Scholar

Dimiter Toshkov

H-index: 26
Political science 63%
Business 13%
larsbrummel.bsky.social
💡New publication in Governance @govjournal.bsky.social!

Read our article, together w/ @dtoshkov.bsky.social and Brendan Carroll, on the perceived legitimacy of region-specific crisis interventions in Germany and the Netherlands, here ➡️ doi.org/10.1111/gove...

Short summary of our main findings ⬇️

Reposted by: Dimiter Toshkov

ecprsgeu.bsky.social
🚨 New call for the SGEU FUTURE Grants! 🚨

Are you a PhD student doing research on 🇪🇺 European integration? Do you need financial support for your fieldwork?

If yes, apply to the new edition of the SGEU Future Grants.

Deadline is 30 September 2025. Details here:

ecpr.eu/news/news/de...
New call for the SGEU FUTURE Grants
European Consortium for Political Research
ecpr.eu
poqjournal.bsky.social
Why do people support policies that go against their interests?

Miroslav Nemčok and coauthors show that voters shift their views to match their party, even when that means supporting painful welfare cuts.

Out now in POQ: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...
@miroslavnemcok.bsky.social @hannawass.bsky.social
dtoshkov.bsky.social
And please consider the SGEU in Catania 1-3 July 2026 as a follow-up.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
Also works well with the SGEU Conference in Catania 1-3 July 2026: there will be strong need for some Sicilian sunshine after two events on the island of Ireland 😉.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
The reintroduction of compulsory military service is more contentious, as well as military exercises in protected nature areas.
These are the first results from our new survey of the population of South Holland, with @larsbrummel.bsky.social
Stay tuned for more insights on policy polarization in NL.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
There is a very strong support among people in Holland for an active role of the Dutch government in international cooperation and defence. There are also big, cross-partisan majorities in favor of increasing the defence budget and continuing sending weapons to Ukraine.
shorturl.at/svcZp
dtoshkov.bsky.social
"and I saw this optical illusion where bars of the same size look radically different if you paint them in certain colors"

"say no more"
dtoshkov.bsky.social
Another consequence of granting ever more powers to the president is that a democratic transition becomes ever less likely. Do we really believe Republicans will accept a Democratic president with this sort of unchecked power in 4 years?
donmoyn.bsky.social
New, from me:
Quick explainer on why the Supreme Court (likely) decision to overturn Humphrey's Executor and move toward unitary executive theory will undermine any future efforts to rebuild state capacity.
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/why-the-su...
Why the Supreme Court decision on firing independent agency heads is a big deal
The demise of Humphrey's Executor and the rise of unitary executive theory
donmoynihan.substack.com
donmoyn.bsky.social
New, from me:
Quick explainer on why the Supreme Court (likely) decision to overturn Humphrey's Executor and move toward unitary executive theory will undermine any future efforts to rebuild state capacity.
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/why-the-su...
Why the Supreme Court decision on firing independent agency heads is a big deal
The demise of Humphrey's Executor and the rise of unitary executive theory
donmoynihan.substack.com
fghjorth.bsky.social
🚨 New publication 🚨 : Happy to share that my paper, "Losing Touch: The Rhetorical Cost of Governing" is now forthcoming at @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Short 🧵 about the paper here 👇 1/10
dtoshkov.bsky.social
as an editor, you can always choose not to share crappy reviews with the author or explain which points you don't consider valid. the technology cannot be an excuse.

the bigger goal should be to introduce more accountability in the review process for everyone involved: reviewers, editors & authors
dtoshkov.bsky.social
in that case, yes, and it would need an ethics approval, but I don't see how it applies to reviews I receive in my correposndance with a journal.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
ha, but would I be infringing your copyright by making your review of my work public, if the review is anonymous?
dtoshkov.bsky.social
What is a potential negative consequence of making the reviews public while they remain anonymous? I can only see upsides: sharing knowledge, giving context for the readers of your work, shaming journals for fwd-ing crappy reviews, etc.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
Does anyone know what is the copyright status of the peer reviews of our work that we recieve from journals? Are we allowed to make them publicly available, legally speaking? What would be the consequnces of just posting the reviews online (other than pissing off the editors, obviously)?
dtoshkov.bsky.social
Great list of methodological results/advice articles
randybesco.bsky.social
Gave a talk to our PhD students today, and feeling appreciative of all the recent methods work on improving common practices. Thanks to all the authors who work to make their work accessible, especially on social media.

A few articles we discussed:

Reposted by: Dimiter Toshkov

randybesco.bsky.social
Gave a talk to our PhD students today, and feeling appreciative of all the recent methods work on improving common practices. Thanks to all the authors who work to make their work accessible, especially on social media.

A few articles we discussed:
dtoshkov.bsky.social
If you are a complete novice to R, you can follow the slides to get a start, and if you have some experience already, you can find tips to streamline your workflow & bring your dataviz game to the next level. The slides also have plenty of up-to-date resources for further reading.

Happy leaRning!
dtoshkov.bsky.social
Last week I completed another edition of my short introductory course to R for social science PhD students @fggaleiden.bsky.social. The course covers fundamentals, data wrangling, data analysis (stat models) and data visualisation. All the slides are freely available at dimiter.eu/R-tutorial.h....
Introduction to R for social scientists covering fundamentals, data wrangling, data analysis with statistical models, and data visualisation
dtoshkov.bsky.social
Overall, while the restrictive policy measures introduced to curb COVID-19 have been painful economically and infringed on personal freedoms, they saved lives.

But they mostly 'worked' during the first year of the pandemic.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
A major strength of our approach is the fine-grained weekly, province-level data on *excess mortality* - the best measure of the death toll of the pandemic - estimated from micro-level data from the CBS.

There is significant variation not only over time, but across provinces as well.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
We combine policy data with data on mobility changes (from Google) and find that:
- Restrictive policies reduced mobility *in addition* to the direct reactions of citizens to information about the course of the pandemic
- Changes in mobility do not completely *mediate* the effect of the policies
dtoshkov.bsky.social
In short, strong evidence that the restrictive policy measures reduced excess mortality (= saved lives).
But the strength of the effects of the restrictive measures declined over time, with successive COVID-19 waves and the rollout of vaccination.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
Five years after COVID-19, the question about the impact of the policies introduced to fight the pandemic is still unsettled.

In a new paper, we evaluate the effect of the policy measures on mortality in The Netherlands for the period 2020-2022.

What do we find?

www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...
dtoshkov.bsky.social
Maar alleen voor de partijen (rode lijn en zwarte puntjes)
dtoshkov.bsky.social
and this remains true (with some variation) across the political spectrum, at least when self-placement on ideological scales is considered.
dtoshkov.bsky.social
link with gay rights is still stronger than with redistribution and about the same as with self-placement on left-right though 😉
dtoshkov.bsky.social
unfortunately the ESS doesn't have a lib/progr-auth/cons item. But to the extent that immigration attitudes proxy that, yes, the link is much stronger (and consistent) across Europe.

References

Fields & subjects

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