Scholar

David Phinnemore

H-index: 20
Political science 88%
Economics 4%
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Interested in what voters in Northern Ireland currently think about Brexit, the Windsor Framework and UK-EU relations?

Join @katyhayward.bsky.social and me on Friday 24 October as we present the findings from our latest polling with @lucidtalk.bsky.social

www.eventbrite.co.uk/e/post-brexi...
Post-Brexit Clinic at Queen's - October 2025
Join us online for our latest Post-Brexit Clinic for updates on the Protocol/Windsor Framework.
www.eventbrite.co.uk
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Deadline for submissions extended to 15 October

councilforeuropeanstudies.org/conferences/...
ces-europe.bsky.social
📢 Call for Proposals

CES is pleased to invite submissions for its 32nd International Conference of Europeanists, to be held in Dublin, June 16–18, 2025.

For more information about the Conference Theme and how to apply visit: councilforeuropeanstudies.org/conferences/...
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Sefcovic: “Based on the trust we have rebuilt over the last years, I’m convinced that we can proceed with the SPS negotiations very quickly. We are now very well advanced in getting the mandate from the member states to do that.”

www.irishtimes.com/business/202...
Talks on food and meat sales between EU and UK could be completed ‘in less than a year’
It had been understood that they could take until 2027
www.irishtimes.com
dphinnemore.bsky.social
‘Polling commissioned by POLITICO shows the government’s agri-food deal agreed in principle with Brussels is popular with Remainers and Leavers alike — even when they're told it means following EU rules.

‘Nearly two-thirds (63 per cent) of voters back the deal…
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Joint Statement from today's EU-UK Specialised Committee on the Implementation of the Windsor Framework.

Work still to be done on 'full, timely and faithful' implementation.

More detail than in past statements

Value of stakeholder engagement flagged

commission.europa.eu/document/dow...
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Latest European Political Community summit in Copenhagen today.

'While the gathering hasn’t lived up to the hype set by Macron, most of those who spoke to POLITICO said it would be wrong to consider it a failure. Dialogue doesn’t hurt anyone, after all.'
www.politico.eu/article/macr...
Macron’s big European meeting is turning into a speed-dating exercise
The once-hyped European Political Community hasn’t produced major deliverables, but it’s still useful for dialogue and showcasing policy initiatives.
www.politico.eu

by David PhinnemoreReposted by: Steve Peers

dphinnemore.bsky.social
Next meeting of the EU-UK Specialised Committee on the Windsor Framework meets tomorrow, 2 October 2025.

Agenda 👇 (same as for previous meeting in June)

commission.europa.eu/publications...
dphinnemore.bsky.social
‘on Turkey’s membership, just as Bulgarians want to be able to draw the line on North Macedonia, and Croats to block Serbia.’
dphinnemore.bsky.social
‘The plan faces pushback from several EU countries, including France, the Netherlands and Greece, … they would also be limiting their own ability to block membership bids they see as problematic… It’s important to the Greeks…to show they can hold up talks on…
www.politico.eu/article/hung...
Hungary’s Orbán has unlikely potential allies in bid to keep Ukraine out of the EU
Other European leaders may disagree with Hungary, but several support his right to veto EU membership bids at every step.
www.politico.eu
dphinnemore.bsky.social
‘The European Commission has proposed adjusting its own rules to circumvent Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s veto by starting the technical work in several “clusters” even in the absence of a formal decision to open talks in those areas… officials said.’
www.ft.com/content/3642...
EU moves to advance Ukraine’s accession by sidestepping Hungary
Brussels advises Kyiv to advance technical work despite Budapest holding up talks
www.ft.com
dphinnemore.bsky.social
‘[The] Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) secured 50% of the vote, with most of the 1.6m votes counted, far ahead of the pro-Russian Patriotic Electoral Bloc on under 25%. Turnout was 52%, higher than in recent years.’
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
Pro-EU party in Moldova set to win vote mired in claims of Russian interference
The election was seen as critical for Moldova's EU path, and President Maia Sandu warned the country's future was in danger.
www.bbc.co.uk
dphinnemore.bsky.social
‘Under Costa’s proposal, so-called negotiating clusters — key legal steps on the path to membership — could be opened with the assent of a qualified majority of EU countries rather than unanimous agreement. Closing a cluster would still require [unanimity]’
www.politico.eu/article/anto...
Costa seeks to bypass Orbán’s veto on Ukraine’s EU membership bid
Brussels’ rules requiring all 27 member countries to agree on new entrants will face scrutiny at a summit this week in Copenhagen.
www.politico.eu
dphinnemore.bsky.social
“immediate sphere of influence, and at the same time it would embolden both Ukraine and other neighbors.”

by David PhinnemoreReposted by: Colin Murray

dphinnemore.bsky.social
“EU accession is both Moldova’s opportunity and its vulnerability. For citizens, it represents a way out of Russia’s grip and a path to stability. For Moscow, it is a make-or-break issue. Losing Moldova to Europe would expose weakness in what it considers…
carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
Moldova’s Election Is a Test for Russian Influence in Europe
Moldova’s parliamentary election is make-or-break for the country’s European future. The outcome will test whether Chișinău will stay on the EU accession path or fall prey to Russia’s multi-domain int...
carnegieendowment.org
dphinnemore.bsky.social
"undecided voters and Russian vote-buying could tip the scales on Sunday. If PAS does not get the majority, which looks increasingly likely, experts predict it will be left without reliable coalition partners — and Champagne corks will be popping in the Kremlin"

www.politico.eu/article/maia...
EU and Russia on the ballot in Moldova’s existential election
Maia Sandu’s pro-European party fights to preserve its parliamentary majority as Russia ramps up vote-buying and disinformation campaigns.
www.politico.eu
dphinnemore.bsky.social
As so often the headline misleads

It's a question of 'may'.

And so much depends on each side's priorties, the trade offs they are willing to make and securing the requisite progress across a complex set of parallel negotiations.

inews.co.uk/news/politic...
UK students get chance to study in Europe from January 2027 under new Erasmus deal
The EU is pushing for a rapid agreement for Britain to rejoin the student exchange scheme
inews.co.uk
dphinnemore.bsky.social
'A large majority of member states oppose restrictions on UK participation, as they want flexibility over defence procurement. One EU diplomat described the proposed 50% limit as “the classic French obsession”.'
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
France proposes ceiling on value of UK components in €150bn EU defence fund
Negotiations soon to begin on UK’s entry to Safe scheme, which it hopes will secure bigger role for its defence firms
www.theguardian.com
dphinnemore.bsky.social
And a nod to a previous Bruges speech 37 years ago…
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Latest speech on UK-EU relations from Nick Thomas-Symonds… in Bruges

“Sovereignty is not some delicate fossil…

…it should be a modern tool which helps us to make pragmatic decisions about the future.

All this means some alignment on standards…”

www.gov.uk/government/s...
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Initial response from UKG 👇

... to be followed by written response to the recommendations of the report within six months

questions-statements.parliament.uk/written-stat...
dphinnemore.bsky.social
'Issues for Business and Trade'... and Article 2
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Recommendations made regarding 'Democratic Deficit'
dphinnemore.bsky.social
Review's purpose: to 'examine issues required to be addressed for the Windsor Framework arrangements to command cross-community support'... and make 'practical recommendations'

noting 'context that the [WF] is an international commitment to which [UKG] has committed to implement in good faith.

References

Fields & subjects

Updated 1m