Brian Mills
@bmmillsy.bsky.social
Reposted by Brian Mills
We’re hiring PhD students interested in shaping the future of sports. If you don’t apply, please help us spread the word...
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗪𝗶𝗺𝗺𝗲𝗹𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗱, 𝟮𝟬+ 𝗖𝗦𝗠 𝗮𝗹𝘂𝗺𝗻𝗶 – 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗬𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗷𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗻𝗲𝘆 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘁𝘀? 🎓
Every year, in late November, early December, Sascha, Kerstin… | Dominik Schreyer | 20 comments
𝗢𝗻𝗲 𝗪𝗶𝗺𝗺𝗲𝗹𝗯𝗶𝗹𝗱, 𝟮𝟬+ 𝗖𝗦𝗠 𝗮𝗹𝘂𝗺𝗻𝗶 – 𝗶𝘀 𝘁𝗵𝗶𝘀 𝘄𝗵𝗲𝗿𝗲 𝗬𝗢𝗨𝗥 𝗣𝗵𝗗 𝗷𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗻𝗲𝘆 𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗿𝘁𝘀? 🎓
Every year, in late November, early December, Sascha, Kerstin, Maria, and I craft one picture, a so-called Wimmelbild, depict...
www.linkedin.com
November 28, 2025 at 2:00 PM
We’re hiring PhD students interested in shaping the future of sports. If you don’t apply, please help us spread the word...
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
www.linkedin.com/feed/update/...
Meanwhile, the rest of us who have spent our lives just trying to do the best work we can are going to start moving toward total nihilism. It’s really hard to care about much when your job can just be faked while Dean Bean Counter is happy with the slop as long as nobody else notices.
"Runctitiononal features"? "Medical fymblal"? "1 Tol Line storee"? This gets worse the longer you look at it. But it's got to be good, because it was published in Nature Scientific Reports last week: www.nature.com/articles/s41... h/t @asa.tsbalans.se
November 27, 2025 at 8:46 PM
Meanwhile, the rest of us who have spent our lives just trying to do the best work we can are going to start moving toward total nihilism. It’s really hard to care about much when your job can just be faked while Dean Bean Counter is happy with the slop as long as nobody else notices.
Reposted by Brian Mills
Even the the damn twitter card for this Nature Scientific Reports is clearly AI Slop.
November 27, 2025 at 6:56 PM
Even the the damn twitter card for this Nature Scientific Reports is clearly AI Slop.
Reposted by Brian Mills
Thanks, John. Marc and I thought this was an important paper to write. It was an issue that has long bothered both of us. Hopefully it helps applied peeps think a bit more carefully about their model.
When fixed effects aren't fixed...
Important work by @dlmillimet.bsky.social and Marc Bellemare that should influence econometric practice.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Important work by @dlmillimet.bsky.social and Marc Bellemare that should influence econometric practice.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
On the (Mis) Use of the Fixed Effects Estimator
Data that span multiple units and time periods allow controlling for time-invariant heterogeneity correlated with the covariates. While researchers can do this in different ways, the fixed effects es...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
November 26, 2025 at 4:16 PM
Thanks, John. Marc and I thought this was an important paper to write. It was an issue that has long bothered both of us. Hopefully it helps applied peeps think a bit more carefully about their model.
Michigan has the same record as the team that beat them, who is ranked 8th in the AP. From what I can tell, this makes Michigan ranked 9th.
I will not be taking any questions or comments, thank you.
I will not be taking any questions or comments, thank you.
November 23, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Michigan has the same record as the team that beat them, who is ranked 8th in the AP. From what I can tell, this makes Michigan ranked 9th.
I will not be taking any questions or comments, thank you.
I will not be taking any questions or comments, thank you.
BBQ tacos. Walking distance from us. Don’t mind if I do…
November 23, 2025 at 6:36 PM
BBQ tacos. Walking distance from us. Don’t mind if I do…
Apparently Maize & Blue Deli has debased itself by reducing its menu from like 100 sandwiches to 8 (discovered this after sending someone there for lunch on their A2 visit).
What an absolute travesty. This is what it was and should always be.
What an absolute travesty. This is what it was and should always be.
November 23, 2025 at 5:43 PM
Apparently Maize & Blue Deli has debased itself by reducing its menu from like 100 sandwiches to 8 (discovered this after sending someone there for lunch on their A2 visit).
What an absolute travesty. This is what it was and should always be.
What an absolute travesty. This is what it was and should always be.
Syracuse managed to be down 21-0 at one point today without Notre Dame running a single play. Impressive.
November 22, 2025 at 10:23 PM
Syracuse managed to be down 21-0 at one point today without Notre Dame running a single play. Impressive.
Reposted by Brian Mills
So screw you, Dr Bhattacharya, and your cheap insults directed at scientists it’s your job to lead and support. I don’t know how you get through medical school & a health economics PhD (!) without appreciating the importance of incremental research, but you clearly don’t, so please resign.
November 22, 2025 at 1:27 PM
So screw you, Dr Bhattacharya, and your cheap insults directed at scientists it’s your job to lead and support. I don’t know how you get through medical school & a health economics PhD (!) without appreciating the importance of incremental research, but you clearly don’t, so please resign.
Reposted by Brian Mills
A 1% improvement in cancer survival rates means that, across the US, you could fill football stadium after football stadium with loved ones who are alive instead of dead.
November 22, 2025 at 1:09 PM
A 1% improvement in cancer survival rates means that, across the US, you could fill football stadium after football stadium with loved ones who are alive instead of dead.
Reposted by Brian Mills
Better is better! And most of the time, incrementally better is all we can manage, so we should do that - a lot! It’s hardly incremental to you if a 1% improvement in cancer survival rates means your mother gets through her chemotherapy and into remission, instead of dying at age 55.
November 22, 2025 at 1:02 PM
Better is better! And most of the time, incrementally better is all we can manage, so we should do that - a lot! It’s hardly incremental to you if a 1% improvement in cancer survival rates means your mother gets through her chemotherapy and into remission, instead of dying at age 55.
Reposted by Brian Mills
…and the NIH Director gets up in front of a group of influencers, says their work isn’t important, and accuses them all of fraud (because that’s what it means to do science that’s not replicable). 2/2
November 22, 2025 at 1:00 PM
…and the NIH Director gets up in front of a group of influencers, says their work isn’t important, and accuses them all of fraud (because that’s what it means to do science that’s not replicable). 2/2
Reposted by Brian Mills
This is so irresponsible and absurd, it should make me angry but mainly I’m sad. All the billions of dollars we spend to make medicine incrementally better, and all the scientists and technicians who devote their lives to the work… 1/
The NIH director told attendees the NIH doesn't do enough innovative research.
“What puts lives at risk is doing research that’s incremental,” Bhattacharya said. “All it does is advance the careers of the researchers that do it. It results in publications that don’t get used and aren’t replicable.”
“What puts lives at risk is doing research that’s incremental,” Bhattacharya said. “All it does is advance the careers of the researchers that do it. It results in publications that don’t get used and aren’t replicable.”
November 22, 2025 at 12:59 PM
This is so irresponsible and absurd, it should make me angry but mainly I’m sad. All the billions of dollars we spend to make medicine incrementally better, and all the scientists and technicians who devote their lives to the work… 1/
One of my biggest frustrations that is buried a bit by social media coverage of this thoughtful piece is that every single U. administrator has already been bought and paid for on AI as a solution for everything, including not having to deal with grumpy students that don’t get a grade they want.
“History shows us that the right to literacy came at a heavy cost…those oppressed recognized that literacy is liberation. To my students & to anyone who might listen, I say: Don’t surrender to AI your ability to read, write & think when others once risked their lives & died for the freedom to do so”
I Set A Trap To Catch My Students Cheating With AI. The Results Were Shocking.
"Students are not just undermining their ability to learn, but to someday lead."
www.huffpost.com
November 21, 2025 at 3:14 PM
One of my biggest frustrations that is buried a bit by social media coverage of this thoughtful piece is that every single U. administrator has already been bought and paid for on AI as a solution for everything, including not having to deal with grumpy students that don’t get a grade they want.
Reposted by Brian Mills
wake up babe new phil trans cover just dropped.
November 20, 2025 at 12:53 AM
wake up babe new phil trans cover just dropped.
Seems like a good day to stay off the internets
November 18, 2025 at 6:21 PM
Seems like a good day to stay off the internets
Reposted by Brian Mills
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: New York Mets – Associate, International Analyst blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
Job Posting: New York Mets - Associate, International Analyst
The New York Mets are hiring.
blogs.fangraphs.com
November 17, 2025 at 1:51 PM
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: New York Mets – Associate, International Analyst blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
Every time I try to come up with something to say about Summers I just have to delete it. Nothing more to say other than: send this guy packing and don’t let him near your university ever again.
November 17, 2025 at 4:18 AM
Every time I try to come up with something to say about Summers I just have to delete it. Nothing more to say other than: send this guy packing and don’t let him near your university ever again.
Reposted by Brian Mills
Swinging by Collectors Castle this afternoon. Anyone need anything? (1978 price list)
November 15, 2025 at 4:19 PM
Swinging by Collectors Castle this afternoon. Anyone need anything? (1978 price list)
More Judge:
Over the last 4 years, Judge has 1.117 OPS.
Excluding shortened 2020 and 1994 years (Soto, Thomas, Bagwell, Belle), there have been only 62 non-Judge *single seasons* in the history of MLB, from 25 other players, of 1.117 OPS or higher.
17 HOF + 3 would-be first ballot HOF (PEDs).
Over the last 4 years, Judge has 1.117 OPS.
Excluding shortened 2020 and 1994 years (Soto, Thomas, Bagwell, Belle), there have been only 62 non-Judge *single seasons* in the history of MLB, from 25 other players, of 1.117 OPS or higher.
17 HOF + 3 would-be first ballot HOF (PEDs).
November 14, 2025 at 3:25 PM
More Judge:
Over the last 4 years, Judge has 1.117 OPS.
Excluding shortened 2020 and 1994 years (Soto, Thomas, Bagwell, Belle), there have been only 62 non-Judge *single seasons* in the history of MLB, from 25 other players, of 1.117 OPS or higher.
17 HOF + 3 would-be first ballot HOF (PEDs).
Over the last 4 years, Judge has 1.117 OPS.
Excluding shortened 2020 and 1994 years (Soto, Thomas, Bagwell, Belle), there have been only 62 non-Judge *single seasons* in the history of MLB, from 25 other players, of 1.117 OPS or higher.
17 HOF + 3 would-be first ballot HOF (PEDs).
Here’s the thing about the home park nonsense on Judge: if you change *every single one* of his HR into 2B, his OPS would have been .949.
Cal Raleigh’s OPS was .948.
That’s how much better a hitter Judge is than the super awesome player who hit 60 HR.
Cal Raleigh’s OPS was .948.
That’s how much better a hitter Judge is than the super awesome player who hit 60 HR.
November 14, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Here’s the thing about the home park nonsense on Judge: if you change *every single one* of his HR into 2B, his OPS would have been .949.
Cal Raleigh’s OPS was .948.
That’s how much better a hitter Judge is than the super awesome player who hit 60 HR.
Cal Raleigh’s OPS was .948.
That’s how much better a hitter Judge is than the super awesome player who hit 60 HR.
Reposted by Brian Mills
Now available in Labour Economics: "The effects of negative labor market conditions at entry: Evidence from the 2004–05 NHL lockout" by me and @chengyuanhua.bsky.social
November 13, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Now available in Labour Economics: "The effects of negative labor market conditions at entry: Evidence from the 2004–05 NHL lockout" by me and @chengyuanhua.bsky.social
Love that spell check in Word has gotten so bad that it doesn't even identify "sports" misspelled as "sprots" in my documents now...
November 13, 2025 at 4:30 PM
Love that spell check in Word has gotten so bad that it doesn't even identify "sports" misspelled as "sprots" in my documents now...
Reposted by Brian Mills
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: Pittsburgh Pirates – Senior Analyst/Analyst – Baseball Strategy blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
Job Posting: Pittsburgh Pirates - Senior Analyst/Analyst - Baseball Strategy
The Pittsburgh Pirates are hiring.
blogs.fangraphs.com
November 13, 2025 at 1:02 PM
InstaGraphs: Job Posting: Pittsburgh Pirates – Senior Analyst/Analyst – Baseball Strategy blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/...
Reposted by Brian Mills
thinking about how i get anxious writing emails because i don't want to sound like a moron while larry summers is apparently typing emails like this:
u kno she dint want to talk tomorrow. make me bad pheel.
u kno she dint want to talk tomorrow. make me bad pheel.
November 13, 2025 at 1:38 AM
thinking about how i get anxious writing emails because i don't want to sound like a moron while larry summers is apparently typing emails like this:
u kno she dint want to talk tomorrow. make me bad pheel.
u kno she dint want to talk tomorrow. make me bad pheel.