Scholar

Lukas Hermwille

H-index: 17
Economics 39%
Environmental science 22%
lukashermwille.bsky.social
I have been sitting in Cologne at a conference on industrial policy we're a lot of economists warned against corporate capture and rent seeking. But recent evidence suggests that we can have rent seeking even without industrial policy.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
I am just wondering how much of the cult is personal and how much is ideological? And then I am probably too scared to admit that it probably doesn't matter once they have enough raw power..
lukashermwille.bsky.social
In meinem Kopf entsteht gerade das Bild wie eine große Zahl von Entscheidungen in Schlange ansteht, und darauf wartet, dass der Behördenschalter öffnet... Ich glaube, dieses Bild ist Recht passend für den Zustand des Landes.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Also worked for Putin. Would be a shame to lose such valuable compromat...
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Indeed. in GER it is quite clear that not all primary steelmaking capacity will prevail. At the same time massive reinvestments are necessary. We need a mechanism to coordinate this and perhaps compensate between winners and losers. Is we leave it to the invisible hand, everyone loses.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Let them calculate how much 1 million seconds are Vs. 1 billion seconds.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
I think they need ICE to secure "safe" mid-term elections. Are you ready for ICE squads at every polling station making sure everyone votes right?
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Not sure they have that distinction clearly in their heads... Interestingly, the phase-out of free allocation was what they mentioned first. But that does not necessarily mean it was the more relevant "trigger". In any case, I do not think that there was one "trigger" anyway. Its always multicausal.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Absolutely. The same people were talking about the "effective carbon price" they are facing. They were clearly not considering opportunity costs...
lukashermwille.bsky.social
It may depend on the design, though. I recently interviewed GER steelmakers who clearly said that the outlook of zero free allocation in 2034 and zero new allowances in 39 was the main prompt to investigate alternative steel tech...
lukashermwille.bsky.social
...Panagiotis Fragkos, Ioannis Charalampidis, Eeva Kesküla and Annela Anger-Kraavi
lukashermwille.bsky.social
And 4️⃣ we need to start acknowledging that social and economic stress caused by the energy transition requires emotional labour from, and support for, those affected.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
3️⃣ We need to promote inclusivity and representation of local community actors identified as particularly exposed to compounding injustices based on a robust empirical foundation.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
2️⃣ We need to establish a robust monitoring system to systematically map existing and prospective injustices and inequalities.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
1️⃣ We need to acknowledge and better address these compounding injustices by focusing more on energy transition processes that also meaningfully address procedural and recognition injustices.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
And particularly problematic are instances in which new transformation injustices overlap and intersect with old legacy injustices. This is what we call COMPOUNDING INJUSTICES
From this insight we draw four main policy recommendations:
lukashermwille.bsky.social
When we talk about Just Transition we all too often focus on newly emerging injustices that originate from the transformation. However, in CINTRAN we found that more often than not old injustices originating from fossil fuel legacies of those regions are jeopardizing a genuinely just transition.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
We have a new comment out in @natureportfolio.nature.com Nature Energy in which we synthesise key findings of our 4-year CINTRAN project on structural change in coal and carbon-intensive regions across Europe.
A free read-only version is available here: rdcu.be/epxGW
#JustTransition #energysky
Compounding injustices can impede a just energy transition
Nature Energy - Coal and carbon-intensive regions have lagged behind in socioeconomic development, long before any transition-related structural changes were foreseeable. Acknowledging and tackling...
rdcu.be
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Puh. An neuen Politiken kann es kaum liegen. Das Versprechen der Bundesregierung auf niedrige Strompreise würde mich sehr überraschen. Ich tippe auf geopolitische Unsicherheit, die die Deutschen zum Sparen treibt.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Gibt es eigentlich ein TRL für pipe dream?
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Es gibt ein schönes Paper von Yazar und Haarstadt, dass sich das anschaut, auch mit Bezug zu Deutschland und Eike: scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=d...
scholar.google.com
lukashermwille.bsky.social
"light" Version eines Angriffs: Scholz hat nach der Russischen Invasion ziemlich aggressiv/dünnheutig gegen Ökonomen geholzt, die am Ende Recht behalten haben: www.handelsblatt.com/meinung/komm...
Handelsblatt
www.handelsblatt.com
lukashermwille.bsky.social
Ich nehme das aber nicht nur bei Personalia wahr. Ich hatte vor ein paar Wochen jede Menge Anfragen, den geleakten Clean Industrial Deal Entwurf zu kommentieren. 1,5 Wochen später wurde er offiziell vorgestellt, aber sowohl Anfragen als auch Berichterstattung waren viel geringer.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
A lot of people are trying to make sense of Trump's tariffs. The only pattern I see is chaos. And it is not a bug but a feature: Chaos is a policy objective. Trump thrives on chaos.
lukashermwille.bsky.social
We have been selling computer hardware and software separately forever. Can't EU Automakers do the same? Just reduce prices (and tariffs) of car hardware and charge costumers extra for the software to rub the car. Separate product, separate tariffs...

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