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PDF | 🔻🔻This note arises from the suppression in April 2023 of the projects section. In these notes, in form of a weekly-monthly diary, reports... | Find, read and cite all the research you need on Re...

Investing.com -- The European Central Bank has managed what is often considered the most elusive goal in monetary policy: a soft landing, said analysts at BCA Research in a note dated Monday. Inflation has returned to target, unemployment remains low, and growth has stabilized, yet the achievement has gone largely unnoticed. After consumer price inflation peaked at 10.6% in October 2022, the ECB began raising rates in July that year, ending eight years of negative policy rates. Over 15 months, it lifted borrowing costs by 450 basis points before cutting rates for the first time in June 2024, ahead of many of its peers. The deposit rate now stands at 2%. By tightening and then gradually easing, the bank brought inflation down without triggering a recession or rising joblessness, according to BCA Research. Headline inflation has been at the ECB’s 2% target for four straight months. Inflation expectations are also well anchored, a sign that markets and households remain confident in price stability. Real wages, which had turned negative, recovered to a 3.6% peak last year before easing, suggesting the feared wage-price spiral has been avoided. Economic activity, which came close to recession in early 2024, has steadied. Eurozone GDP grew 0.1% on the quarter and 1.4% on the year in the second quarter, with credit flows and corporate investment picking up. While Germany remains in a technical recession, the wider bloc is showing resilience. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. The labor market is another point of strength. The unemployment rate across the euro area is 6.3%, near historic lows, with structural joblessness declining in countries such as France, Italy and Spain. Employment growth has slowed but is still positive. Unlike in the UK, Sweden, Norway and Canada, all of which slipped into mild recessions following aggressive rate hikes, Europe’s equity markets and currency have held firm. Stocks have hit record highs, and the euro has climbed to its strongest level in four years against the dollar. Inflation is back at target, and nothing broke within the economy, ECB President Christine Lagarde said in July, describing the central bank’s policy stance as being in a good place. Markets expect little additional easing going ahead. Pricing in the euro short-term rate suggests less than one 25-basis-point cut over the next year, while a modest rise in inflation to 2.1% in August has pushed expectations for the next cut out to 2026. Successful soft landings in modern monetary history are rare. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s 1994 tightening cycle is often cited as the only example, though some economists dispute that description. By comparison, the ECB’s current outcome stands out as a clear case of inflation returning to target without an economic downturn. Yet the accomplishment has not drawn widespread recognition. For investors, analysts at BCA Research say the implications are clear, with little room for further easing, government bonds should be underweighted in favor of equities. 3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads. The best opportunities often hide in plain sight—buried among thousands of stocks you'd never have time to research individually. That's why smart investors use our Stock Screener with 50+ predefined screens and 160+ customizable filters to surface hidden gems instantly. For example, the Piotroski's Picks method averages 23% annual returns by focusing on financial strength, and you can get it as a standalone screen. Momentum Masters catches stocks gaining serious traction, while Blue-Chip Bargains finds undervalued giants. With screens for dividends, growth, value, and more, you'll discover opportunities others miss. Our current favorite screen is Under $10/share, which is great for discovering stocks trading under $10 with recent price momentum showing some very impressive returns!

JF Securities Pvt. Ltd. has officially received deposit membership. This gives the company the power to handle financial deposits and expand its services.

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Sujit Kumar, India’s lenders look flush and NBFCs are growing, yet without private capital stepping up, the credit engine risks running idle.

FRANKFURT (Reuters) -The euro zone’s adjusted current account surplus widened a touch in June as primary income, or proceeds from investment and labour, offset a drop in the trade surplus, European Central Bank data showed on Tuesday. The 20-nation currency bloc’s adjusted current account surplus increased to 35.8 billion euros from 31.8 billion euros, while based on unadjusted figures, it widened to 38.9 billion euros from zero, the ECB said. In the 12 months to June, the adjusted surplus equalled 2.0% of the bloc’s GDP, down from 2.6% in the preceding 12 months. AI computing powers are changing the stock market. Investing.com's ProPicks AI includes 6 winning stock portfolios chosen by our advanced AI. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. Which stock will be the next to soar?

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NEW YORK (Reuters) -Goldman Sachs said on Wednesday in a research note it expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to deliver three 25-basis-point interest rate cuts this year and two more in 2026. This would put the terminal rate at between 3% and 3.25%, down from the current 4.25%-4.50% level. The Goldman note followed data on Tuesday showing U.S. consumer prices increased marginally in July, rising just 0.2% last month after a gain of 0.3% in June, in line with economists’ expectations. The moderation in the Consumer Price Index reflected a 2.2% decline in gasoline prices. Food prices were unchanged after rising 0.3% for two straight months. U.S. rate futures priced in late Wednesday a 93% chance of a 25-bps easing next month and as much as a 7% probability of a 50-bps rate decline, according to LSEG calculations. The latter was 3% earlier on Wednesday. Traders also implied about 65 bps of easing this year, up from roughly 60 bps last week. The slight pop in the 50-bps odds on Wednesday came after U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent pushed for cuts of that magnitude in interviews with Fox News on Tuesday and Bloomberg TV on Wednesday. Bessent said on Bloomberg TV that he thought an aggressive half-point cut was possible given recent weak employment numbers. He based his argument for cuts on recent Bureau of Labor Statistics data showing soft employment gains in May, June, and July, in contrast to initial estimates for May and June indicating stronger employment growth. "Rates are too constrictive ... We should probably be 150 to 175 basis points lower," Bessent said, adding to the Trump administration’s penchant for public criticism and detailed policy advice for the independent central bank. With valuations skyrocketing in 2024, many investors are uneasy putting more money into stocks. Unsure where to invest next? Get access to our proven portfolios and discover high-potential opportunities. In 2024 alone, ProPicks AI identified 2 stocks that surged over 150%, 4 additional stocks that leaped over 30%, and 3 more that climbed over 25%. That's an impressive track record. With portfolios tailored for Dow stocks, S&P stocks, Tech stocks, and Mid Cap stocks, you can explore various wealth-building strategies.