Brian Mills
@bmmillsy.bsky.social
270 followers 120 following 650 posts
Associate Professor, University of Texas at Austin https://sites.google.com/utexas.edu/bmmillsphd
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bmmillsy.bsky.social
In 1960 the average offensive lineman was 6’3” and ~250 lbs. In 2025 the average lines are 6’5”+ and nearly 315 lbs.

The “better in my day” guys are full of sh*t.
bmmillsy.bsky.social
If you’ve played reasonably competitive baseball you out know how fast 80 mph is. You also probably know how much faster 85 mph is. Completely different world. As is 90 mph. But everyone throws 100 now. No wonder everyone also hits .240 now 🤷‍♂️
bmmillsy.bsky.social
If you’ve played reasonably competitive baseball you out know how fast 80 mph is. You also probably know how much faster 85 mph is. Completely different world. As is 90 mph. But everyone throws 100 now. No wonder everyone also hits .240 now 🤷‍♂️
bmmillsy.bsky.social
Sorry this was wrong. He throws 98 apparently…
bmmillsy.bsky.social
George Kirby in my head is a finesse, command, control guy who gets strikeouts b/c he throws lots of strikes.

George Kirby in reality throws 97. Baseball in 2025 is impossible.
bmmillsy.bsky.social
George Kirby in my head is a finesse, command, control guy who gets strikeouts b/c he throws lots of strikes.

George Kirby in reality throws 97. Baseball in 2025 is impossible.
Reposted by Brian Mills
carlbergstrom.com
I suppose I’m too literal-minded, but I really don’t get these Google Cloud commercials where Google AI finds what are obviously spurious correlations in Major League Baseball stats.

Like isn’t this the whole reason why ML dressed up as AI is bullshit?
Google cloud/MLB logos
bmmillsy.bsky.social
Starting to think even I could have won a bunch of super bowls as an NFL coach as long as Tom Brady was my QB
bmmillsy.bsky.social
This was just a response to a lot of folks knee jerk saying it’s down b/c private equity
bmmillsy.bsky.social
For some reason only just saw this reply! My bad!
bmmillsy.bsky.social
Only able to skim but seems like a pretty cool paper. Data merging and munging must have been an enormous undertaking!
bmmillsy.bsky.social
Worth noting the full context here: "faculty...tend to shift toward more novel research after tenure...with declining hit rates...consistent with higher-risk research allocations...more than half of faculty add a new agenda. The new agendas further exhibit greater novelty for science"
florianederer.bsky.social
Research output after tenure drops off a cliff for business, economics, sociology, and other non-lab fields.

But it remains high post-tenure in lab-based fields such as chemistry, physics, computer science, and engineering.
www.pnas.org/doi/epdf/10....
bmmillsy.bsky.social
I see Tyler Cowen is off being an utter embarrassment again today...
Reposted by Brian Mills
bradhumphreys.bsky.social
Interesting long read on in game sports betting. I wonder about the prices offered on in game bets relative to pre game bets.

www.nytimes.com/2025/09/30/b...
The Seductive, and Risky, Power of Live Sports Betting
www.nytimes.com
bmmillsy.bsky.social
You have Yamamoto-Snell-Glasnow-Kershaw-Ohtani-Sheehan as your starting rotation. No reason to ever bring in any of these relievers in the playoffs…
bmmillsy.bsky.social
FYI: this is for Sports Markets & Antitrust Issues discussion day (full disclosure: a very biased toward my friends & colleagues list):

Blair & Wang (2017) - American Needle
Fort (2017) - Rule of Reason
Winfree (2009) - Fan Substitution
Mills & Winfree (2016) - Market Power & Substitution