks to remain too isolated to include any areas at this time. A few isolated high-based thunderstorms will be possible late in the period across the Washington Cascades. There remains some uncertainty regarding lightning potential (with potential strong capping and weak ascent) coupled with recent rainfall over the past 48-72 hours lowers confidence in dry thunderstorm potential. ..Thornton.. 08/31/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook Image
August 31, 2025 at 6:00 AM
victorribera.bsky.social
#VesselAlert #Vaixell
Nom del Vaixell: #CELEBRITY_ASCENT
#MMSI: #256191000
Indicatiu: #9HA5731
Tipus: #Vaixell_de_Passatgers
#Bandera: #Malta
Vist a: 16-Aug-2025 05:57:10 CEST
Estat: #amarrat
Direcció: 26 deg
Destinació: ESBCN
Distància: 93.8 nm
Senyal #RSSI: -6.3 dBFS
Vaixell #AIS VesselAlert © #kx1t
August 16, 2025 at 3:58 AM